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INTC or ON or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. ON Semiconductor (ON) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- INTC has delivered strong year-to-date gains around 14%, outperforming the S&P 500 amid AI data center growth, though recent weeks saw volatility with shares near $42.
- ON faces headwinds, with shares down over 12% in the past month around $58, reflecting cyclical pressures in automotive and industrial segments.
- TXN shows relative stability with about 10% YTD returns, trading near $190, supported by analog chip demand and strategic acquisitions.
- All three operate in semiconductors but differ in focus: INTC on CPUs and foundry, ON on power/sensing, TXN on analog/embedded processing.
- Recent market activity highlights sector sensitivity to AI trends and economic cycles, with INTC showing higher beta (volatility) at 1.38 versus peers.
- Valuations vary, with TXN at higher P/E multiples reflecting profitability, while INTC trades at a discount due to losses.
Introduction
This comparison examines INTC, ON, and TXN, key players in the semiconductor sector vital to AI, automotive, and industrial applications. Traders seeking momentum in AI-driven chips or investors eyeing stable analog exposure will find value here. Amid recent market volatility from geopolitical tensions and sector rotations, understanding their relative performance, business models, and catalysts provides clarity on positioning in a cyclical industry.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC) designs and manufactures semiconductors, focusing on client CPUs, data center/AI processors, and foundry services. In recent market activity, shares have fluctuated around $42 with year-to-date gains of about 14%, outpacing the S&P 500's 6%. Momentum stems from data center and AI revenue growth, including advancements in 18A process nodes and product launches like Core Ultra Series 3. Sentiment reflects recovery from prior losses, buoyed by AI demand, though competition from Nvidia and manufacturing challenges temper gains. Market cap nears $212 billion, with trailing P/E undefined due to negative EPS.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) specializes in intelligent power and sensing solutions for automotive, industrial, and cloud markets. Recent weeks have pressured shares, down over 12% monthly to around $58, lagging the sector amid cyclical downturns in end-markets. Performance reflects softer automotive and industrial demand, with year-to-date returns mixed. Key influences include bets on AI data centers and electric vehicles (EVs), though short-term headwinds from inventory adjustments weigh on sentiment. Market cap stands at roughly $25 billion, with analysts noting value amid projected rebounds.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) leads in analog and embedded processing chips for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics. Shares trade near $190, with year-to-date returns around 10% and recent monthly dips of 12%, mirroring sector trends. Stability arises from diversified demand and moves like the proposed $7.5 billion Silicon Laboratories acquisition for wireless expansion, plus an $8.22 billion buyback. Sentiment benefits from earnings growth expectations (Q1 EPS at $1.37, up 7% YoY), supporting a market cap over $170 billion and P/E around 35.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
INTC, ON, and TXN share semiconductor exposure but diverge in models: INTC's integrated device manufacturer (IDM) emphasizes CPUs and foundry amid AI shifts, contrasting TXN's analog dominance and ON's power/sensing niche. Growth drivers favor INTC's AI catalysts over peers' industrial/auto reliance. Recent momentum shows INTC leading YTD, while ON lags on cyclical risks. TXN offers stability via buybacks and acquisitions. Valuation sensitivity is highest for TXN (P/E ~35), INTC trades at a discount despite losses, and ON appears undervalued. Market sentiment tilts toward AI plays like INTC, balancing TXN's consistency against ON's recovery potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors INTC based on trend consistency in AI/data center growth, recent YTD outperformance, and relative positioning versus peers amid sector volatility. While TXN provides stability and ON offers cyclical upside, INTC's catalysts like process node progress suggest higher probabilistic momentum in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
INTC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileON’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
INTC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ON’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
INTC (@Semiconductors) experienced а +23.82% price change this week, while ON (@Semiconductors) price change was +10.39% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| INTC | ON | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 313B | 27B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 14.4B | 888M | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 69.051 | 26.777 | 24.579 |
| P/E Ratio | 904.17 | 236.72 | 39.40 |
| Revenue | 52.9B | 6B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 37.4B | 2.55B | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 46.6B | 3.01B | 14B |
INTC | ON | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 19 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 74 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 88 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 8 | 19 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | 1 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for ON (87) and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (96). This means that TXN's stock grew significantly faster than ON’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Profit vs Risk Rating (52) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ON (74) and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (91). This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to ON’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (31) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ON (88) and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (89). This means that TXN's stock grew somewhat faster than ON’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ON (8) and is in the same range as TXN (19). This means that INTC's stock grew similarly to ON’s and similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (32) and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86). This means that ON's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| INTC | ON | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 3 days ago 90% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 72% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 13 days ago 77% | 13 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 59% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SCHG | 30.51 | 0.06 | +0.20% |
| Schwab US Large-Cap Growth ETF™ | |||
| PSCD | 108.14 | N/A | N/A |
| Invesco S&P SmallCap Cnsmr Discret ETF | |||
| LFAI | 152.05 | N/A | N/A |
| LifeX 2050 Longevity Income ETF | |||
| TUA | 21.09 | -0.03 | -0.14% |
| Simplify Short Term Trsy Futs Strat ETF | |||
| FTXN | 36.05 | -0.12 | -0.33% |
| First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF | |||
INTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, INTC has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if INTC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To INTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | 100% | +1.07% | ||
| LRCX - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| KLIC - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| FORM - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| VECO - INTC | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
More | ||||
ON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ON has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ON jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.