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INTC or NVDA or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- INTC leads YTD performance with +17.67% gains, driven by turnaround efforts in AI and foundry services, outpacing the S&P 500.
- NVDA reports explosive revenue growth of 65% for fiscal 2026 to $215.9B, fueled by data center AI demand, though YTD flat at -4.65% amid market volatility.
- TXN shows steady YTD +11.38% amid analog chip recovery, with Q4 revenue slightly missing but Q1 guidance upbeat on AI data center demand.
- NVDA dwarfs peers in market cap at $4.3T vs. INTC $217B and TXN $176B, reflecting premium AI positioning.
- All three face sector volatility, but INTC's recent momentum and lower valuation offer relative value in semiconductors stock comparison.
Introduction
In the competitive semiconductor sector, INTC, NVDA, and TXN represent diverse strategies: CPU and foundry recovery, AI data center dominance, and analog chip stability. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance, and growth drivers amid AI demand and supply chain dynamics. Traders seeking momentum and investors eyeing long-term relative performance will find insights into valuation sensitivity, sector exposure, and sentiment shifts in the current environment.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC) designs and manufactures semiconductors, focusing on client CPUs, data center AI products, and foundry services through segments like Client Computing Group, Data Center and AI, and Intel Foundry. Recent market activity has seen INTC shares surge around 18% YTD to approximately $43, with 109% one-year gains, outperforming the S&P 500. Sentiment has improved on restructuring, AI investments like a $100M SambaNova stake, U.S. fab expansions, and partnerships boosting data center revenue. Despite quarterly revenue dips of -4%, five straight quarters of above-guidance results and optimistic 2026 inference trends have driven recovery, though execution risks linger.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) leads in accelerated computing for AI, operating in Compute & Networking and Graphics segments, with dominant data center platforms. Fiscal 2026 revenue hit a record $215.9B, up 65% YoY, including Q4's $68.1B (73% growth) driven by $62.3B data center sales. Shares trade near $178, YTD slightly down amid volatility, but analysts project strong Q1 at $78B. Blackwell architecture ramps and AI infrastructure demand fuel optimism, tempered by high valuation at 36x P/E and customer concentration risks.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) specializes in analog and embedded semiconductors for electronics worldwide. Q4 revenue reached $4.42B, with data center growth at 70%, guiding Q1 above estimates on AI demand. Shares around $193 reflect +11% YTD gains but recent pullbacks from highs, with steady dividends (2.9% yield). Analog inventory normalization and partnerships like NVIDIA for robotics support sentiment, though valuation at 35x P/E draws scrutiny amid sector pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
INTC, NVDA, and TXN span semiconductor models: INTC's integrated design-manufacturing contrasts NVDA's fabless AI focus and TXN's analog niche. Growth drivers differ—NVDA at 65% revenue surge vs. INTC's -4% and TXN's stabilization. Recent momentum favors INTC YTD, but NVDA leads long-term. Risks include INTC's execution hurdles, NVDA's 36x P/E and geopolitics, TXN's cyclicality. All tied to semis/AI, INTC offers value at lower multiples vs. growth premiums.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors INTC for its consistent YTD trend outperformance, stability in recovery catalysts like foundry/AI shifts, and attractive relative positioning amid peers' volatility. Probabilistic edge stems from momentum and lower risk-reward asymmetry versus NVDA's lofty growth pricing or TXN's steadier but muted upside.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
INTC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
INTC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
INTC (@Semiconductors) experienced а +0.80% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.73% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +7.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +27.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.86% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| INTC | NVDA | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 330B | 4.91T | 213B |
| EBITDA | 14.4B | 145B | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 78.049 | 8.349 | 35.584 |
| P/E Ratio | 904.17 | 41.24 | 42.88 |
| Revenue | 52.9B | 216B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 37.4B | 62.6B | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 46.6B | 11B | 14B |
INTC | NVDA | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 24 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 8 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 13 | 32 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 13 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 40 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 49 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (14) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (78) and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (96). This means that TXN's stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TXN (45) and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86). This means that NVDA's stock grew somewhat faster than TXN’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (32) and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (90). This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (8) and is in the same range as NVDA (13). This means that INTC's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (40) and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (87). This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| INTC | NVDA | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 69% | 23 days ago 68% | 23 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 45% |
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