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INTC or QCOM or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- INTC has surged 24% YTD and 93% over the past year, driven by foundry improvements and AI partnerships, though profitability remains challenged.
- QCOM lags with -24% YTD amid analyst downgrades and Apple modem phase-out risks, despite AI and automotive diversification efforts.
- TSM leads with 13% YTD gains and 100% one-year return, fueled by 30% revenue growth from AI chip demand in recent months.
- TSM boasts the highest market cap at $1.76T and forward P/E of ~24, contrasting INTC's negative trailing P/E and QCOM's 26 trailing P/E.
- Semiconductor sector exposure ties all three to AI trends, but TSM's pure-play foundry model shows strongest momentum and stability.
- Recent volatility higher for INTC (beta 1.38) versus QCOM (1.27) and TSM (1.28), reflecting turnaround risks.
Introduction
In the semiconductor sector, INTC, QCOM, and TSM represent diverse strategies amid surging AI demand and geopolitical tensions. Intel focuses on integrated design and manufacturing with foundry ambitions, Qualcomm excels in mobile and edge AI chips, and TSMC dominates as the leading pure-play foundry. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance, and growth drivers, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term sector exposure in a market where AI infrastructure spending exceeds $650 billion annually.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC), a pioneer in x86 processors, operates across client computing, data center AI, and foundry services. Recent market activity has propelled shares up 24% YTD and 93% over the past year, with a market cap of $229B. Key influences include CEO Lip-Bu Tan's push on 18A node yields, improving 7-8% monthly, and external customer interest for AI chips. Partnerships like Nvidia's $5B stake and U.S. government funding bolster the foundry turnaround, despite near-term losses. Sentiment has shifted positively on AI GPU re-entry and server CPU pricing, though execution risks persist amid competition.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) designs Snapdragon processors for mobile, automotive, and IoT, with growing AI and 5G focus. Shares have declined 24% YTD and 13% over the past year, trading at a $139B market cap with a trailing P/E of 26. Recent weeks saw pressure from Bank of America's Underperform downgrade, citing $7-8B Apple modem revenue loss by 2027 and competition from Samsung/Xiaomi. Offsetting this, partnerships like Wayve for AI-driven Snapdragon Ride highlight automotive growth potential, though handset softness and memory costs weigh on sentiment.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), the world's top contract chipmaker, fabricates advanced nodes for Nvidia, Apple, and AMD. With a $1.76T market cap, shares rose 13% YTD and nearly 100% over the past year, forward P/E around 24. Recent performance reflects 30% revenue growth in January-February from AI infrastructure demand, despite mobile/PC softness due to memory prices. Capacity shifts to high-end AI chips sustain momentum, positioning TSM as a key AI enabler amid hyperscaler capex boom.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
INTC's integrated model contrasts TSM's foundry purity and QCOM's fabless design, exposing Intel to higher capex risks but potential margins if 18A succeeds. Growth drivers favor TSM's AI revenue surge (30%+), over QCOM's mobile erosion and INTC's recovery. Recent momentum strongest for TSM (13% YTD), with INTC rebounding sharply but volatile; QCOM trails on downgrades. Risks include TSM's geopolitical tensions, INTC's losses, and QCOM's customer concentration. Valuation-wise, TSM trades at a premium forward P/E versus QCOM's 12 and INTC's elevated 89, reflecting superior sentiment and AI positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors TSM for its consistent trend strength, 30% revenue momentum from AI catalysts, and relative stability versus peers. INTC shows rebound potential via foundry yields and partnerships, while QCOM faces headwinds; however, TSM's positioning offers the highest probability of outperformance in the near term amid sustained hyperscaler demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
INTC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileQCOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
INTC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while QCOM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
INTC (@Semiconductors) experienced а +23.82% price change this week, while QCOM (@Semiconductors) price change was +0.99% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +9.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| INTC | QCOM | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 313B | 137B | 1.63T |
| EBITDA | 14.4B | 14.8B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 69.051 | -24.652 | 22.635 |
| P/E Ratio | 904.17 | 25.82 | 35.52 |
| Revenue | 52.9B | 44.9B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 37.4B | 11.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 46.6B | 14.8B | N/A |
INTC | QCOM | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 54 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 90 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 42 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 64 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 86 | 16 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (8) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (51) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for QCOM (90) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (91) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSM's stock grew significantly faster than QCOM’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (89) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (39) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (64) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that INTC's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (19) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| INTC | QCOM | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | N/A | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 64% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 73% | 23 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 61% |
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INTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, INTC has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if INTC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To INTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | 100% | +1.07% | ||
| LRCX - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| KLIC - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.86% | ||
| FORM - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| VECO - INTC | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
More | ||||
QCOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QCOM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QCOM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QCOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 100% | +0.24% | ||
| LRCX - QCOM | 80% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| KLAC - QCOM | 78% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| AMKR - QCOM | 76% Closely correlated | +5.11% | ||
| NXPI - QCOM | 75% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| AMAT - QCOM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
More | ||||
TSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSM has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSM jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 100% | +1.40% | ||
| ASML - TSM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| ASX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.35% | ||
| LRCX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| NVDA - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.57% | ||
| MPWR - TSM | 72% Closely correlated | +1.47% | ||
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