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HII or HWM or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HII leads with robust YTD gains around 18-26%, backed by a record $53 billion backlog in naval shipbuilding amid strong defense demand.
- HWM shows solid YTD performance near 16-24%, driven by commercial aerospace growth and engine products, though at higher valuation multiples.
- TDY delivers steady gains with shares up over 20% in recent quarters, supported by Q4 earnings beats and raised 2026 guidance.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but HII offers superior value with lower P/E around 26x versus HWM's 60x+.
- Recent momentum favors defense stability in HII and TDY, while HWM rides aviation recovery.
- Market caps range from $16B for HII to $96B for HWM, highlighting scale differences.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HII, HWM, and TDY, key players in the aerospace and defense sector benefiting from naval modernization, commercial aviation recovery, and advanced instrumentation demand. Investors tracking relative performance in industrials may find value in contrasting their business models, recent momentum, and valuation sensitivity amid geopolitical tensions and air travel growth. Traders focused on defense stability versus cyclical aerospace exposure will gain insights into sector trade-offs and market positioning.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is the largest U.S. military shipbuilder, specializing in nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines, and surface combatants through its Newport News and Ingalls segments. Recent market activity has propelled shares higher, with YTD returns of 18-26% and over 98% in the past year, outpacing the S&P 500. A record $53.14 billion backlog, bolstered by $16.9 billion in 2025 contracts including a $95.7 million USS Nimitz award, ensures revenue visibility. Q4 2025 revenue grew 8.23%, with operating margins expanding to 5.26%, though supply chain issues pose risks. Sentiment remains positive on naval demand and workforce investments.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) provides engineered components for aerospace engines, fastening systems, and structures, serving commercial and defense markets. Shares have gained 16-24% YTD and 76-102% over the past year, reflecting strength in commercial aerospace where Q4 2025 revenues rose 13% year-over-year. Engine products drove 19.7% segment growth amid air travel recovery and fuel-efficient aircraft demand. Recent volatility includes a 6-10% monthly pullback, but analysts project EPS growth with EBITDA margins near 25%. Performance is supported by defense exposure, though higher material costs influence sentiment.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies (TDY) delivers instrumentation, digital imaging, and aerospace/defense electronics across marine, space, and instrumentation segments. Shares have advanced with 20-25% gains over recent quarters, trading near $624 amid a 52-week range of $419-$693. Q4 2025 earnings beat estimates by 8%, with revenues up 2.69% to $1.61 billion and raised 2026 EPS guidance to $19.76-$20.22. Momentum reflects robust demand in defense and instrumentation, though short-term pullbacks of 3-7% occurred in recent weeks. A $400 million buyback and NASA wins bolster confidence, with P/E around 33x.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HII, HWM, and TDY operate in aerospace/defense but diverge in focus: HII's shipbuilding yields long-cycle contracts and backlog stability, contrasting HWM's components exposure to aviation cycles and TDY's diversified instrumentation. Growth drivers include geopolitical naval spending for HII, air travel for HWM, and space/defense tech for TDY. Recent momentum is strongest in HII (18-26% YTD), followed by HWM and TDY. Risks encompass supply chains for all, with HWM most sensitive to commercial downturns. HII trades at attractive 26x P/E versus HWM's 60x+, while sentiment favors defense resilience over cyclical trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HII for its trend consistency, $53 billion backlog providing stability, superior YTD momentum, and value at lower multiples amid defense catalysts. While HWM and TDY offer aviation and tech exposure, HII's relative positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileHWM’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- HWM’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HWM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HWM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -0.58% price change this week, while HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -0.20% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +5.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.81%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
HWM is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+5.42% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.08% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| HII | HWM | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 15.4B | 102B | 29.9B |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | 2.27B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | 15.687 | 24.752 | 26.433 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.48 | 68.90 | 34.20 |
| Revenue | 12.5B | 8.25B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 774M | 742M | 352M |
| Total Debt | 2.92B | 3.21B | 2.64B |
HII | HWM | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 12 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 73 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 3 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 31 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 10 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 22 | 36 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HWM (73) in the null industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew somewhat faster than HWM’s and significantly faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as HII (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as TDY (32) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew similarly to HII’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as HII (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew similarly to HII’s and somewhat faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (10) in the null industry is in the same range as TDY (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and somewhat faster than HII’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (22) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDY (36) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to HWM’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | HWM | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | N/A | 1 day ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 60% | 8 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 6 days ago 51% | 7 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 44% |
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HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with VNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then VNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | +1.56% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| MKSI - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| GRMN - TDY | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.04% | ||
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