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FTAI or RTX or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) vs. TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) has shown explosive growth with over 122% one-year returns, driven by strong demand in aviation leasing and aerospace products.
- RTX Corporation (RTX) delivers balanced performance at 61% one-year gains, bolstered by defense contracts and commercial aftermarket expansion amid geopolitical tensions.
- TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) offers stability with modest 1.45% one-year returns but high margins from proprietary aircraft components.
- All three benefit from aerospace recovery, but FTAI leads in momentum while RTX provides defense exposure and dividends.
- Valuations vary: FTAI at 48x P/E reflects growth premium; RTX and TDG trade around 40x with lower betas for reduced volatility.
- Recent market activity highlights sector tailwinds from air travel rebound and defense spending, positioning these stocks for relative outperformance.
Introduction
This comparison evaluates FTAI, RTX, and TDG—key players in the aerospace and defense sector. These stocks appeal to traders seeking momentum from commercial aviation recovery and investors eyeing defense-driven stability. FTAI focuses on engine leasing and maintenance, RTX spans systems and missiles, and TDG supplies specialized components. Amid rising air travel and geopolitical demands, this analysis highlights relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning for informed stock comparison decisions.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) owns, leases, and maintains commercial jet engines, focusing on CFM56 and V2500 models, while managing aircraft assets. Its Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products segments drive revenue through maintenance, repair, and sales. In recent market activity, FTAI reported robust full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA growth, raised 2026 guidance to $1.625 billion, and increased its dividend. Strategic moves include partnerships with Palantir for AI optimization and the launch of FTAI Power for aeroderivative turbines targeting data center demand. Sentiment remains positive on leasing tailwinds and aftermarket strength, with shares delivering 13% YTD and 122% one-year returns, outperforming peers amid aviation rebound.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX), formerly Raytheon Technologies, provides aerospace and defense systems across Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments. It serves commercial and military customers with engines, avionics, and missiles. Recent developments feature a $115 million Alabama missile facility expansion boosting capacity 50%, a $2.01 billion Air Force contract modification, and hybrid-electric advancements. Q4 2025 sales hit $24.2 billion, up 12%, with record $268 billion backlog signaling multi-year demand. Geopolitical tensions enhance defense momentum, supporting 13% YTD and 61% one-year gains, with analysts projecting 11% upside on strong execution.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components like actuators, pumps, and cockpit systems for commercial and military use. Its Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation segments emphasize aftermarket dominance. Recent quarters showed Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue up 14% to $2.29 billion and adjusted EPS growth, fueled by organic demand despite acquisition integration. Analyst upgrades highlight undervaluation potential amid sector recovery. Shares reflect stability with 7% YTD gains but modest 1% one-year return, trading at premium multiples on consistent cash flow and defense exposure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FTAI, RTX, and TDG operate in aerospace but differ in models: FTAI’s leasing yields cyclical growth from engine demand, RTX balances commercial engines with defense missiles, and TDG focuses on proprietary aftermarket parts for recurring revenue. Growth drivers include FTAI’s AI partnerships and power ventures, RTX’s $268 billion backlog, and TDG’s acquisitions. Recent momentum favors FTAI (122% one-year) over RTX (61%) and TDG (1%), though TDG boasts superior EBITDA margins near 53%. Risks: FTAI’s high beta (1.57) amplifies volatility versus RTX (0.41); TDG faces leverage from debt-funded buys. Sector exposure tilts RTX toward defense, both commercial for others. Valuations show FTAI at growth premiums (48x P/E), while RTX and TDG (~40x) offer relative value with dividends for RTX. Sentiment favors momentum plays amid aviation upcycle.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI for its superior trend consistency and catalysts like EBITDA guidance hikes and innovative power adaptations, positioning it strongly in commercial aerospace recovery. While RTX excels in backlog stability and defense catalysts, and TDG in margin resilience, FTAI’s relative momentum suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance based on observable growth metrics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FTAI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileRTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FTAI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FTAI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) experienced а -1.51% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.79% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +3.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +3.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +29.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.10%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +3.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+3.71% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Aerospace & Defense (+3.61% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| FTAI | RTX | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 26.4B | 264B | 72B |
| EBITDA | 1.12B | 14.9B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 31.057 | 7.110 | -4.153 |
| P/E Ratio | 55.99 | 39.47 | 41.01 |
| Revenue | 2.51B | 88.6B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 7.44B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 3.45B | 39.5B | 30B |
FTAI | RTX | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 61 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 34 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 6 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 67 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 48 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 52 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 | 38 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (34) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FTAI (85) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that RTX's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and somewhat faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the null industry is in the same range as FTAI (15) in the Investment Managers industry, and is in the same range as TDG (23) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to FTAI’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDG (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67) in the null industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as RTX (48) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to RTX’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the null industry is in the same range as TDG (75) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FTAI (99) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and somewhat faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| FTAI | RTX | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 88% | 16 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 61% | 6 days ago 42% | 6 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 32% | 1 day ago 60% |
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TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.87% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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