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GE or LMT or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? GE Aerospace (GE) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GE Aerospace exhibits strong long-term momentum with 57% one-year gains but faces recent volatility amid broader industrial pressures.
- LMT leads YTD performance at around 35%, bolstered by a $194 billion backlog and steady defense contracts.
- TDG lags with a 6% YTD decline, trading at a premium P/E of 39x due to high-margin aftermarket components.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but LMT shows superior stability with lower beta (0.20).
- Market caps rank GE (~$324B), LMT (~$151B), TDG (~$69B), reflecting scale differences.
- Recent geopolitical tensions favor defense exposure in LMT, while commercial aviation supports GE and TDG.
Introduction
This comparison examines GE Aerospace, LMT (Lockheed Martin), and TDG (TransDigm Group), key players in the aerospace and defense sector. These stocks offer exposure to commercial aviation recovery, military spending growth, and proprietary components demand. Traders seeking momentum may eye defense stability, while long-term investors value diversified backlogs and aftermarket resilience. Amid geopolitical shifts and supply chain dynamics, understanding their relative performance, valuations, and catalysts aids informed positioning in this high-conviction industry.
GE Aerospace Overview and Recent Performance
GE Aerospace focuses on commercial and defense aircraft engines, integrated systems, and power solutions. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience with 57% one-year gains, though facing short-term pullbacks of around 5% weekly amid industrial sector pressures like rising oil prices. Key influences include a $1 billion manufacturing investment, AI partnerships with Palantir, and strong Q4 earnings beating estimates at $1.57 EPS. A substantial backlog and upbeat 2026 guidance for 15% EPS growth sustain positive sentiment, despite volatility from external factors.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
LMT (Lockheed Martin) is a leading defense contractor specializing in aeronautics, missiles, rotary systems, and space technologies. Recent weeks reflect robust momentum with YTD gains near 35% and three-month surges of 43%, outperforming the sector. A $194 billion backlog, $700 million F-35 contracts, and geopolitical demand drive performance. Steady dividend payouts and contract wins like CH-53K helicopters bolster investor confidence, with shares up 45% annually amid rising military budgets.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TDG (TransDigm Group) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components, emphasizing proprietary aftermarket parts across power, control, and airframe segments. Recent trading shows pressure with 6% YTD declines and 3% three-month drops, contrasting sector peers. Influences include Q1 revenue growth of 14% to $2.3 billion but higher debt from acquisitions like Stellant Systems, leading to elevated interest expenses. Strong 47% operating margins and undervaluation signals at a fair value of $1,586 support long-term appeal, despite short-term supply chain concerns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GE, LMT, and TDG span engines (GE), prime contracting (LMT), and components (TDG). Growth drivers contrast: LMT’s government contracts yield backlog stability; GE leverages commercial travel; TDG thrives on aftermarket pricing power (47% margins vs. GE’s 21%). Recent momentum favors LMT (35% YTD) over GE (-1% YTD) and TDG (-6%). Risks include GE’s cyclical exposure, LMT’s budget dependence (low beta 0.20), and TDG’s leverage (debt-to-EBITDA 5.76). Valuations: TDG P/E 39x premium for margins; LMT 30x with dividends; GE higher on growth outlook. Sentiment tilts to defense amid tensions, trading scale for TDG’s profitability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LMT for its trend consistency, $194 billion backlog, and relative stability in volatile conditions. Geopolitical catalysts and 35% YTD outperformance position it probabilistically stronger than GE’s volatility or TDG’s leverage risks, per observable momentum and sector bots.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GE’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- GE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GE (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -1.37% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -3.51% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
GE is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| GE | LMT | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 318B | 136B | 71.5B |
| EBITDA | 12.1B | 8.73B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | -1.122 | 23.082 | -4.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 37.78 | 27.56 | 40.73 |
| Revenue | 45.9B | 75B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 4.12B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 20.5B | 21.7B | 30B |
GE | LMT | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 53 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 35 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 14 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 49 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 33 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (71) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for GE (82) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that LMT's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and significantly faster than GE’s over the last 12 months.
GE's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as TDG (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as LMT (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that GE's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as GE (20) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to GE’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as GE (51) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is in the same range as TDG (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to GE’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as GE (37) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to GE’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| GE | LMT | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | N/A | 2 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 13 days ago 54% | 5 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 61% |
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LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.56% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | +5.35% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | +5.08% | ||
| GE - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.96% | ||
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