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FN or NXPI or TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fabrinet (FN) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) vs. Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FN has delivered strong YTD gains of around 9%, driven by AI optics and HPC demand, with recent quarterly revenue up 36% year-over-year.
- NXPI trades at the lowest P/E ratio (~24x trailing) among the three, but lags with YTD declines of about 12% amid softer market conditions.
- TSEM leads YTD performance at over 35%, fueled by AI infrastructure deals and photonics momentum, though at a premium P/E of ~85x.
- All three benefit from semiconductor trends, but FN and TSEM show superior recent momentum over NXPI.
- Market caps are comparable for FN (~$18B) and TSEM (~$18B), while NXPI is largest at ~$48B.
- Recent volatility highlights growth trade-offs: high-momentum optics plays vs. stable automotive exposure.
Introduction
This comparison examines FN, NXPI, and TSEM, key players in the semiconductor and optics ecosystem benefiting from AI data center expansion and electronics manufacturing. FN specializes in optical and electronic manufacturing, NXPI in automotive and industrial chips, and TSEM as a foundry for analog and mixed-signal ICs. Traders seeking momentum in AI-related growth and investors eyeing relative valuation in recent market activity will find insights into price behavior, sentiment, and performance contrasts valuable for stock comparison decisions.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) provides precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services, with a focus on telecom, datacenter interconnects, and high-performance computing components. In recent quarters, the company reported record revenue of $1.13 billion, up 36% year-over-year, driven by accelerating telecom and datacenter revenues alongside HPC scaling to over $150 million per quarter. Optical communications contributed significantly, with 29% year-over-year growth. Stock performance reflects this strength, with shares rising about 9% over three months and strong YTD gains around 9%, though recent volatility followed earnings beats amid broader tech profit-taking. Sentiment remains positive on AI infrastructure demand easing supply constraints, supporting relative outperformance in the electronics components space.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) designs and manufactures semiconductors for automotive, industrial, IoT, mobile, and communication infrastructure applications, including microcontrollers and secure connectivity solutions. Recent quarters showed revenue of $3.34 billion, up 7% year-over-year, with Q4 earnings beating estimates at $3.35 per share. Guidance points to sequential growth in industrial and IoT amid a pivot to software-defined vehicles and physical AI platforms. However, shares have faced pressure, declining about 12% YTD and 23% over the past month, reflecting broader sector cyclicality and softer demand in some areas despite a stable dividend yield around 2%. Market sentiment highlights resilience in automotive but sensitivity to inventory dynamics.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) operates as an independent foundry offering customizable process technologies like SiGe, RF CMOS, and power management for analog-intensive applications in automotive, industrial, and aerospace. Recent market activity propelled shares over 30% in a week, reaching 25-year highs on new AI deals, including photonics and power tech addressing the 'AI power wall.' YTD gains exceed 35%, with strong demand from data centers and AI infrastructure. Q4 earnings beat estimates, supporting revenue growth around 9%. Sentiment has shifted positively on silicon photonics visibility and partnerships, though elevated valuations reflect momentum risks in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FN, NXPI, and TSEM operate in overlapping semiconductor ecosystems but diverge in business models: FN's contract manufacturing emphasizes optics for datacenters, NXPI focuses on IDMs for automotive/industrial stability, and TSEM as a pure-play foundry targets analog/power ICs. Growth drivers contrast sharply—FN and TSEM ride AI/HPC catalysts with 30%+ revenue ramps, while NXPI projects modest 10% sales rebound. Recent momentum favors TSEM (35%+ YTD) over FN (9%) and NXPI (-12%). Risk factors include customer concentration for FN, cyclical auto exposure for NXPI, and geopolitical tensions for TSEM. Valuation sensitivity shows NXPI cheapest at 24x P/E, FN at 48x, and TSEM priciest at 85x. Market sentiment tilts toward AI optics momentum despite NXPI's scale advantage.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSEM for its trend consistency in AI photonics and recent catalysts like power tech deals, positioning it strongly amid data center buildouts. FN follows closely with durable optics growth, while NXPI offers stability but trails on momentum. Probabilistic edge leans toward high-growth plays in the current environment, though volatility warrants monitoring relative positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSEM’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FN (@Electronic Components) experienced а +4.19% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.71% , and TSEM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +11.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on May 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (+4.81% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FN | NXPI | TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 24.7B | 54.6B | 24.6B |
| EBITDA | 466M | 3.96B | 507M |
| Gain YTD | 51.531 | 0.042 | 92.855 |
| P/E Ratio | 66.14 | 27.17 | 116.72 |
| Revenue | 3.89B | 12.3B | 1.51B |
| Total Cash | 961M | 2.91B | 1.22B |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | 12.2B | 164M |
FN | NXPI | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 18 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 82 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 43 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 50 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 23 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (73) in the Electronic Components industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TSEM (88) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NXPI's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and significantly faster than TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (4) in the Electronic Components industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for NXPI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to FN’s and significantly faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (43) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TSEM (79) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NXPI's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (35) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as NXPI (50) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to FN’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (6) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as NXPI (23) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to FN’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| FN | NXPI | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 63% | 5 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 18 days ago 68% | 21 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 76% |
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +1.08% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 82% Closely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| ON - NXPI | 79% Closely correlated | +3.85% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +2.46% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
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