Advertisement
HII or KTOS or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HII leads with 22% YTD gains and 117% one-year returns, driven by naval shipbuilding contracts and unmanned systems advancements.
- KTOS shows explosive 206% one-year momentum from drone contracts and counter-UAS awards, though YTD at 17% trails HII.
- TDG lags with 5% YTD and 2% annual gains amid acquisition integration risks, despite strong Q1 revenue growth of 14%.
- All three operate in aerospace and defense, benefiting from geopolitical tensions, but HII and KTOS exhibit superior recent momentum over TDG.
- Market caps cluster around $16-71B, with TDG's premium valuation reflecting aftermarket dominance, while HII trades at relatively attractive multiples.
Introduction
This comparison examines HII, KTOS, and TDG, key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid rising geopolitical tensions and sustained U.S. military spending. These stocks appeal to investors seeking exposure to naval shipbuilding, unmanned systems, and aircraft components. Traders focused on relative performance will note divergent momentum, with shipbuilders and drone specialists outperforming parts suppliers in recent market activity. Understanding their business models, recent catalysts, and head-to-head metrics aids in evaluating stock comparison opportunities in this high-demand environment.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. (HII) is the largest military shipbuilder in the U.S., designing, constructing, and maintaining Navy vessels like aircraft carriers, submarines, and amphibious ships through its Ingalls, Newport News, and Mission Technologies segments. In recent market activity, HII shares have advanced over 22% YTD and 117% over one year, trading near $415 with a $16B market cap. Sentiment has strengthened from keel authentications such as the USS Philadelphia (LPD 32), partnerships accelerating unmanned maritime vehicle production, and Q4 revenue of $3.5B exceeding expectations. Geopolitical naval demands and shipyard investments have bolstered performance, though rare earth supply issues pose risks.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) specializes in unmanned aerial systems, drones, hypersonics, and counter-UAS technologies for defense and national security via its Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems segments. Shares trade around $89 with a $17B market cap, posting 17% YTD and a remarkable 206% one-year gain. Recent weeks have seen momentum from a $7M counter-UAS contract, drone collaborations, and Q4 earnings beats with revenue at $345M. Escalating Middle East tensions highlight demand for affordable autonomous systems, driving positive sentiment despite equity raises for scaling production.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components, including actuators, pumps, and ignition systems, across Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-Aviation segments for commercial and military aviation. At approximately $1,258 with a $71B market cap, TDG has risen 5% YTD and 2% over one year, underperforming peers. Q1 FY26 revenue grew 14% to $2.29B, beating estimates, but acquisitions like Stellant Systems and Jet Parts raise margin and debt concerns. Supply chain pressures and aftermarket slowdowns have tempered recent momentum.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases over 25 top-performing AI trading bots from its library of hundreds, each backtested across thousands of tickers including stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These curated bots adapt to current market conditions, featuring strategies like trend following, dip buying, hedging, and AI/ML real-time signals with risk controls such as stop-losses. Performance stats highlight annualized returns from +17% to +217%, win rates of 53% to 95%, and profit factors up to 25.83 across sectors like aerospace, semiconductors, and industrials—some trading groups with assets like ITA or HWM. Diverse timeframes from 1 day to 62 days suit various styles. Explore these bots to align automated trading with defense sector opportunities.
Head-to-Head Comparison
HII, KTOS, and TDG share aerospace/defense exposure but diverge in models: HII's capital-intensive shipbuilding contrasts KTOS' agile unmanned tech and TDG's proprietary aftermarket parts. Growth drivers favor HII and KTOS via naval/geopolitical catalysts over TDG's M&A. Recent momentum ranks HII highest (22% YTD), then KTOS (17%), with TDG at 5%; risks include HII's supply chains, KTOS' execution on hypersonics, and TDG's leverage. TDG shows premium valuation sensitivity, while HII appears more stable amid sentiment shifts toward prime contractors.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HII for its consistent trend strength, naval contract backlog stability, and leading relative performance positioning. Observable catalysts like unmanned initiatives and earnings beats suggest higher probability of sustained outperformance versus KTOS' volatility or TDG's acquisition risks, though all benefit from sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileKTOS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KTOS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -0.56% price change this week, while KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +4.50% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +3.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.88% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | KTOS | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 15.5B | 13.2B | 68.2B |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | 103M | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 16.341 | -7.338 | -9.224 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.63 | 541.08 | 38.84 |
| Revenue | 12.5B | 1.35B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 774M | 561M | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.92B | 146M | 30B |
HII | KTOS | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 63 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 61 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 88 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 63 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 14 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | n/a | 33 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (71) and is significantly better than the same rating for KTOS (94). This means that HII's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and significantly faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HII (30) and is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (61). This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to HII’s and somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (59) and is significantly better than the same rating for KTOS (88). This means that TDG's stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s and significantly faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (61) and is in the same range as KTOS (63). This means that HII's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
KTOS's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HII (15) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77). This means that KTOS's stock grew similarly to HII’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | KTOS | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 61% | 26 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 10 days ago 72% | 13 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 64% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| GJT | 23.15 | 0.18 | +0.78% |
| Synthetic Fixed-Income Securities STRATS 2006-3 AllState Corp | |||
| EMCR | 39.80 | 0.21 | +0.54% |
| Xtrackers EM CarbReduc&ClimtImprvs ETF | |||
| GLOV | 59.30 | N/A | N/A |
| Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta World Low Vol Plus Equity ETF | |||
| BUSA | 37.97 | -0.37 | -0.97% |
| Brandes U.S. Value ETF | |||
| CRMG | 4.91 | -0.37 | -7.01% |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long CRM Daily ETF | |||
HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII | 100% | -2.22% | ||
| LHX - HII | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| GD - HII | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.09% | ||
| KTOS - HII | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| CW - HII | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| KRMN - HII | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.02% | ||
More | ||||
KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | +2.94% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.02% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.21% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.47% | ||
| HII - KTOS | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.22% | ||
More | ||||