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FUJHY or MZDAY or TM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Subaru Corporation (FUJHY) vs. Mazda Motor Corporation (MZDAY) vs. Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FUJHY leads YTD performance at over 30%, outperforming peers amid recent market activity, with shares trading near 52-week lows but showing resilience versus its moving averages.
- MZDAY exhibits higher volatility with a beta of 0.52, reflecting sales declines in North America and global markets during recent weeks.
- TM maintains the largest market cap at over $220B, bolstered by hydrogen and EV initiatives, though shares have pulled back from recent highs.
- All three Japanese automakers face sector headwinds like supply chain issues, but FUJHY's low beta (0.06) signals relative stability.
- Valuations vary, with FUJHY at a trailing P/E of 6.59, appealing for value-oriented investors in the current environment.
- Recent sentiment shifts highlight Toyota's catalysts in sustainable tech, contrasting with sales softness at peers.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FUJHY, MZDAY, and TM, three prominent Japanese automakers traded as ADRs (American Depositary Receipts) in the U.S. markets. All operate in the consumer cyclical sector, focusing on passenger vehicles amid global shifts toward electrification and hybrids. Traders seeking exposure to automotive relative performance, and investors tracking Japanese export dynamics versus U.S. demand, will find value here. Recent market activity underscores contrasts in momentum, valuation sensitivity, and adaptation to supply constraints, offering insights into sector positioning.
FUJHY Overview and Recent Performance
FUJHY, or Subaru Corporation, manufactures automobiles and aerospace products, with key operations in Japan, North America, and Europe. Its automotive segment dominates, producing models known for all-wheel drive and safety features. Shares trade around $7.45, with a market cap of $10.6B and low beta of 0.06, indicating minimal volatility relative to the market. YTD return stands at 31.15%, outpacing the Nikkei 225, though 1-year return is 18.49%. Recent weeks saw shares near the 52-week low of $7.32, below 50-day ($8.16) and 200-day ($9.88) moving averages, pressured by broader auto sector softness including U.S. sales reports. Sentiment reflects steady demand for SUVs amid economic uncertainty, supported by a trailing P/E of 6.59, though aerospace contributions add diversification.
MZDAY Overview and Recent Performance
MZDAY, Mazda Motor Corporation, designs and sells passenger cars, SUVs, and commercial vehicles globally, emphasizing efficient engines and premium interiors. With a market cap of $4B and beta of 0.52, it shows moderate sensitivity to market swings. Shares hover near $3.17, with YTD returns around 17% but recent declines amid North American sales drops of 17% in April. The stock trades below 50-day ($3.50) and 200-day ($3.59) averages, within a 52-week range of $2.70-$4.55. Recent market activity highlights global sales weakness, including an 11% March drop, influencing cautious sentiment. Trailing P/E at 19.08 contrasts with forward P/E of 6.81, suggesting earnings recovery potential despite near-term headwinds like competition in EVs.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
TM, Toyota Motor Corporation, is a global leader in vehicles, hybrids, and financial services, operating under Toyota and Lexus brands. Its $223B market cap dwarfs peers, with beta at 0.33. Shares at $188.30 reflect YTD gains of 12.36% but flat 1-year returns of 2.05%, trading below 50-day ($212.59) and near 200-day ($207.31) averages after pulling back from a $248.90 high. Recent weeks feature executive changes, hydrogen fuel cell collaborations, and EV campaigns, boosting sentiment amid sales slips from Middle East disruptions and model transitions. Trailing P/E of 10.60 supports its scale advantages in a shifting auto landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, TM leverages unmatched scale and hybrids for diversified revenue, contrasting FUJHY’s niche AWD focus and aerospace buffer, and MZDAY’s efficiency-driven passenger cars. Growth drivers include Toyota’s hydrogen/EV push versus Subaru’s SUV loyalty and Mazda’s recovery bets. Recent momentum favors FUJHY YTD, but all lag broader indices amid sales dips. Risk factors highlight MZDAY’s higher beta and sales volatility, while FUJHY offers stability. Sector exposure is unified in autos, but valuation sensitivity shows FUJHY cheapest (P/E 6.59), TM balanced. Market sentiment tilts to Toyota’s catalysts over peers’ softness.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor FUJHY for its superior YTD trend consistency, low beta stability, attractive valuation, and outperformance versus the Nikkei, positioning it probabilistically stronger amid auto sector pressures. TM follows closely on catalysts, while MZDAY lags on momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FUJHY’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMZDAY’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FUJHY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MZDAY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FUJHY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MZDAY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FUJHY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MZDAY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FUJHY (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -4.10% price change this week, while MZDAY (@Motor Vehicles) price change was +0.94% , and TM (@Motor Vehicles) price fluctuated -4.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was +3.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
FUJHY is expected to report earnings on May 15, 2026.
TM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (+3.34% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| FUJHY | MZDAY | TM | |
| Capitalization | 10.4B | 4.16B | 215B |
| EBITDA | 596B | 160B | 7.63T |
| Gain YTD | -32.339 | -16.364 | -15.131 |
| P/E Ratio | 6.28 | 18.17 | 9.65 |
| Revenue | 4.81T | 4.86T | 50.69T |
| Total Cash | 2.02T | 1.06T | 16.64T |
| Total Debt | 413B | 819B | 43.21T |
FUJHY | MZDAY | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 11 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 9 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 4 | 65 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | 63 | 82 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 3 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MZDAY's Valuation (9) in the null industry is in the same range as FUJHY (10) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TM (27) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that MZDAY's stock grew similarly to FUJHY’s and similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Profit vs Risk Rating (75) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as MZDAY (100) in the null industry, and is in the same range as FUJHY (100) in the null industry. This means that TM's stock grew similarly to MZDAY’s and similarly to FUJHY’s over the last 12 months.
FUJHY's SMR Rating (1) in the null industry is in the same range as MZDAY (4) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (65) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that FUJHY's stock grew similarly to MZDAY’s and somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
MZDAY's Price Growth Rating (63) in the null industry is in the same range as TM (82) in the Motor Vehicles industry, and is in the same range as FUJHY (86) in the null industry. This means that MZDAY's stock grew similarly to TM’s and similarly to FUJHY’s over the last 12 months.
MZDAY's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as TM (27) in the Motor Vehicles industry, and is in the same range as FUJHY (27) in the null industry. This means that MZDAY's stock grew similarly to TM’s and similarly to FUJHY’s over the last 12 months.
| FUJHY | MZDAY | TM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 5 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 71% | 7 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 16 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 46% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PMAU | 26.31 | N/A | N/A |
| PGIM S&P 500 Max Buffer ETF - August | |||
| SHAG | 47.53 | -0.07 | -0.14% |
| WisdomTree Yield Enh US S-T Aggt Bd ETF | |||
| DRSK | 29.17 | -0.10 | -0.34% |
| Aptus Defined Risk ETF | |||
| RWX | 27.82 | -0.36 | -1.28% |
| State Street® SPDR® Dow Jones® IntlREETF | |||
| SFTX | 30.41 | -0.68 | -2.19% |
| Horizon International Managed Risk ETF | |||
FUJHY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FUJHY has been closely correlated with MZDAY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FUJHY jumps, then MZDAY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FUJHY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUJHY | 100% | -1.49% | ||
| MZDAY - FUJHY | 67% Closely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| TM - FUJHY | 66% Closely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| HMC - FUJHY | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| TOYOF - FUJHY | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| NSANY - FUJHY | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.56% | ||
More | ||||
MZDAY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MZDAY has been closely correlated with FUJHY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MZDAY jumps, then FUJHY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MZDAY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MZDAY | 100% | +2.22% | ||
| FUJHY - MZDAY | 69% Closely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| HMC - MZDAY | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| TM - MZDAY | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| NSANY - MZDAY | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.56% | ||
| TOYOF - MZDAY | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
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TM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TM has been closely correlated with TOYOF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TM jumps, then TOYOF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TM | 100% | -1.16% | ||
| TOYOF - TM | 83% Closely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| HMC - TM | 73% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| FUJHY - TM | 66% Closely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| MZDAY - TM | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.22% | ||
| NSANY - TM | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.56% | ||
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