Advertisement
JOBY or KTOS or LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JOBY focuses on eVTOL air mobility, showing volatility with recent declines amid FAA certification progress and cash burn concerns.
- KTOS leads in unmanned systems and hypersonics, with strong Q4 revenue growth of 22% but recent share price pullbacks after offerings.
- LMT offers stability as a defense giant, with consistent gains driven by F-35 deliveries and rising budgets, though facing sector headwinds.
- KTOS boasts superior 1-year returns around 165%, outpacing LMT's 34% and JOBY's 45%.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense trends, but LMT provides the lowest beta and highest profitability.
- Recent market activity highlights trade-offs: high-growth potential in JOBY and KTOS versus LMT's reliability.
Introduction
This comparison examines JOBY, KTOS, and LMT in the evolving aerospace and defense landscape. JOBY pioneers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) for urban air mobility, while KTOS and LMT specialize in unmanned systems, hypersonics, and traditional platforms like fighter jets. Investors eyeing growth in advanced air mobility, rising defense budgets, and sector innovation will find value in analyzing their relative performance, momentum, and risk profiles amid recent market volatility and geopolitical shifts.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY) develops all-electric eVTOL aircraft for commercial air taxi services, targeting urban air mobility with partnerships including the U.S. Department of Defense. In recent market activity, shares have declined around 30% year-to-date and 8% over the past month, trading near $9.23 amid broader sector pressures. Q4 2025 results showed revenues beating estimates at $30.8 million, with 2026 guidance of $105-115 million, but ongoing losses and high cash burn have tempered sentiment. Progress toward FAA certification and manufacturing ramp-ups support long-term positioning, though volatility persists due to pre-commercial status.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) provides unmanned aerial systems, hypersonics, propulsion, and microwave electronics for national security clients. Recent weeks saw shares pull back nearly 9% to around $84.62 after strong Q4 2025 results, with revenues up 22% to $345 million and a record $1.57 billion backlog. Year-to-date gains stand at 11%, with 165% over the past year, driven by demand for drones and hypersonic testing. New facilities and contracts bolster growth, though stock offerings introduced short-term pressure.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT) is a premier aerospace and defense contractor, producing F-35 jets, missiles, and space systems for global militaries. Shares recently dipped 1.6% to $627, down 4% monthly but up 30% year-to-date and 34% annually, reflecting resilience amid sector rotations. Steady F-35 deliveries and multi-year contracts support performance, with Aeronautics sales rising 6% in Q4 2025. Broader defense budget increases enhance visibility, offsetting recent market dips.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curated from hundreds available that trade thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and styles. Only those demonstrating superior adaptability to current market conditions—such as volatility in defense and tech sectors—earn a spot. Recent standouts include bots with 30-day annualized returns up to 171%, win rates exceeding 90%, and profit factors over 2.0, like those targeting aerospace ETFs with 192% gains or semiconductors at 113%. These bots employ deep learning for pattern recognition, risk management, and multi-agent coordination. Explore Trending AI Robots to identify tools suited to your trading approach.
Head-to-Head Comparison
JOBY, KTOS, and LMT operate in aerospace but diverge sharply. JOBY's eVTOL model drives disruptive growth in air mobility, with high R&D sensitivity and pre-revenue risks, contrasting KTOS' agile focus on affordable unmanned/hypersonic tech for DoD contracts. LMT emphasizes scaled platforms like F-35, offering lower volatility (beta 0.20) but slower growth. Momentum favors KTOS (165% 1-year), while LMT leads profitability; JOBY shows highest risk. Sector tailwinds like defense spending boost all, but valuation sensitivity is elevated for growth plays amid interest rate shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KTOS due to consistent trend strength, robust backlog growth, and exposure to high-demand unmanned/hypersonic areas amid rising defense priorities. While LMT offers superior stability and JOBY transformative potential post-certification, KTOS' relative momentum and catalysts position it probabilistically stronger in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JOBY’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKTOS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and LMT’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JOBY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KTOS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and LMT’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а +10.55% price change this week, while KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +0.92% , and LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -3.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.72%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.25% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| JOBY | KTOS | LMT | |
| Capitalization | 9.03B | 13.3B | 136B |
| EBITDA | -679.43M | 103M | 8.73B |
| Gain YTD | -30.152 | -6.481 | 23.082 |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 546.08 | 27.56 |
| Revenue | 53.4M | 1.35B | 75B |
| Total Cash | 1.41B | 561M | 4.12B |
| Total Debt | 36.8M | 146M | 21.7B |
KTOS | LMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for KTOS (94). This means that LMT’s stock grew significantly faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (61). This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for KTOS (89). This means that LMT’s stock grew significantly faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (63). This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
KTOS's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (33). This means that KTOS’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| JOBY | KTOS | LMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 79% | 14 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 52% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| VFMO | 220.18 | 3.21 | +1.48% |
| Vanguard US Momentum Factor ETF | |||
| ITDG | 40.39 | 0.52 | +1.31% |
| iShares LifePath Target Date 2055 ETF | |||
| CBXA | 22.55 | 0.19 | +0.85% |
| Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - April | |||
| GPRF | 50.61 | 0.14 | +0.28% |
| Goldman Sachs Acs US Pref Stk &HySecETF | |||
| ERC | 9.28 | 0.02 | +0.22% |
| Allspring Multi-Sector Income Fund | |||
KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 60% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.23% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| HII - KTOS | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
More | ||||