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HWM or JOBY or RKLB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HWM leads with profitability, boasting 11% revenue growth and 18% net margins, driven by strong commercial aerospace demand.
- RKLB shows explosive momentum with 38% revenue growth to $602M and multiple recent launches, but remains unprofitable amid Neutron development.
- JOBY advances in eVTOL certification with FAA progress and partnerships, though high cash burn and legal challenges temper near-term gains.
- HWM offers stability in established aerospace components, while JOBY and RKLB represent higher-risk growth in urban air mobility and space launches.
- Recent market activity highlights sector strength, with HWM up over 100% in the past year and RKLB surging 270%, outpacing broader indices.
- Valuation contrasts: HWM trades at a premium P/E due to earnings, versus negative multiples for pre-profit JOBY and RKLB.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines HWM, JOBY, and RKLB, three players in the aerospace and advanced mobility sectors. HWM supplies critical engine components, JOBY pioneers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) air taxis, and RKLB delivers small satellite launches and space systems. Traders seeking exposure to rising air travel, defense spending, and commercial space may find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and risks amid recent sector tailwinds like increased aircraft production and launch cadence.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) specializes in engineered solutions for jet engines, fastening systems, and structures, serving commercial and defense aerospace markets. In recent quarters, the company reported Q4 2025 revenue growth of 14.6% year-over-year, with full-year sales reaching $8.25 billion, up 11%. Net income rose 30.6% to $1.51 billion, reflecting 18.3% margins and robust demand for fuel-efficient aircraft components. Stock performance has been strong, with shares gaining over 100% in the past year and hitting record highs near $267 in early March 2026, supported by a 748% five-year total return. Sentiment remains positive due to a record backlog, commercial aerospace strength (53% of sales), and analyst upgrades, though valuation concerns have emerged amid premium multiples.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY) develops all-electric eVTOL aircraft for urban air mobility, targeting passenger services via partnerships like Uber. Recent progress includes record FAA type certification advancement in Q4 2025, with plans for UAE launches and U.S. eIPP program participation. Revenue surged to $53 million in 2025 from near-zero prior, though losses widened to $930 million amid scaling. Shares have risen 55-64% over the past year but declined 24-30% YTD amid dilution concerns and Archer countersuits alleging supply chain issues. Trading around $10, JOBY reflects high volatility, with market cap near $9.7 billion, as investors weigh regulatory milestones against cash burn.
RKLB Overview and Recent Performance
Rocket Lab (RKLB) provides launch services via Electron rockets and space systems, including spacecraft manufacturing. Fiscal 2025 revenue hit a record $602 million, up 38%, with Q4 at $180 million and 38% gross margins. Backlog grew 73% to $1.85 billion, fueled by launches and hypersonic tests. Shares surged 270% over the past year, trading near $70 with $39-40 billion market cap, despite February pullbacks; recent dual launches from global sites boosted sentiment. Neutron development and defense contracts drive optimism, though profitability lags.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HWM, JOBY, and RKLB span mature components versus disruptive mobility. Business models differ: HWM’s established supply chain yields profits (P/E ~68, revenue growth 11%), contrasting unprofitable growth bets in JOBY (eVTOL commercialization) and RKLB (launches, Neutron). Recent momentum favors RKLB (270% 1Y return) over HWM (100%) and JOBY (55%), amid volatility. Risks include JOBY’s regulatory hurdles/legal battles, RKLB’s execution on medium-lift, and HWM’s OEM dependencies. Sector exposure ties to aerospace recovery for HWM, space economy for RKLB, urban air for JOBY. Valuation sensitivity is highest for profitable HWM; sentiment shifts with catalysts like launches or certifications.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HWM for its trend consistency, profitability, and relative stability in recent market activity, positioning it ahead probabilistically amid aerospace demand. RKLB shows strong momentum from launches, while JOBY lags on dilution risks, though both offer upside on catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HWM’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and RKLB’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- HWM’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RKLB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HWM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and RKLB’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HWM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RKLB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +1.20% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +10.55% , and RKLB (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +24.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.07%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.60%.
Reported Earning Dates
HWM is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.22% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.72% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| HWM | JOBY | RKLB | |
| Capitalization | 102B | 8.95B | 51.7B |
| EBITDA | 2.27B | -679.43M | -155.47M |
| Gain YTD | 24.786 | -30.152 | 28.240 |
| P/E Ratio | 68.90 | N/A | N/A |
| Revenue | 8.25B | 53.4M | 602M |
| Total Cash | 742M | 1.41B | 1.02B |
| Total Debt | 3.21B | 36.8M | 254M |
HWM | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HWM | JOBY | RKLB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 89% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 51% | 22 days ago 82% | 14 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 81% |
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HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | N/A | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | +2.97% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.68% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.73% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | -5.83% | ||
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RKLB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RKLB has been closely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RKLB jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RKLB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKLB | 100% | +5.50% | ||
| LUNR - RKLB | 68% Closely correlated | -0.24% | ||
| RDW - RKLB | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| ACHR - RKLB | 54% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| RCAT - RKLB | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.94% | ||
| KRMN - RKLB | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.06% | ||
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