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FSLR or MTSI or NVTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? First Solar (FSLR) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FSLR leads YTD performance at 27.57%, driven by solar demand but faces headwinds from shrinking backlog and tax credit concerns.
- MTSI shows strong 1-year gains of 99.53% on data center and defense growth, though recent volatility reflects sector pressures.
- NVTS boasts exceptional 1-year return of 238.76%, fueled by AI data center innovations, despite Q4 revenue decline.
- All three stocks operate in high-growth tech sectors—renewables, analog semis, and power semis—with MTSI and NVTS benefiting from AI tailwinds.
- Recent market activity highlights relative momentum: FSLR stable around $189, MTSI at $207 post-earnings strength, NVTS volatile near $8.
- Sentiment shifts underscore trade-offs: policy risks for FSLR, cyclical semis exposure for MTSI and NVTS.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FSLR, MTSI, and NVTS, three technology-driven companies in renewables and semiconductors. FSLR focuses on thin-film solar modules, while MTSI and NVTS supply analog and power semiconductors critical for data centers, 5G, and AI infrastructure. Traders seeking exposure to clean energy and high-growth semis, or investors tracking relative performance in volatile markets, will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and sector positioning. This overview draws on current market data for informed stock comparison insights.
FSLR Overview and Recent Performance
First Solar (FSLR), headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, is a leading provider of photovoltaic solar energy solutions using thin-film cadmium telluride modules. The company serves utilities and large-scale developers globally, emphasizing U.S. manufacturing amid supply chain shifts. In recent market activity, FSLR traded around $189, with YTD gains of 27.57% and 1-year returns of 44.29%. Sentiment has softened due to reports of a shrinking backlog and reliance on expiring tax credits, prompting analyst downgrades like Freedom Capital's shift to Hold with a $250 target. Recent weeks saw price stability amid broader solar sector pressures, influenced by policy uncertainties and competition, though long-term demand for utility-scale solar supports positioning.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI), based in Lowell, Massachusetts, designs analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, defense, and data centers. Its portfolio includes amplifiers, switches, and subsystems for 5G, satellites, and optical networks. Recently, MTSI closed at $207.51, reflecting YTD returns of 21.15% and robust 1-year gains of 99.53%. Strong Q1 FY26 results with $271.6M revenue from industrial, defense, and data center growth drove earlier surges, though recent sessions showed volatility amid semis selloffs. Analyst optimism persists, with Argus maintaining Buy ratings up to $281 and JP Morgan raising targets to $240, highlighting momentum in AI-related infrastructure.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS), founded in 2014 and based in Torrance, California, specializes in gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors for AI data centers, EVs, and consumer electronics. Its integrated circuits enable efficient power conversion. The stock traded near $8.44 recently, with YTD performance at 18.14% and explosive 1-year returns of 238.76%. Recent developments include AI data center demos with EPFL and APEC exhibits, sparking weekly pops despite Q4 revenue drop to $7.3M and CFO transition. Analysts hold mixed views, with Rosenblatt Neutral at $7, but AI pivot sustains high volatility and growth narrative.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FSLR, MTSI, and NVTS span complementary tech ecosystems: FSLR’s utility-scale renewables contrast with the semis focus of MTSI (RF/microwave for defense/data centers) and NVTS (GaN/SiC for AI power efficiency). Growth drivers differ—policy/tax credits for FSLR, 5G/AI infrastructure for MTSI, high-power pivots for NVTS. Recent momentum favors NVTS’s 238% 1-year surge, but FSLR offers stability vs. MTSI and NVTS volatility. Risks include backlog erosion (FSLR), cyclical semis downturns, and execution in emerging tech (NVTS). Valuation sensitivity ties to AI/semicon hype for MTSI/NVTS, policy for FSLR; sentiment leans bullish on semis amid data center boom.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI due to consistent trend strength in data center and defense segments, superior 1-year performance, and positive analyst revisions amid strong FQ1 results. While NVTS shows high-momentum AI catalysts and FSLR stability, MTSI balances growth, profitability, and lower relative risk in recent market positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FSLR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NVTS’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- FSLR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FSLR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s), and NVTS’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FSLR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FSLR (@Alternative Power Generation) experienced а +4.17% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +8.31% , and NVTS (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +8.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Alternative Power Generation industry was +0.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.14%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
FSLR is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Alternative Power Generation (+0.41% weekly)The alternative power generation industry consists of companies that operate power facilities converting non-conventional forms of energy into electricity. These energy forms are alternatives to fossil fuels, and many of them are derived from natural resources. Alternative energy forms include solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal steam. A major purpose behind using alternative energy – also called ‘clean’ energy - is to address concerns related to the more conventional fossil fuels, such as the latter’s high carbon dioxide emissions which is often considered a factor in global warming. Alternative power generation has been gaining traction in recent years, and could grow further in the future. Large organizations like Google have invested substantially in wind and solar energy-powered electricity. Some of the prominent U.S. companies operating in the alternative power generation industry includes Ormat Technologies, Inc., TerraForm Power, Inc. and NextEra Energy Partners LP.
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FSLR | MTSI | NVTS | |
| Capitalization | 21.9B | 19.4B | 2.2B |
| EBITDA | 2.15B | 259M | -67.33M |
| Gain YTD | -22.111 | 50.695 | 33.613 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.32 | 116.79 | N/A |
| Revenue | 5.22B | 1.02B | 45.9M |
| Total Cash | 2.86B | 768M | 237M |
| Total Debt | 655M | 531M | 6.47M |
FSLR | MTSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTSI's Valuation (82) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FSLR (91) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FSLR (61) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew somewhat faster than FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
FSLR's SMR Rating (49) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as MTSI (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FSLR’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FSLR (57) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
FSLR's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as MTSI (51) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FSLR’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| FSLR | MTSI | NVTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 74% | 6 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 78% | 13 days ago 70% | 13 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +4.20% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.35% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.77% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.11% | ||
More | ||||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | +1.27% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | +4.96% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +12.98% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +5.48% | ||
More | ||||