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KDP or KO or KR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Coca-Cola (KO) vs. Kroger (KR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP trades at a forward P/E of around 13x with a 3.4% dividend yield, offering value amid recent labor challenges but strong Q4 sales growth.
- KO shows stability with global brand strength, YTD gains of about 7%, and consistent earnings growth, though at a higher P/E near 25x.
- KR leads YTD performance at roughly 17%, driven by solid identical sales and e-commerce expansion in groceries.
- Consumer staples resilience supports all three, but KR exhibits strongest recent momentum while KDP appears undervalued.
- Recent market activity highlights contrasts in sector exposure: beverages face cost pressures, retail benefits from essential demand.
Introduction
This comparison examines KDP, KO, and KR, representing leading players in beverages and grocery retail. These consumer staples stocks offer defensive qualities amid market volatility, appealing to investors seeking stability, dividends, and relative performance insights. Traders may find value in their differing growth drivers, valuations, and momentum, particularly as economic pressures influence spending on essentials like drinks and groceries. Understanding their business models, recent trends, and head-to-head metrics aids informed positioning in the current environment.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP, or Keurig Dr Pepper, is a leading North American beverage company with over 125 brands spanning soft drinks, coffee, teas, and waters, including Dr Pepper and Green Mountain Coffee. It generates over $15 billion in annual revenue through powerful distribution to retailers and direct-to-consumer channels. In recent market activity, shares have traded around $27, reflecting mixed performance with YTD declines near 4% but resilience post-Q4 results showing 9.9% constant currency net sales growth to $4.5 billion, driven by U.S. refreshment beverages. Sentiment has been tempered by rising costs in coffee and potential labor strikes, yet analysts note undervaluation with price targets up to $40 and a forward P/E of about 13x, alongside a 3.4% dividend yield.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
KO, The Coca-Cola Company, dominates the global beverage sector with over 200 brands across sparkling drinks, waters, juices, and more, serving 2.2 billion drinks daily in 200+ countries. Its concentrate model supports bottling partners, yielding massive scale with brands like Coca-Cola and Sprite. Recent weeks have seen shares around $75, with YTD gains near 7% and 1-year returns about 8%, outperforming peers amid broader declines. Performance reflects steady organic revenue growth, value share gains for 17 quarters, and analyst optimism for EPS expansion, despite ESG pressures. Trading at a trailing P/E near 25x, KO emphasizes dividend reliability and market adaptation through digital tools.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
KR, The Kroger Co., operates nearly 2,800 supermarkets and multi-department stores across 35 states under banners like Ralphs and Fred Meyer, plus fuel centers and pharmacies, posting $147 billion in annual sales. Its focus includes private labels, fresh foods, and digital fulfillment. Shares have hovered near $73 in recent trading, boasting YTD gains around 17% and 1-year returns over 11%, fueled by Q4 revenue of $34.7 billion (up 2.1%) and gross margin improvements to 23.1%. Positive sentiment arises from e-commerce growth, pharmacy expansions like Zepbound offerings, and new CEO strategies for affordable fresh items, with a forward P/E near 14x supporting outperformance versus retail peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP and KO share beverage focus but differ in scope: KDP’s North American emphasis on ready-to-drink and coffee yields higher margins (22%) versus KO’s global concentrate model, exposing it less to bottler risks but more to regional costs. KR contrasts as a retail giant with grocery dominance (77% sales), benefiting from essential demand but facing thinner margins (2.6% operating). Growth drivers include KR’s digital sales, KO’s share gains, and KDP’s acquisitions like GHOST. Recent momentum favors KR (17% YTD) over KO (7%) and KDP (-4%), with valuations cheapest for KDP (P/E 17x) then KR (16x forward), priciest KO (25x). Risks: labor for KDP, competition for KR, ESG for KO; sentiment tilts toward staples stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KR due to its superior trend consistency, leading YTD performance around 17%, and catalysts like identical sales growth and e-commerce momentum in essential retail. While KDP offers compelling valuation and KO provides global stability, KR’s relative positioning suggests higher probabilistic outperformance in the near term based on observable factors.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and KR’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and KR’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- KR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -0.15% price change this week, while KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was -2.23% , and KR (@Food Retail) price fluctuated +0.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +2.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
KO is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food Retail (+2.31% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
| KDP | KO | KR | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 326B | 41.8B |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 18.7B | 5.76B |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | 9.084 | 9.686 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.34 | 24.91 | 44.28 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 47.9B | 148B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 4.58B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 45.5B | 24.7B |
KDP | KO | KR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 71 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 41 Fair valued | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 13 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 20 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 52 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 78 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KO (41) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as KR (55) in the Food Retail industry. This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to KO’s and similarly to KR’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KR (24) in the Food Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to KR’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (20) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KR (56) in the Food Retail industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (75) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KO's stock grew somewhat faster than KR’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KR (59) in the Food Retail industry, and is in the same range as KDP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to KR’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Food Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for KO (78) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (95) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KR's stock grew significantly faster than KO’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | KO | KR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 11 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 30% | 5 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 15% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 21% | 3 days ago 44% |
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