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HII or RTX or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HII leads with over 22% YTD gains and 115% one-year returns, bolstered by a record $53 billion backlog in naval shipbuilding amid rising defense demand.
- RTX shows steady 11-14% YTD momentum, supported by multi-billion-dollar contracts and a massive $281 billion market cap, though at a premium P/E around 42x.
- TDG trails YTD with a 6% decline despite strong 14% revenue growth and 47% margins, trading at elevated P/E near 40x with acquisition integration risks.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but HII offers relative value at 27x P/E versus peers' higher multiples.
- Recent sentiment favors shipbuilding and missile systems due to geopolitical tensions, enhancing backlog visibility across the group.
- Market caps range from HII's $16B to RTX's $281B, reflecting scale differences in business models.
Introduction
This comparison examines HII, RTX, and TDG, key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid heightened geopolitical tensions and sustained U.S. military spending. HII focuses on naval shipbuilding, RTX on integrated systems and engines, and TDG on specialized components. Traders seeking momentum in defense contracts or investors eyeing relative performance in a volatile market will find value in analyzing their recent trends, valuations, and growth drivers for informed stock comparison decisions.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), America's largest military shipbuilder, designs, builds, and maintains nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines, and surface combatants through its Newport News and Ingalls divisions, alongside Mission Technologies for C5ISR and AI systems. In recent market activity, shares have advanced with over 22% YTD gains and 115% one-year returns, trading around $415 amid a 52-week high near $460. Performance reflects a record $53.14 billion backlog, Q4 revenue up 15.7% to $3.48 billion exceeding estimates, and improved margins from operational efficiencies like new labor agreements. Sentiment has strengthened on naval demand resurgence, contract wins, and innovations in AI welding, positioning HII favorably despite supply chain pressures.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX Corporation (RTX), formed from Raytheon and United Technologies, operates Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney engines, and Raytheon defense systems for commercial and military applications worldwide. Recent weeks show shares near $205, with 11-14% YTD appreciation and 61% one-year gains, supported by a $281 billion market cap. Key influences include $2.01 billion Air Force contracts, missile production expansions, and a $251 billion backlog amid demand for Patriot and SM-6 systems. Q4 results beat expectations with 9% organic sales growth, though elevated P/E around 42x reflects premium valuation. Positive shifts stem from defense escalations and aviation recovery, balanced against execution risks.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components, including actuators, pumps, and cockpit systems, across Power & Control, Airframe, and Non-Aviation segments for OEMs and aftermarkets. Shares trade around $1,215, with a 6% YTD dip despite a $70 billion market cap and 52-week range to $1,524. Recent Q1 FY26 revenue rose 14% to $2.29 billion, EBITDA margins at 52%, and EPS beating forecasts, driven by 7.4% organic growth. However, $3 billion acquisitions raised integration concerns, softening momentum. Sentiment balances high profitability against leverage and supply issues in commercial aerospace recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HII, RTX, and TDG operate in aerospace and defense but differ in models: HII's capital-intensive shipbuilding yields backlog stability via Navy contracts, contrasting RTX's diversified systems and engines with broad commercial/military exposure, and TDG's high-margin proprietary parts emphasizing aftermarket pricing power. Growth drivers include HII and RTX's defense catalysts versus TDG's aviation reliance. Recent momentum favors HII (22%+ YTD) over TDG's lag, with RTX steady. Risks encompass HII's execution delays, RTX's supply chains, and TDG's debt. Valuation sensitivity shows HII cheapest at 27x P/E, TDG priciest at 40x amid superior margins. Sentiment tilts positive on geopolitics boosting primes over components.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HII due to its superior trend consistency, 22%+ YTD outperformance, undervalued 27x P/E relative to peers, and robust backlog visibility from naval catalysts. While RTX offers scale stability and TDG high margins, HII's momentum and positioning suggest higher near-term probability of relative gains in defense-heavy conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HII’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileRTX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HII’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RTX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HII’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HII (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +0.10% price change this week, while RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -2.55% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
HII is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| HII | RTX | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 15.5B | 264B | 71.5B |
| EBITDA | 1.21B | 14.9B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 16.459 | 7.455 | -4.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.65 | 39.60 | 40.73 |
| Revenue | 12.5B | 88.6B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 774M | 7.44B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.92B | 39.5B | 30B |
HII | RTX | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 73 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 41 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 6 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 67 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 48 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 52 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (41) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to RTX’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the null industry is in the same range as TDG (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as HII (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to HII’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HII (60) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (67) in the null industry. This means that TDG's stock grew somewhat faster than HII’s and somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as RTX (48) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to RTX’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
HII's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (52) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew somewhat faster than RTX’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| HII | RTX | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 60% | 14 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 32% | 3 days ago 61% |
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HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then GD could also see price increases.