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KDP or KR or MNST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Kroger (KR) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP delivered strong Q4 revenue growth of 10.5% year-over-year, with 2026 sales guidance of $25.9-26.4 billion, supported by acquisitions and refreshment beverages.
- KR leads YTD performance at 19.21%, bolstered by operational enhancements like AI integration and modest 2026 growth forecasts amid leadership transitions.
- MNST posted robust Q4 sales up 17.6% to $2.13 billion but faced post-earnings pressure from cost concerns, with shares down recently despite strong 1-year gains of 35.77%.
- KR offers the highest YTD momentum in consumer staples, while KDP appears undervalued with a forward P/E around 13 and 3% dividend yield.
- All three exhibit defensive traits in consumer staples, but KR and KDP provide dividends, contrasting MNST's no-yield growth profile.
- Recent market activity highlights resilience in groceries and beverages amid volatility, with analyst upside noted for KDP at 26%.
Introduction
In the consumer staples sector, KDP, KR, and MNST represent diverse plays on everyday essentials—from beverages to groceries. KDP focuses on non-alcoholic drinks and coffee systems, KR dominates supermarket retail, and MNST leads energy drinks. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, valuations, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking defensive stability and investors eyeing relative growth in a volatile environment. Key metrics like revenue beats, YTD returns, and forward guidance reveal trade-offs in momentum, yields, and risk.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP, a leading non-alcoholic beverage maker, portfolios brands like Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Keurig coffee systems across U.S. refreshment, coffee, and international segments. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience, climbing amid broader indices' pullbacks, with YTD gains around 8.5%. Strong Q4 results exceeded expectations, posting 10.5% year-over-year revenue growth to $4.5 billion, driven by U.S. Refreshment Beverages and the JDE Peet's acquisition. Guidance for 2026 sales of $25.9-26.4 billion signals low double-digit EPS growth, despite cost headwinds. Analysts project 26% upside, with the stock trading at a trailing P/E of 26.7 and forward P/E of 13.3, bolstered by a 3% dividend yield. Sentiment benefits from undervaluation signals and strategic expansions, positioning KDP as a defensive growth option in beverages.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
KR, one of the largest U.S. grocery retailers, operates supermarkets, multi-department stores, and digital platforms under brands emphasizing fresh foods and private labels. Recent weeks have seen robust momentum, with YTD returns topping 19%, outpacing peers amid consumer focus on value. The appointment of a Chief Data and AI Officer underscores tech-driven efficiencies, while new CEO Greg Foran prioritizes affordable fresh offerings and delivery. Forecasts indicate modest 2026 sales and profit growth, navigating regulatory hurdles post-Albertsons deal scrutiny. Trading at a trailing P/E of 65.6 but forward P/E of 14, with a 1.9% yield, shares hit near-record highs on solid momentum. Performance reflects resilient demand for groceries, though impairment charges elevated payout ratios; sentiment tilts positive on market share gains and operational agility.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
MNST specializes in energy drinks like Monster Energy, alongside strategic, alcohol, and other brands, distributed globally. Recent performance mixed: strong Q4 net sales rose 17.6% to $2.13 billion, beating estimates, yet shares dipped post-earnings on tariff and inflation cost worries, with YTD flat at 1.4% but 36% 1-year gains. Leadership reshuffles aim to fuel regional growth, with institutional inflows and international trends supportive. No dividend offsets a trailing P/E of 39 and forward 33.4, reflecting premium growth pricing amid sugar-free demand resilience. Sentiment balances solid fundamentals against near-term pressures, highlighting MNST's high-beta exposure in non-alcoholic beverages versus staples stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP and MNST overlap in beverages but diverge: KDP's diversified portfolio (coffee, sodas) yields stability and dividends (3%), lower beta, versus MNST's energy focus driving higher growth (17.6% Q4 sales) but volatility and no yield. KR's retail model exposes to volume/pricing pressures yet offers scale (market cap ~$49B) and top YTD momentum (19%). Valuation-wise, forward P/Es cluster at 13-14 for KDP/KR (attractive) vs. MNST's 33 (growth premium). Risks: KR faces competition/closures, MNST costs, KDP integration. Sentiment favors KR's retail resilience, MNST/">MNST's catalysts, balancing staples defense.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward KR in the current environment, citing superior YTD trend consistency (19%+), defensive grocery positioning, and AI-enhanced stability amid volatility. Probabilistic edge from relative momentum and forward valuation aligns with observable catalysts like tech integration, though KDP's growth guidance offers close contention.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MNST’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and MNST’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -0.15% price change this week, while KR (@Food Retail) price change was +0.29% , and MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +1.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +2.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food Retail (+2.31% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
| KDP | KR | MNST | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 41.8B | 75B |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 5.76B | 2.53B |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | 9.686 | 0.065 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.34 | 44.28 | 39.55 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 148B | 8.29B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 4.58B | 2.77B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 24.7B | 199M |
KDP | KR | MNST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 54 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 55 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 24 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 56 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 59 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 10 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KR (55) in the Food Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to KR’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
KR's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as MNST (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KR (56) in the Food Retail industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (75) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to KR’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KR (59) in the Food Retail industry, and is in the same range as KDP (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to KR’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Food Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (95) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KR's stock grew somewhat faster than MNST’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | KR | MNST | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 50% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | +1.88% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| KO - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.54% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 26% Poorly correlated | +2.10% | ||
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MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.10% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.88% | ||
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