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INTC or MCHP or QCOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) vs. QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- INTC shows strong YTD gains of about 18% but faces recent volatility from regulatory scrutiny and leadership changes, trading around $43 with a $217B market cap.
- MCHP exhibits recovery signals with raised guidance and book-to-bill over 1.0, yet shares down 13% in the past month, around $70 with a $40B market cap.
- QCOM reports record revenues in automotive and handsets but contends with demand softness and trade tensions, YTD down 20% at $136 with a $145B market cap.
- INTC leads in one-year returns over 100%, outperforming peers amid AI alliances, while MCHP and QCOM lag with 20% and -11% respectively.
- Semiconductor sector exposure varies: INTC in CPUs/AI, MCHP in embedded/microcontrollers, QCOM in wireless/mobile.
- Recent momentum favors INTC's upside potential despite risks, with MCHP showing cyclical improvement and QCOM diversified but pressured.
Introduction
This comparison examines INTC, MCHP, and QCOM, three key players in the semiconductor sector amid evolving AI, automotive, and wireless demands. Investors tracking relative performance in chips may find value here, as these stocks reflect broader trends in manufacturing recovery, inventory normalization, and geopolitical influences. With divergent YTD trajectories—INTC up notably while others decline—this analysis highlights recent market positioning, sentiment drivers, and trade-offs for portfolio consideration in a volatile environment.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC) designs and manufactures advanced semiconductors, spanning client computing, data centers, AI, and foundry services. In recent market activity, shares around $43 have delivered robust YTD returns of approximately 18% and over 100% in the past year, outpacing the S&P 500. Sentiment has been influenced by AI and 6G alliances, alongside strong server demand projections. However, performance faced pressure from U.S. lawmaker scrutiny over China-linked chip tools, board chair departure after 17 years, and CEO reassessment of 18A manufacturing tech for external clients. These developments underscore regulatory risks balanced against foundry ambitions and partnerships like SambaNova for AI inference.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) supplies microcontrollers, analog, and connectivity solutions for industrial, automotive, and consumer applications. Shares near $70 reflect YTD gains around 2-4% but a 13% monthly decline amid high inventory challenges. Recent weeks show recovery signs, with Q3 revenue guidance raised due to strong bookings and book-to-bill exceeding 1.0. Earnings growth projections for fiscal 2026 stand at 18%, supported by edge AI expansions, automotive Ethernet partnerships like Hyundai, and power modules for data centers. Analysts note improving channel inventory at 201 days, fostering optimism despite cyclical pressures.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) develops wireless technologies, focusing on CDMA, handsets, automotive, and IoT via QCT and QTL segments. Trading around $136, shares posted YTD declines of about 20% and 11% over one year, lagging peers. Recent performance benefited from record Q1 fiscal 2026 revenues of $12.25B, driven by 15% automotive growth to $1.1B via Snapdragon Digital Chassis and 3% handset gains. Expansions into robotics AI like Dragonwing and utility partnerships offset headwinds from U.S.-China trade restrictions, memory shortages, and downward EPS revisions of 7-8% for fiscal 2026-27. Diversification bolsters resilience amid handset uncertainty.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
INTC, MCHP, and QCOM operate in semiconductors but diverge in models: INTC emphasizes CPU/data center foundry (market cap $217B, negative P/E on losses), MCHP targets embedded analog/microcontrollers ($40B cap), and QCOM leads in wireless licensing/chips ($145B cap, P/E ~27). Growth drivers contrast INTC's AI/server rebound versus MCHP's industrial/auto recovery and QCOM's auto/IoT diversification. Recent momentum favors INTC's 100%+ one-year surge over MCHP's 20% and QCOM's decline, though MCHP's guidance hikes signal upside. Risks include INTC's regulatory/execution hurdles, MCHP's inventory cycles, and QCOM's trade/demand softness. Valuation sensitivity is highest for loss-making INTC; sentiment tilts positive on INTC/MCHP catalysts amid QCOM's China exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors INTC based on superior trend consistency, YTD/annual outperformance, and AI/6G catalysts positioning it ahead in relative strength. While MCHP shows stabilizing bookings and QCOM diversified revenues, INTC's momentum and partnerships suggest higher probability of near-term gains, albeit with elevated volatility risks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
INTC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMCHP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and QCOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
INTC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCHP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and QCOM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
INTC (@Semiconductors) experienced а +23.82% price change this week, while MCHP (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.09% , and QCOM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +0.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| INTC | MCHP | QCOM | |
| Capitalization | 313B | 38.7B | 137B |
| EBITDA | 14.4B | 877M | 14.8B |
| Gain YTD | 69.051 | 12.965 | -24.652 |
| P/E Ratio | 904.17 | 86.21 | 25.82 |
| Revenue | 52.9B | 4.37B | 44.9B |
| Total Cash | 37.4B | 251M | 11.8B |
| Total Debt | 46.6B | 5.41B | 14.8B |
INTC | MCHP | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 22 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 93 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 90 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 44 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | 6 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (8) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as MCHP (13) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to MCHP’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (90) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as INTC (91) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as MCHP (93) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to INTC’s and similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's SMR Rating (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (89) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew somewhat faster than INTC’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (44) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (64) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that INTC's stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s and somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MCHP's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| INTC | MCHP | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 65% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 13 days ago 73% | 5 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 69% |
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INTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, INTC has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if INTC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To INTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | 100% | +1.07% | ||
| LRCX - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| KLIC - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| FORM - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| VECO - INTC | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | +0.48% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 97% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 85% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 85% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 82% Closely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
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QCOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QCOM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QCOM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QCOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 100% | +0.24% | ||
| LRCX - QCOM | 80% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| KLAC - QCOM | 78% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| AMKR - QCOM | 76% Closely correlated | +5.11% | ||
| NXPI - QCOM | 75% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| AMAT - QCOM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
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