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JOBY or LMT or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JOBY leads in speculative growth potential via FAA eVTOL pilots but faces legal headwinds and lacks profitability, trading at a high price-to-book multiple.
- LMT shows strong momentum with 43.6% gains over recent months, driven by munitions demand and defense contracts, offering stability at a P/E around 30.
- TDG delivers consistent aftermarket revenue growth but trails peers YTD with a 5.93% decline, commanding a premium P/E of 41 amid acquisitions.
- Aerospace and defense sector tailwinds favor established players like LMT and TDG over pre-revenue JOBY in the current environment.
- Valuation contrasts highlight LMT's relative attractiveness with solid free cash flow versus TDG's growth premium and JOBY's risk.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines JOBY, LMT, and TDG amid rising interest in aerospace and defense amid geopolitical tensions and urban air mobility innovation. JOBY represents disruptive eVTOL technology, while LMT and TDG anchor established defense and components sectors. Traders seeking high-volatility growth may eye JOBY, while long-term investors favor the profitability and backlogs of LMT and TDG. Recent market activity underscores relative performance, valuation sensitivity, and sector catalysts in this dynamic comparison.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY), a leader in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, focuses on air taxi services for urban mobility. In recent weeks, shares have fluctuated around $9.88 with a market cap near $9.7 billion, reflecting volatility in pre-commercial eVTOL plays. Key developments include selection for the FAA's eVTOL Integration Pilot Program across multiple states, accelerating certification and operations timelines. However, sentiment has been pressured by a countersuit from rival Archer Aviation alleging supply chain issues, contributing to mixed trading. Broader eVTOL regulatory progress supports long-term upside, though ongoing losses and high execution risks temper near-term momentum.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT), the world's largest defense contractor, specializes in fighter jets like the F-35, missiles, and space systems. Shares recently traded around $651 with a $150 billion market cap and P/E near 30, underscoring stability. Recent market activity shows a 43.6% surge over three months, fueled by ramped munitions production amid global conflicts and key contract wins. Collaborations on advanced technologies and proposed defense budget increases have bolstered sentiment. While facing some financial pressures, LMT's vast backlog and geopolitical demand drivers have sustained outperformance relative to broader markets.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components, emphasizing aftermarket parts for commercial and military platforms. Trading near $1,278 with a $72 billion market cap and P/E around 41, shares have dipped 5.93% YTD amid acquisition integration. Recent quarters showed 13.9% revenue growth to $2.29 billion, beating estimates, with robust cash flow over $830 million. Pending deals like Stellant Systems highlight expansion, though margin pressures from tariffs and buys have influenced sentiment. Steady demand for proprietary parts supports resilience in recent market conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
JOBY, LMT, and TDG span aerospace innovation spectrums: eVTOL disruption versus mature defense and components. Business models contrast JOBY's pre-revenue services against LMT's government contracts and TDG's aftermarket pricing power. Growth drivers include JOBY's pilots, LMT's geopolitical demand, and TDG's M&A. Recent momentum favors LMT's surge over TDG's dip and JOBY's volatility. Risks highlight JOBY's regulatory hurdles versus LMT and TDG's execution stability. All share sector exposure, but LMT leads in defense, TDG in commercial aftermarket. Valuation sensitivity shows LMT's balanced P/E against TDG's premium and JOBY's negative earnings. Sentiment tilts toward proven cash generators amid uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LMT based on trend consistency, recent 43.6% momentum outpacing peers, stable defense catalysts like munitions ramp-ups, and relative valuation at a P/E of 30 versus TDG's 41 and JOBY's unprofitability. Geopolitical positioning probabilistically enhances near-term outperformance potential over JOBY's high-risk growth and TDG's acquisition pressures.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JOBY’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JOBY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а +10.55% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -6.20% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.60%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +1.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.72% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
@Aerospace & Defense (+1.71% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| JOBY | LMT | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 8.95B | 134B | 72B |
| EBITDA | -679.43M | 8.73B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | -30.152 | 20.815 | -4.153 |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 27.05 | 41.01 |
| Revenue | 53.4M | 75B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 1.41B | 4.12B | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 36.8M | 21.7B | 30B |
LMT | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (72). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (35). This means that TDG’s stock grew similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (16). This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (58). This means that LMT’s stock grew similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77). This means that LMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| JOBY | LMT | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | N/A | 4 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 15 days ago 54% | 7 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 47% | 5 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 61% |
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JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | N/A | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | +2.97% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.68% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.73% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | -5.83% | ||
More | ||||
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.87% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
More | ||||