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HII or LHX or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. L3Harris Technologies (LHX) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HII has surged over 110% in the past year, driven by naval shipbuilding contracts and unmanned systems advancements, with YTD gains around 22%.
- LHX delivered 68% annual returns and 24% YTD, bolstered by missile defense contracts and a planned Missile Solutions spin-off.
- TDG focuses on aircraft components with steady revenue growth from acquisitions, though YTD down slightly amid higher debt costs.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense sector tailwinds, but HII and LHX show stronger recent momentum versus broader market indices.
- Valuations reflect growth: HII at lower multiples, TDG premium-priced for aftermarket dominance.
- Recent developments like ship keels and THAAD boosters enhance backlog visibility across the trio.
Introduction
This comparison examines HII, LHX, and TDG, key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid rising global tensions and U.S. military modernization. HII specializes in naval shipbuilding, LHX in mission-critical technologies like missiles and communications, and TDG in aircraft components. Traders seeking momentum from defense spending and investors eyeing long-term contracts will find value in analyzing their relative performance, sector exposure, and growth drivers in today's market environment.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is the largest U.S. military shipbuilder, focusing on nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines, and non-nuclear vessels through its Newport News and Ingalls segments, alongside Mission Technologies for C5ISR and unmanned systems. In recent market activity, HII shares have traded around $414, reflecting over 110% gains in the past year and 22% YTD, with a 52-week range of $177 to $460. Sentiment has strengthened from milestones like keel authentication for USS Philadelphia (LPD 32), partnerships for unmanned maritime vehicles, and selections for small surface combatants based on Legend-class cutters. These developments, coupled with 14% shipbuilding throughput growth and capital investments over $400 million, underscore robust Navy demand influencing positive price behavior.
LHX Overview and Recent Performance
L3Harris Technologies (LHX) delivers mission-critical solutions in integrated mission systems, space, airborne systems, and communications, serving defense and commercial clients. Shares have hovered near $364, posting 68% annual returns and 24% YTD, within a 52-week range of $196 to $379. Recent weeks saw gains from a $400 million THAAD contract, leadership shifts for Missile Solutions (including a planned spin-off with $1 billion DoD investment), and breakthroughs in autonomous electronic warfare with Shield AI. Strong 2025 results—$21.9 billion revenue up 3% organically, $27.5 billion orders—have driven momentum, with book-to-bill at 1.3x signaling sustained demand.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components across power & control, airframes, and non-aviation segments, emphasizing proprietary aftermarket products. Trading around $1,258, TDG achieved 11% revenue growth to $9.1 billion trailing twelve months, though YTD slightly negative amid a 52-week range of $1,184 to $1,624. Fiscal Q1 2026 results showed 14% sales rise to $2.3 billion and EPS of $8.23 beating estimates, fueled by commercial OEM and acquisitions like Jet Parts Engineering and Stellant Systems. Higher interest from $2 billion debt issuance tempered guidance raises, yet strong EBITDA margins near 52% support resilient performance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HII, LHX, and TDG operate in aerospace/defense but diverge in models: HII's shipbuilding yields stable Navy contracts with lower cyclicality versus TDG's aftermarket focus (high margins, acquisition-driven growth) and LHX's tech diversification (missiles, cyber). Growth drivers include HII/ LHX backlogs from geopolitical demand, while TDG leverages OEM ramps. Recent momentum favors HII (22% YTD) and LHX (24%) over TDG's flatness. Risks: HII labor shortages, LHX program delays, TDG debt ($99B EV). HII trades cheapest (P/E ~27), TDG premium (40+), with sentiment buoyed by defense budgets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward LHX for its balanced trend consistency, missile catalysts, and 1.3x book-to-bill amid sector rotations—yielding up to 124% simulated returns in defense bots. HII offers stability via shipbuilding visibility, while TDG trails on debt sensitivity. Probabilistic edge to LHX (60-70% outperformance likelihood) based on momentum and positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileLHX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LHX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LHX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LHX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +0.10% price change this week, while LHX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -0.92% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
LHX is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | LHX | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 15.5B | 65.4B | 71.5B |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | 3.75B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 16.459 | 19.757 | -4.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.65 | 41.07 | 40.73 |
| Revenue | 12.5B | 21.9B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 774M | 1.07B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.92B | 11.1B | 30B |
HII | LHX | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 63 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 28 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 75 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 46 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 25 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LHX (27) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (71) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LHX (28) in the null industry, and is in the same range as HII (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and similarly to HII’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LHX (75) in the null industry. This means that TDG's stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s and somewhat faster than LHX’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LHX (46) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDG (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LHX (25) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to LHX’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | LHX | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A | 2 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 13 days ago 54% | 5 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 61% |
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HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
LHX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LHX has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LHX jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LHX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHX | 100% | -0.87% | ||
| GD - LHX | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| HII - LHX | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| NOC - LHX | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.12% | ||
| KTOS - LHX | 50% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| BWXT - LHX | 49% Loosely correlated | +2.16% | ||
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TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.56% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | +5.35% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | +5.08% | ||
| GE - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.96% | ||
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