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HII or RKLB or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Rocket Lab (RKLB) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HII boasts a record $53.14 billion backlog in naval shipbuilding, driving 116% total shareholder return over the past year amid strong U.S. defense demand.
- RKLB shows explosive growth with 270%+ one-year returns, record revenue, and a $1.85 billion backlog from successful launches and space systems expansion.
- TDG maintains high margins around 46% with steady revenue growth of 12-14%, though year-to-date down 6% versus peers' gains.
- HII and RKLB exhibit superior recent momentum in aerospace and defense, outpacing TDG's more stable but slower profile.
- Relative performance highlights RKLB's high-growth volatility, HII's backlog stability, and TDG's profitability leadership.
- Sector tailwinds in defense spending favor all three, with varying risk-reward trade-offs for traders.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HII, RKLB, and TDG, key players in the aerospace and defense sector benefiting from rising geopolitical tensions, U.S. naval modernization, and commercial space demand. HII focuses on military shipbuilding, RKLB on launch services and satellites, and TDG on aircraft components. Investors seeking exposure to defense spending growth or space economy expansion, as well as traders eyeing relative performance and market positioning, will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and valuation sensitivities amid current market conditions.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), America's largest military shipbuilder, designs, builds, and maintains nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines, and surface combatants through its Newport News and Ingalls divisions, alongside mission technologies like C5ISR and unmanned systems. Recent market activity has propelled shares higher, with over 115% one-year returns and year-to-date gains around 22%, supported by a record $53.14 billion backlog fueled by U.S. Navy contracts. Sentiment has strengthened from labor agreements boosting efficiency, contract wins, and naval demand resurgence, though supply chain issues pose ongoing challenges. Trading around $415, HII reflects stability in defense spending trends.
RKLB Overview and Recent Performance
Rocket Lab (RKLB) is an end-to-end space company offering Electron rocket launches, Neutron development, satellite manufacturing, and components for commercial and government clients. Shares have surged over 270% in the past year, with recent volatility around $70 amid record Q4 revenue and a $1.85 billion backlog up 73% year-over-year. Performance drivers include a 100% mission success rate, 83 successful launches, and expanding space systems revenue, enhancing sentiment in the growing space economy. High growth tempers profitability, but momentum from launches and contracts positions RKLB as a high-beta play in aerospace.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components like actuators, pumps, and cockpit systems for commercial and military platforms across its Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-aviation segments. Shares trade near $1,215, with 12-14% revenue growth and operating margins exceeding 46%, though year-to-date down about 6% amid broader market rotations. Recent earnings beat estimates with strong free cash flow, but multi-billion acquisitions and supply chain pressures have moderated momentum compared to peers. Robust aftermarket demand and defense exposure sustain positive sentiment for TDG.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, HII's shipbuilding emphasizes long-cycle government contracts with backlog visibility, contrasting RKLB's agile launch cadence and space systems scalability, and TDG's aftermarket-focused components with proprietary edges. Growth drivers diverge: RKLB leads with 65%+ revenue surges from commercial space, HII via naval modernization, while TDG relies on steady OEM demand. Recent momentum favors RKLB (270%+ yearly) and HII (115%), over TDG's flat profile. Risk factors include RKLB's losses and execution risks, HII's supply chains, and TDG's debt from acquisitions. All share aerospace/defense exposure, but RKLB adds space upside. Valuation sensitivity is highest for RKLB at elevated multiples, with TDG premium on margins and HII reasonable on backlog. Market sentiment tilts toward growth in RKLB and stability in HII.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors RKLB due to its superior trend consistency, explosive backlog growth, and catalysts in space launches amid sector tailwinds, offering higher probabilistic upside relative to HII's stable defense positioning and TDG's profitability. While volatility tempers conviction, observable momentum positions RKLB ahead in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileRKLB’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- RKLB’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RKLB’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RKLB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -0.56% price change this week, while RKLB (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +0.47% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +3.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.88% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | RKLB | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 15.5B | 39.2B | 68.2B |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | -155.47M | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 16.341 | -2.451 | -9.224 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.63 | N/A | 38.84 |
| Revenue | 12.5B | 602M | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 774M | 1.02B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.92B | 254M | 30B |
HII | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 33 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (71). This means that HII’s stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HII (30). This means that TDG’s stock grew similarly to HII’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (59). This means that TDG’s stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (61). This means that HII’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77). This means that HII’s stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | RKLB | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | N/A | 1 day ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 61% | 10 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 5 days ago 83% | 13 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 64% |
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HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII | 100% | -2.22% | ||
| LHX - HII | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| GD - HII | 61% Loosely correlated | -2.09% | ||
| KTOS - HII | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| CW - HII | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| KRMN - HII | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.02% | ||
More | ||||
RKLB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RKLB has been closely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RKLB jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RKLB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKLB | 100% | +1.96% | ||
| LUNR - RKLB | 70% Closely correlated | +7.28% | ||
| RDW - RKLB | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.76% | ||
| ACHR - RKLB | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.50% | ||
| RCAT - RKLB | 53% Loosely correlated | +3.69% | ||
| KRMN - RKLB | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.02% | ||
More | ||||
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.