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FTAI or LHX or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) vs. L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) vs. TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI leads with explosive 1-year returns of over 112%, driven by aviation leasing demand, though recent volatility shows pullbacks from 52-week highs.
- LHX offers steady growth at 66% 1-year returns and YTD gains around 17%, bolstered by defense contracts and diversified mission systems.
- TDG provides stability with a massive $64B market cap but lags peers at 12% 1-year returns, facing recent share weakness amid high valuations.
- All three benefit from aerospace tailwinds, but FTAI shows highest momentum while LHX and TDG emphasize defense exposure and components.
- Recent market activity highlights FTAI's sensitivity to aviation news versus LHX's contract wins and TDG's pricing power.
- Valuations vary: FTAI trades at premium P/E amid growth, while peers appear relatively stable.
Introduction
This comparison examines FTAI, LHX, and TDG, three key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid rising global demand for aviation assets and defense technologies. Investors seeking exposure to aircraft leasing, mission-critical systems, and engineered components will find value in understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning. With aerospace facing supply constraints and defense budgets expanding, these stocks offer insights into sector trends, momentum shifts, and valuation trade-offs in the current environment.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation Ltd. specializes in owning, leasing, and servicing commercial jet engines, focusing on CFM56 and V2500 models powering popular aircraft like the Boeing 737NG and Airbus A320ceo. The company operates in aviation leasing and aerospace products segments, managing a portfolio of aircraft and engines globally. In recent market activity, FTAI has shown strong momentum with 1-year returns exceeding 112% and YTD gains of 25.55%, though shares have experienced volatility, pulling back from 52-week highs near $323 amid broader sector pressures. Sentiment has been influenced by engine shortages, analyst upgrades like Morgan Stanley's price target hike, and Q4 results showing revenue growth despite an earnings miss, highlighting robust leasing demand.
LHX Overview and Recent Performance
LHX, or L3Harris Technologies, Inc., delivers mission-critical solutions across space, airborne systems, communications, and missile technologies for government and commercial clients. Its segments include Space & Mission Systems, Communications Systems, and Missile Solutions, supporting defense, surveillance, and public safety needs. Recent weeks have seen steady performance with 1-year returns of about 66% and YTD up 16.76%, trading around $341 within a 52-week range of $196-$379. Positive sentiment stems from major contracts like C$1.5 billion Canadian deals, dividend hikes, portfolio reshaping via VAMPIRE missile production, and analyst endorsements, offsetting minor pullbacks in broader defense sector activity.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TDG, TransDigm Group Incorporated, designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components through Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-Aviation segments, serving commercial and military platforms worldwide. Offerings include actuators, ignition systems, and latching devices for OEMs and aftermarkets. Shares have traded stably around $1,134 in recent activity, with YTD returns of 14.81% and 1-year at 12.08%, down from highs of $1,624 amid valuation concerns. Performance reflects aerospace demand but faces headwinds from insider sales, tariff issues, and share weakness; analysts highlight pricing power and growth potential despite 2026 profit guidance below estimates.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FTAI, LHX, and TDG share aerospace exposure but diverge in models: FTAI's leasing focuses on engine shortages for high growth (42% revenue CAGR), while TDG leverages aftermarket pricing (high margins, 16% earnings growth forecast), and LHX emphasizes defense contracts (stable 5% revenue growth). Momentum favors FTAI (112% 1Y return), but TDG and LHX offer lower beta stability. Risks include FTAI's volatility, TDG's debt/tariffs, and LHX's execution dependencies. Valuations show FTAI at premium P/E (50x+), TDG near peers (36x), LHX balanced; sentiment tilts positive on defense spending versus commercial aviation cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI due to superior trend consistency, 112% 1-year outperformance, and catalysts like engine demand amid supply constraints. While LHX provides defensive stability via contracts and TDG strong margins, FTAI's relative positioning in high-growth aviation leasing suggests higher probabilistic upside in the near term, based on momentum and sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FTAI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLHX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LHX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FTAI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LHX’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FTAI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LHX’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) experienced а -1.51% price change this week, while LHX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.62% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +3.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +6.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +31.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.37%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +1.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
LHX is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+6.42% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Aerospace & Defense (+1.71% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| FTAI | LHX | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 26.4B | 65.1B | 72B |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 3.75B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 31.057 | 19.148 | -4.153 |
| P/E Ratio | 55.99 | 40.86 | 41.01 |
| Revenue | 2.51B | 21.9B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.07B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 3.45B | 11.1B | 30B |
FTAI | LHX | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 62 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 20 Undervalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 28 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 75 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 47 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 26 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 | 38 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LHX's Valuation (20) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FTAI (85) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that LHX's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and somewhat faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDG (23) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as LHX (28) in the null industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to LHX’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDG (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LHX (75) in the null industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and somewhat faster than LHX’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as LHX (47) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
LHX's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (75) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (99) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that LHX's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| FTAI | LHX | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | N/A | 1 day ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 88% | 16 days ago 54% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 61% | 1 day ago 51% | 6 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 60% |
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FTAI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTAI has been loosely correlated with AL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FTAI jumps, then AL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTAI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTAI | 100% | -0.61% | ||
| AL - FTAI | 47% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| BBDC - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.78% | ||
| AER - FTAI | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| UPBD - FTAI | 37% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| COF - FTAI | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
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LHX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LHX has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LHX jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LHX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHX | 100% | -0.51% | ||
| GD - LHX | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| HII - LHX | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| NOC - LHX | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.24% | ||
| KTOS - LHX | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.63% | ||
| BWXT - LHX | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.20% | ||
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