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HPE or NATL or SMCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) vs. NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL) vs. Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HPE trades around $21.67 with strong 1-year gains of 40%, driven by AI infrastructure advancements and raised FY2026 outlook.
- NATL leads YTD at 15% return near $44, supported by robust 1-year performance of 63% amid self-service banking demand and service innovations.
- SMCI at $30.75 shows AI server momentum with Q2 revenue of $12.68B and $40B full-year guidance, despite share pullback from 52-week highs.
- NATL exhibits superior relative YTD and 1-year momentum, while HPE and SMCI benefit from AI catalysts in recent market activity.
- All three stocks operate in technology sectors with exposure to data infrastructure, but SMCI and HPE show heightened AI focus influencing sentiment.
- Market caps range from $3.2B for NATL to $28.8B for HPE, highlighting scale differences in relative performance.
Introduction
This comparison examines HPE, NATL, and SMCI amid evolving technology sectors, particularly data infrastructure and AI-driven demand. Traders seeking momentum plays may note NATL's strong yearly gains, while investors in enterprise hardware could evaluate HPE and SMCI's AI positioning. Recent market activity underscores contrasts in growth drivers, valuation sensitivity, and sector exposure, offering insights into relative performance for diversified portfolios or sector rotations.
HPE Overview and Recent Performance
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) provides enterprise technology solutions including servers, hybrid cloud, networking, and AI systems across global markets. In recent weeks, shares have hovered around $21.67, within a 52-week range of $11.97-$26.44, reflecting YTD gains of about 10% and 40% over one year. Sentiment has been bolstered by Q1 FY2026 results with $9.3B revenue, raised full-year outlook, and AI advancements like the HPE AI Grid powered by NVIDIA. Partnerships in sovereign AI and cybersecurity, alongside analyst upgrades such as Citigroup's buy rating with $27 target, have supported stability amid broader AI infrastructure demand.
NATL Overview and Recent Performance
NCR Atleos Corporation (NATL), a financial technology firm, delivers self-directed banking solutions like ATMs, kiosks, and network services to institutions and retailers worldwide. Shares trade near $43.93, in a 52-week range of $22.30-$48.50, with leading YTD return of 15% and 63% over one year. Recent market activity features valuation discussions post-momentum, high ATM availability of 5.8 million hours via service innovations, and consent solicitations for notes. Q4 2025 earnings met expectations at $1.15B revenue, with strategic highlights including potential buyout interest, driving positive relative performance in fintech hardware.
SMCI Overview and Recent Performance
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) develops high-performance servers and storage for AI, cloud, and edge computing, emphasizing modular designs. Trading at $30.75 within $27.60-$62.36 52-week range, it posts YTD around 5% and mixed longer-term gains amid pullbacks. Recent developments include Q2 FY2026 revenue of $12.68B, up significantly year-over-year, with full-year guidance raised to $40B. AI infrastructure expansions, sovereign AI support, and CEO comments on buildout positioning have influenced sentiment, though share volatility reflects margin pressures in competitive markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HPE and SMCI focus on AI servers and data centers, contrasting NATL's fintech self-service niche. Growth drivers differ: AI demand accelerates SMCI (123% Q2 growth) and HPE (raised guidance), while NATL leverages ATM networks. Recent momentum favors NATL YTD (15%), over HPE (10%) and SMCI (5%), with 1-year leads at 63% vs. 40% and lower. Risks include supply costs for AI plays versus economic sensitivity for banking tech. HPE's scale ($29B cap) offers stability; SMCI higher volatility; NATL attractive multiples. Sentiment tilts AI-exposed amid infrastructure boom.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NATL due to consistent YTD and 1-year momentum, stable fintech positioning, and positive service metrics amid relative outperformance. While HPE and SMCI hold AI catalysts like guidance raises and infrastructure deals, NATL's trend stability and lower volatility suggest higher probability of near-term relative strength in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HPE’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNATL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and SMCI’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- HPE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NATL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SMCI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HPE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NATL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and SMCI’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HPE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NATL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
HPE (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +0.89% price change this week, while NATL (@Packaged Software) price change was +1.03% , and SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price fluctuated 0.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +4.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was +32.43%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +0.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.48%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was +1.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
HPE is expected to report earnings on Jun 02, 2026.
NATL is expected to report earnings on May 18, 2026.
SMCI is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+4.20% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
@Packaged Software (+0.82% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
@Computer Processing Hardware (+1.20% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
| HPE | NATL | SMCI | |
| Capitalization | 32.9B | 3.26B | 13.9B |
| EBITDA | 4.73B | 736M | 1.21B |
| Gain YTD | 4.036 | 15.849 | -20.670 |
| P/E Ratio | 27.45 | 20.63 | 16.95 |
| Revenue | 35.7B | 4.35B | 28.1B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 456M | 4.09B |
| Total Debt | 24.1B | 2.9B | 4.91B |
HPE | NATL | SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 54 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 66 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 39 | 84 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 19 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 43 | 90 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 62 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 5 | 58 | 36 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HPE's Valuation (10) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (51) in the Computer Communications industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NATL (66) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that HPE's stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s and somewhat faster than NATL’s over the last 12 months.
NATL's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is in the same range as HPE (49) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (84) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that NATL's stock grew similarly to HPE’s and somewhat faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
NATL's SMR Rating (19) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (57) in the Computer Communications industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for HPE (95) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry. This means that NATL's stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s and significantly faster than HPE’s over the last 12 months.
HPE's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as NATL (43) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (90) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that HPE's stock grew similarly to NATL’s and significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
HPE's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SMCI (52) in the Computer Communications industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NATL (62) in the Property Or Casualty Insurance industry. This means that HPE's stock grew somewhat faster than SMCI’s and somewhat faster than NATL’s over the last 12 months.
| HPE | NATL | SMCI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 4 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 10 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 61% | 12 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | N/A | 1 day ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 73% |
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|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FFA | 21.07 | 0.14 | +0.67% |
| First Trust Enhanced Equity Income Fund | |||
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| iShares Large Cap Core Active ETF | |||
| SCCR | 25.72 | 0.01 | +0.04% |
| Schwab® Core Bond ETF | |||
| SPMV | 50.75 | N/A | N/A |
| Invesco S&P 500 Minimum Variance ETF | |||
| PYZ | 124.77 | -0.14 | -0.11% |
| Invesco DW Basic Materials Momt ETF | |||
NATL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NATL has been loosely correlated with EEFT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NATL jumps, then EEFT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NATL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATL | 100% | -0.70% | ||
| EEFT - NATL | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| CPAY - NATL | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.87% | ||
| NTCT - NATL | 48% Loosely correlated | -2.53% | ||
| FFIV - NATL | 46% Loosely correlated | -3.34% | ||
| DBD - NATL | 46% Loosely correlated | +5.89% | ||
More | ||||
SMCI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMCI has been loosely correlated with DELL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMCI jumps, then DELL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMCI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMCI | 100% | -0.64% | ||
| DELL - SMCI | 49% Loosely correlated | -2.16% | ||
| CRSR - SMCI | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| LOGI - SMCI | 38% Loosely correlated | -3.94% | ||
| QMCO - SMCI | 36% Loosely correlated | -2.30% | ||
| UMAC - SMCI | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.42% | ||
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