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FTAI or LMT or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) vs. Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) vs. Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI has delivered exceptional 1-year returns exceeding 120%, driven by aviation leasing growth, though recent CFO transition introduced short-term volatility.
- LMT shows robust YTD gains around 34%, bolstered by geopolitical tensions boosting defense demand and a record backlog.
- TDY exhibits steady performance with YTD returns near 25%, supported by strategic acquisitions enhancing sensing and defense electronics.
- All three stocks benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but FTAI leads in momentum while LMT and TDY offer greater stability amid rising global tensions.
- Recent market activity reflects sector strength, with defense spending projections and aviation recovery influencing relative performance.
- Valuation sensitivity varies: FTAI trades at premium multiples due to growth, while LMT and TDY appear more balanced.
Introduction
This comparison examines FTAI, LMT, and TDY amid heightened aerospace and defense sector interest. These stocks span aviation leasing, prime defense contracting, and specialized instrumentation, offering insights into growth, stability, and cyclical exposure. Traders seeking momentum may eye aviation recovery plays, while investors favoring defense budgets could prioritize contractors amid geopolitical shifts. Recent market positioning highlights relative performance in a volatile environment, aiding decisions on sector allocation and stock selection.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation Ltd. specializes in owning, leasing, and maintaining commercial jet engines, focusing on CFM56 and V2500 models, with segments in aviation leasing and aerospace products. In recent market activity, the stock has shown volatility, declining over 6% in a session amid broader pressures but maintaining strong longer-term momentum with 1-year returns surpassing 120% and YTD gains around 13%. Key influences include Q4 2025 results with revenue up 32.7% year-over-year, a dividend increase to $0.40 per share, and raised 2026 EBITDA guidance to $1.625 billion. A CFO transition sparked short-term selling, yet partnerships like expanded Air France ties and power segment launches bolster sentiment for aviation aftermarket demand.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) is a leading aerospace and defense firm, developing advanced systems like the F-35, missiles, and space technologies for U.S. and international clients. Recent weeks have seen upward momentum, with shares hitting all-time highs near $692 and YTD returns around 34%, outpacing the S&P 500. Performance reflects geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-Iran conflicts driving munitions demand, a record backlog, and projected $924.7 billion 2026 defense budget. Q4 beats and production ramps in missiles and fighters have supported sentiment, though analysts note potential pullbacks if escalations ease.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) delivers enabling technologies in digital imaging, instrumentation, and defense electronics for industrial and government markets. The stock has maintained steady gains in recent market activity, with YTD returns near 25% and 1-year up over 32%, reflecting resilience. Influences include strategic acquisitions like DD-Scientific for gas sensing and Saab's TransponderTech for maritime tech, plus Q4 sales growth from defense electronics. Rising U.S. defense spending and product launches in imaging have lifted sentiment, despite supply chain hurdles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FTAI, LMT, and TDY operate in interconnected aerospace/defense realms but diverge in models: FTAI’s leasing bets on commercial aviation recovery, LMT on government contracts via primes like F-35, and TDY on niche instrumentation. Growth drivers contrast—FTAI leverages engine MRO demand (45% revenue growth), LMT geopolitical catalysts and $194B backlog, TDY acquisitions (e.g., DD-Scientific). Recent momentum favors FTAI (122% 1Y) over LMT (38-42%) and TDY (33%), but risks differ: FTAI’s beta (1.57) signals volatility vs. LMT’s low beta (0.20). Sector exposure tilts defense for LMT/TDY, commercial for FTAI. Valuations show FTAI at 48x P/E (growth premium), LMT 30x, TDY balanced; sentiment strongest for defense amid budgets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LMT due to consistent trends from defense catalysts, backlog stability, and relative positioning amid tensions. While FTAI excels in momentum and TDY in acquisitions, LMT’s lower volatility and budget tailwinds suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, based on observable patterns in sector rotation bots.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FTAI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FTAI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FTAI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) experienced а +3.07% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -3.51% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +6.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.41%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+6.15% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| FTAI | LMT | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 26.6B | 136B | 29.4B |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 8.73B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | 31.861 | 23.082 | 24.494 |
| P/E Ratio | 56.33 | 27.56 | 33.68 |
| Revenue | 2.51B | 75B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 4.12B | 352M |
| Total Debt | 3.45B | 21.7B | 2.64B |
FTAI | LMT | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 54 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 35 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 14 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 52 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 33 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (84) in the Investment Managers industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that LMT's stock grew significantly faster than FTAI’s and significantly faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDY (34) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as LMT (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as LMT (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to LMT’s and somewhat faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
TDY's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as FTAI (38) in the Investment Managers industry, and is in the same range as LMT (52) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that TDY's stock grew similarly to FTAI’s and similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (99) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| FTAI | LMT | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | N/A | 3 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 88% | 14 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 47% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 43% |
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FTAI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTAI has been loosely correlated with AL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FTAI jumps, then AL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTAI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTAI | 100% | +2.05% | ||
| AL - FTAI | 47% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| BBDC - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| AER - FTAI | 40% Loosely correlated | +3.50% | ||
| UPBD - FTAI | 37% Loosely correlated | +5.46% | ||
| COF - FTAI | 36% Loosely correlated | +2.87% | ||
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TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with VNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then VNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| MKSI - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +3.22% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 46% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| GRMN - TDY | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
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