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HWM or JOBY or NOC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) vs. Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) vs. Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HWM has delivered a YTD return of 22.07% and 1-year return of 101.42%, driven by robust commercial aerospace demand.
- NOC leads YTD performance at 33.03% with a 61.68% 1-year gain, supported by defense contracts and a record $95.68B backlog.
- JOBY shows YTD gains of 27.65% and 43.83% over 1 year, boosted by Uber partnerships for electric air taxis in Dubai.
- All three stocks benefit from aerospace trends, but NOC offers stability via defense exposure, while HWM excels in growth metrics.
- Recent AI bots on Tickeron targeting aerospace/defense show annualized returns up to +98.79% with win rates over 70%.
- Market caps: NOC $107.9B, HWM $100.7B, JOBY $9.2B, highlighting scale differences in relative performance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HWM, JOBY, and NOC, three companies operating within the aerospace and defense sectors amid rising demand for advanced aviation technologies and military capabilities. HWM focuses on engineered components, JOBY pioneers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, and NOC delivers integrated defense systems. Traders seeking growth in commercial aviation or stability in defense spending, as well as investors tracking sector momentum and relative performance, will find value in analyzing their recent market positioning, revenue drivers, and sentiment shifts.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) provides advanced engineered solutions for aerospace and transportation, operating through segments like Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. In recent market activity, HWM has shown strong upward momentum, with shares trading around $250 within a 52-week range of $105-$267. YTD return stands at 22.07%, and 1-year at 101.42%, outperforming broader benchmarks. Sentiment has been bolstered by robust commercial aerospace growth, including a 13% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, driven by engine products and defense programs. Analysts maintain optimism, with an average price target of $278, citing strategic acquisitions and market positioning amid rising aircraft demand.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility, facilitating passenger transport and related services globally. Shares recently closed near $9.55, within a 52-week range of $4.96-$20.95. The stock has posted a YTD return of 27.65% and 1-year return of 43.83%, reflecting volatility tied to development milestones. Recent weeks have seen positive sentiment from partnerships, including Uber for all-electric air taxi services in Dubai, advancing FAA certification and manufacturing scale-up. Despite cash burn concerns, progress in commercial testing has supported relative performance in the emerging eVTOL space, with analyst targets averaging $12.56.
NOC Overview and Recent Performance
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is a leading aerospace and defense technology firm, with segments in Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. Trading around $756 in a 52-week range of $450-$774, NOC boasts a YTD return of 33.03% and 1-year return of 61.68%. Recent performance reflects steady gains from defense contracts, including a $225M award, and a record backlog exceeding $95B. While navigating rare earth supply challenges, the company's positioning in military programs and space initiatives has driven positive sentiment, with analysts setting an average target of $724.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page features a curated selection from hundreds of AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers using technical and fundamental signals. These bots employ diverse strategies, timeframes from 5-min to 60-min, and focus on sectors like aerospace & defense, delivering annualized returns up to +134.76% (win rates 60-80%, profit factors over 2.0), such as AeroDefense DFEN at +98.79% win rate 71.70% and Aerospace HWM at +63.83% win rate 71.08%. Selected for top performance in current volatility, they offer real-time signals, virtual portfolios, and brokerage integration. Explore these high-performing bots tailored to market conditions at Trending AI Robots to enhance your trading edge.
Head-to-Head Comparison
HWM, JOBY, and NOC share aerospace exposure but diverge in business models: HWM's components supply commercial engines (growth via air travel recovery), JOBY's eVTOL targets disruptive urban mobility (high-risk innovation), and NOC's systems emphasize defense stability (government-backed revenue). Growth drivers contrast HWM and NOC's established momentum against JOBY's certification catalysts. Recent momentum favors NOC YTD, with HWM leading 1-year. Risks include JOBY's pre-revenue dilution, NOC's supply chains, and HWM's cyclicality. Valuation sensitivity is higher for JOBY amid speculation, while sentiment tilts toward defense reliability over commercial volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NOC due to its trend consistency, defense backlog stability, and superior YTD positioning amid geopolitical catalysts, with bots like AeroDefense showing strong sector alignment. HWM follows closely on commercial growth, while JOBY offers higher upside potential probabilistically tied to eVTOL milestones.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HWM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and NOC’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- HWM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NOC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HWM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and NOC’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HWM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NOC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +9.19% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was -2.59% , and NOC (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -1.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.05%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
HWM is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
NOC is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.33% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.96% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| HWM | JOBY | NOC | |
| Capitalization | 102B | 8.11B | 98.1B |
| EBITDA | 2.27B | -679.43M | 7.21B |
| Gain YTD | 23.991 | -37.273 | 21.496 |
| P/E Ratio | 68.48 | N/A | 23.75 |
| Revenue | 8.25B | 53.4M | 42B |
| Total Cash | 742M | 1.41B | 4.4B |
| Total Debt | 3.21B | 36.8M | 17B |
HWM | NOC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 66 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOC's Valuation (66) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (75) in the null industry. This means that NOC’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as NOC (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is in the same range as NOC (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (40) in the null industry is in the same range as NOC (48) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the null industry is in the same range as NOC (29) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
| HWM | JOBY | NOC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 32% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 5 days ago 78% | 9 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 50% | 12 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 30% |
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| USEP | 39.62 | 0.14 | +0.37% |
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HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.