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FN or TSM or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fabrinet (FN) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FN has surged over 120% in the past year on AI optics demand, recently trading around $506 after volatility from all-time highs near $633.
- TSM, the leading chip foundry, shows strong AI-driven growth with shares near $329, up over 80% annually but facing geopolitical risks.
- TXN focuses on analog chips, with shares around $187, modest yearly gains amid industrial recovery and new AI data center power tech.
- All three benefit from semiconductor trends, but FN leads in momentum, TSM in scale, and TXN in diversification.
- Recent market activity highlights AI catalysts boosting FN and TSM, while TXN gains from efficiency innovations.
- Valuations reflect growth: FN at high P/E ~52, TSM ~33, TXN ~36, with relative performance favoring AI exposure.
Introduction
This comparison examines FN, TSM, and TXN—key players in the semiconductor ecosystem amid surging AI and data center demand. FN specializes in precision optical manufacturing, TSM dominates advanced chip foundry services, and TXN leads in analog semiconductors. Traders seeking high-momentum AI beneficiaries and investors eyeing stable sector exposure will find value in analyzing their recent price behavior, growth drivers, and relative performance in the current market environment.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for optical communications, industrial lasers, and AI-related components, serving OEMs in North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. In recent market activity, FN shares have shown strong momentum, delivering over 120% gains in the past year with a 52-week range of $148.55 to $632.99. Recent weeks saw volatility, with shares pulling back from record highs around $633 amid broader tech profit-taking, closing near $506 after a 6% drop but rebounding in after-hours. Key influences include robust Q2 earnings beats (EPS $3.36 vs. $3.19 expected), AI datacenter optics demand, and partnerships like AWS for high-performance computing. Sentiment remains positive on expanding capacity and 1.6T product ramps, though supply constraints in components temper near-term gains.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is the world's largest dedicated semiconductor foundry, manufacturing advanced chips for high-performance computing, smartphones, and AI applications across global markets. Recent performance reflects AI tailwinds, with shares up over 80% in the past year (52-week range $134.25-$390.21), trading around $329 after a 2.8% dip. In recent weeks, TSM navigated sector volatility, supported by strong revenue growth (30-40% quarterly) and dominance in advanced nodes for clients like NVIDIA. Sentiment is bolstered by AI demand forecasts, though geopolitical tensions and supply chain risks in Taiwan contribute to fluctuations. Earnings growth outpaces the industry at 19.5% annually, with market share near 70%.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments (TXN) designs and manufactures analog and embedded semiconductors for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics worldwide. Shares have posted modest gains, trading near $187 (52-week range $139.95-$231.32), with recent weeks showing stability amid broader recovery. Performance reflects industrial rebound and innovations like 800V power architecture for AI data centers with NVIDIA, driving premarket surges. Q4 revenue hit $4.42B (up 10% YoY), with guidance exceeding estimates, though earnings dipped slightly. Sentiment benefits from diversification (75% from industrial/automotive) and high margins (28%), but lags AI pure-plays in momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FN, TSM, and TXN span contract manufacturing, pure-play foundry, and analog design models. Growth drivers contrast sharply: FN thrives on AI optics/datacenter ramps (36% YoY revenue), TSM on advanced nodes (30-40% quarterly), and TXN on industrial/auto recovery plus AI power tech. Recent momentum favors FN (120%+ yearly) over TSM (80%) and TXN (modest), but TSM offers scale ($1.5T cap). Risks include supply issues for FN, geopolitics for TSM, and slower cycles for TXN. All expose to semis/AI, but FN sensitivity to optics demand heightens volatility versus TXN’s stability. Sentiment tilts to AI leaders amid trade-offs in valuation (P/E: FN 52, others ~33-36).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FN for its superior trend consistency in AI optics, recent earnings beats, and explosive relative positioning versus TSM’s scale and TXN’s steadiness. Observable catalysts like datacenter ramps and capacity expansion suggest higher probabilistic upside, though with elevated volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTSM’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FN (@Electronic Components) experienced а +18.67% price change this week, while TSM (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.31% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +6.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.70%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Components (+6.72% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FN | TSM | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 23.7B | 1.63T | 196B |
| EBITDA | 466M | 2.74T | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 45.434 | 22.635 | 24.579 |
| P/E Ratio | 63.48 | 35.52 | 39.40 |
| Revenue | 3.89B | 3.81T | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 961M | N/A | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | N/A | 14B |
FN | TSM | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 27 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 9 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 26 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 39 | 19 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 19 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (51) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (74) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TXN's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and somewhat faster than FN’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as TSM (9) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TXN (52) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and somewhat faster than TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (31) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and similarly to FN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (36) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as TSM (39) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to FN’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
FN's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as TSM (19) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as TXN (32) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
| FN | TSM | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 30 days ago 68% | 23 days ago 62% | 13 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 59% |
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TSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSM has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSM jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 100% | +1.40% | ||
| ASML - TSM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| ASX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.35% | ||
| LRCX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| NVDA - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.57% | ||
| MPWR - TSM | 72% Closely correlated | +1.47% | ||
More | ||||
TXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | -0.12% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 80% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 79% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| NXPI - TXN | 77% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| ON - TXN | 70% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
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