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FORM or NVDA or NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) vs. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FORM has delivered exceptional YTD returns of approximately 146%, driven by record Q1 revenues and AI-related probe card demand in semiconductor testing.
- NVDA shows steady 1-year gains around 73%, supported by its dominant position in AI GPUs, though recent volatility reflects broader market rotations.
- NVMI leads with YTD returns near 57% and 1-year performance over 163%, fueled by metrology solutions for advanced semiconductor nodes.
- All three stocks benefit from AI and semiconductor growth, with FORM and NVMI offering higher relative momentum in testing and process control.
- Valuation metrics highlight elevated P/E ratios across the board, with NVDA's market cap at $4.8T dwarfing peers, signaling scale but also maturity risks.
- Recent catalysts include strong earnings beats for FORM and NVMI, underscoring their roles in AI chip production.
Introduction
This comparison examines FORM, NVDA, and NVMI, three key players in the semiconductor ecosystem powering AI advancements. FormFactor provides essential testing solutions, NVIDIA dominates AI chip design, and Nova delivers metrology for process control. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure and investors tracking relative performance in this high-growth sector will find value in understanding their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning amid surging demand for advanced chips.
FORM Overview and Recent Performance
FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) designs, manufactures, and sells probe cards, analytical probes, probe stations, and related systems critical for semiconductor testing, particularly in AI processors and advanced packaging. In recent market activity, the stock has surged with YTD returns around 146% and 1-year gains exceeding 380%, far outpacing the S&P 500. This momentum stems from record Q1 2026 revenues of $226 million, up 32% year-over-year, driven by demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) testing in AI applications. Gross margins expanded significantly, boosting non-GAAP EPS above expectations, though shares experienced volatility post-earnings due to profit-taking after a multi-year rally. Sentiment remains positive amid ongoing AI chip complexity, with analysts noting strong demand tailwinds.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a leading AI infrastructure provider, developing GPUs, systems-on-chips, and software for data centers, gaming, and autonomous systems. Recent weeks have seen modest YTD gains of about 5% and 1-year returns near 73%, reflecting consolidation after prior explosive growth. The stock hit highs above $216 before pulling back amid sector rotations and valuation scrutiny, with a trailing P/E around 41. Performance is anchored by dominance in AI training chips, though competition and supply chain dynamics have introduced volatility. Broader AI adoption continues to support sentiment, with ongoing partnerships in hyperscale data centers.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. (NVMI) specializes in metrology and process control systems for semiconductor manufacturing, offering dimensional, materials, and chemical analysis essential for advanced nodes and packaging. The stock has shown robust YTD returns of roughly 57% and 1-year performance over 163%, outperforming benchmarks. Recent strength follows analyst initiations like Barclays' Overweight rating and anticipation for Q1 results, with prior quarters beating estimates on AI-driven demand for precise measurements in logic and memory chips. Beta around 1.8 reflects sector sensitivity, but expanding installed base bolsters positive sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FORM, NVDA, and NVMI operate in the semiconductor value chain, with NVDA focusing on AI GPU design ($4.8T market cap, beta 2.24, forward P/E ~24), while FORM ($10B+ cap) and NVMI ($16B cap, beta 1.78, P/E ~65) enable testing/metrology for complex chips. Growth drivers contrast: NVDA's scale yields stability but competition risks; FORM and NVMI leverage AI packaging/HBM tailwinds for outsized momentum (YTD 146%/57% vs. NVDA's 5%). Recent volatility higher for enablers post-earnings, with valuation sensitivity elevated amid rate concerns. Sector exposure ties to AI semis, but FORM/NVMI trade smaller-cap premiums for growth, balancing NVDA's maturity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NVMI for its superior trend consistency and relative momentum in recent market activity, with YTD outperformance and metrology catalysts aligning with AI chip complexity. FORM shows strong positioning via testing demand, while NVDA offers stability. Probabilistic edge leans toward enablers amid sector rotation, though all benefit from AI tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FORM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and NVMI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FORM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FORM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and NVMI’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FORM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FORM (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -14.61% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +4.70% , and NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price fluctuated -2.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +140.48%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +39.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +81.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
FORM is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-0.97% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+4.47% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FORM | NVDA | NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 9.84B | 5.46T | 16.2B |
| EBITDA | 128M | 145B | 276M |
| Gain YTD | 126.354 | 20.822 | 55.044 |
| P/E Ratio | 145.13 | 45.98 | 63.88 |
| Revenue | 840M | 216B | 881M |
| Total Cash | 303M | 62.6B | 1.05B |
| Total Debt | 31.9M | 11B | 799M |
FORM | NVDA | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 19 | 79 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 7 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 13 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 12 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 47 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (73) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (82) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as FORM (84) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVMI's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and similarly to FORM’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (7) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as FORM (23) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVMI's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and similarly to FORM’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVMI (41) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FORM (80) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to NVMI’s and significantly faster than FORM’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FORM (36) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as NVMI (37) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to FORM’s and similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
FORM's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVMI (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (47) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FORM's stock grew similarly to NVMI’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| FORM | NVDA | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 16 days ago 67% | 13 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 74% |
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FORM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FORM has been closely correlated with RMBS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FORM jumps, then RMBS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FORM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORM | 100% | -1.35% | ||
| RMBS - FORM | 74% Closely correlated | -2.70% | ||
| SLAB - FORM | 73% Closely correlated | -0.32% | ||
| ADI - FORM | 72% Closely correlated | -2.18% | ||
| ARM - FORM | 72% Closely correlated | -8.46% | ||
| QCOM - FORM | 72% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
More | ||||
NVMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVMI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVMI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVMI | 100% | -8.44% | ||
| KLAC - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| LRCX - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | -4.82% | ||
| CAMT - NVMI | 76% Closely correlated | -1.68% | ||
| AMAT - NVMI | 73% Closely correlated | -0.89% | ||
| ASML - NVMI | 69% Closely correlated | -5.22% | ||
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