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FTAI or HII or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) vs. Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) vs. Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI leads with explosive YTD gains near 38%, driven by aviation leasing demand and raised EBITDA guidance, but trades at a premium valuation.
- HII shows strong relative performance up 23-29% YTD, bolstered by record revenues and defense shipbuilding backlog amid sector tailwinds.
- TDY delivers steady 28% YTD appreciation, supported by defense electronics growth and new product launches in imaging.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense momentum, with FTAI offering highest growth potential, HII stability via contracts, and TDY diversified exposure.
- Market caps range from $17B (HII) to $30B (TDY), with FTAI at $27B showing elevated P/E above 58x.
- Recent volatility highlights trade-offs: high-beta FTAI vs. lower-beta defense pure-plays HII and TDY.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FTAI, HII, and TDY, three leaders in aerospace, aviation leasing, and defense sectors amid rising global demand for aircraft engines, naval vessels, and imaging technologies. Investors seeking exposure to industrials and defense growth—fueled by supply chain recoveries, geopolitical tensions, and modernization programs—will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. This analysis draws on recent market activity to highlight contrasts in momentum, stability, and risk for informed trading and portfolio decisions.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation Ltd. specializes in owning, leasing, and servicing commercial jet engines, particularly CFM56 and V2500 models, through its Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products segments. In recent market activity, the stock has demonstrated robust momentum, with YTD returns approaching 38% and one-year gains exceeding 150%, trading around $271 amid a $27B market cap. Sentiment has been buoyed by Q4 2025 results showing adjusted EBITDA growth, a dividend increase to $0.40 per share, and upward revisions to 2026 EBITDA guidance to $1.625B, alongside aircraft acquisitions. Strong revenue expansion of 47% over the past year and EPS beats have driven outperformance, though high beta (1.57) reflects volatility tied to aviation supply dynamics.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. stands as the largest U.S. military shipbuilder, delivering nuclear carriers, submarines, and amphibious vessels via its Ingalls, Newport News, and Mission Technologies divisions. Recent weeks have seen solid gains, with YTD performance around 23-29% and shares near $418 in a $17B market cap environment. Key influences include record 2025 revenues surpassing $12B, Q4 EPS beats, and milestones like keel laying for new ships, supported by a substantial backlog and easing production issues. Defense budget tailwinds and partnerships in unmanned systems have enhanced sentiment, with lower beta (0.28) underscoring stability despite short-term cash flow pressures.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated delivers enabling technologies in instrumentation, digital imaging, and aerospace/defense electronics across industrial markets. The stock has posted consistent YTD returns of about 28%, hovering near $655 with a $30B market cap. Recent performance reflects strength in defense segments, with Q4 revenue growth at 7.86%, earnings rebounds, and new initiatives like AI-enabled cameras and partnerships expanding imaging and unmanned capabilities. Improved valuation metrics, including lower EV/EBITDA, alongside stable margins, have sustained positive momentum in a beta of 0.98 environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FTAI, HII, and TDY operate in complementary aerospace/defense niches: aviation leasing/services, naval shipbuilding, and electronics/imaging. Growth drivers diverge—FTAI thrives on commercial air travel recovery and engine demand, while HII and TDY leverage government contracts amid geopolitical shifts. Recent momentum favors FTAI (150%+ one-year) over HII (118%) and TDY (35%), but with higher risk (beta 1.57 vs. 0.28/0.98). Valuation sensitivity shows FTAI's P/E at 58x reflecting growth premium, contrasting HII and TDY's more moderate multiples. Risk factors include FTAI's debt load, HII's cash flow variability, and TDY's commercial exposure. Sector sentiment tilts positive on defense spending, positioning all favorably yet with FTAI as high-growth trade-off vs. peers' steadier profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI due to superior trend consistency, explosive relative positioning, and catalysts like EBITDA upgrades and aviation tailwinds, potentially offering higher probabilistic upside in momentum-driven markets. HII and TDY provide defensive stability with contract backlogs, but FTAI's outperformance edges it for growth-oriented scans.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FTAI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileHII’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FTAI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HII’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FTAI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) experienced а +3.07% price change this week, while HII (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +0.10% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +6.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.41%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
HII is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+6.15% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| FTAI | HII | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 26.6B | 15.5B | 29.4B |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 1.21B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | 31.861 | 16.459 | 24.494 |
| P/E Ratio | 56.33 | 25.65 | 33.68 |
| Revenue | 2.51B | 12.5B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 774M | 352M |
| Total Debt | 3.45B | 2.92B | 2.64B |
FTAI | HII | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 59 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 15 Undervalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 30 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 60 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 44 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 19 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (84) in the Investment Managers industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew significantly faster than FTAI’s and significantly faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as HII (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as TDY (34) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to HII’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s and somewhat faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as HII (44) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as TDY (48) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to HII’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (99) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| FTAI | HII | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 43% |
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FTAI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTAI has been loosely correlated with AL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FTAI jumps, then AL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTAI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTAI | 100% | +2.05% | ||
| AL - FTAI | 47% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| BBDC - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| AER - FTAI | 40% Loosely correlated | +3.50% | ||
| UPBD - FTAI | 37% Loosely correlated | +5.40% | ||
| COF - FTAI | 36% Loosely correlated | +2.87% | ||
More | ||||
HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with VNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then VNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| MKSI - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +3.22% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| NOVT - TDY | 45% Loosely correlated | +2.34% | ||
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