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KDP or MDLZ or MNST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP trades at a forward P/E around 18 with strong analyst upside potential of 26%, supported by recent Q4 revenue beats and undervaluation signals.
- MDLZ shows YTD gains of about 8% but faces input cost pressures, with a higher P/E near 31 and moderate 15% upside from analysts amid cautious 2026 growth outlook.
- MNST delivered robust Q4 sales growth of 17.6% and international momentum, though recent post-earnings dip reflects cost concerns; 1-year return leads at ~37%.
- All three operate in consumer defensive beverages/snacks, but MNST exhibits strongest recent revenue momentum while KDP offers the most attractive valuation.
- Analyst consensus leans "Moderate Buy" across the board, with price targets implying 15-26% upside from current levels around $28 for KDP, $58 for MDLZ, and $76 for MNST.
- Recent market activity highlights resilience in non-alcoholic beverages amid shifting consumer preferences toward energy and functional drinks.
Introduction
This comparison examines KDP, MDLZ, and MNST—key players in the beverages and snacks sectors—focusing on their relative performance, valuation, and market positioning. Investors seeking defensive exposure with growth potential in consumer staples may find value here, as these stocks navigate input costs, international expansion, and shifting demand for functional beverages. Recent earnings reveal contrasts in momentum and risk, aiding decisions on stock comparison and portfolio allocation in volatile markets.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) is a leading North American beverage company, spanning non-alcoholic drinks like Dr Pepper and Snapple, plus coffee systems via Keurig pods. Operating through U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International segments, it distributes via retail, e-commerce, and direct channels. In recent market activity, shares have shown modest YTD gains around 1.7%, rebounding from 1-year declines near -14%, with a current price near $28 amid a 52-week range of $25-$36. Q4 2025 results beat expectations with 10.5% revenue growth to $4.5 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.60, driven by Refreshment Beverages strength and portfolio reshaping. Analysts highlight 26% upside potential, citing undervaluation by up to 33.8% per DCF models, though coffee cost headwinds temper sentiment. Dividend yield stands at 3.3%, appealing for stability.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
MDLZ (Mondelez International, Inc.) specializes in snacks, including biscuits (Oreo, Ritz), chocolate (Cadbury, Milka), and gum (Trident), with global reach across emerging and developed markets. Recent weeks have seen shares around $58, up YTD by 8.5% but down 1-year by about -11% to -14%, within a 52-week range of $51-$71. Q4 performance topped revenue estimates, yet stock dipped 1.2% post-earnings due to rising input costs like cocoa and cautious 2026 guidance for flat-to-low-single-digit organic growth. Pricing actions supported margins, but volume softness and M&A challenges amid high valuations weigh on sentiment. Analysts project 15% upside with a 3.4% yield, positioning it as a steady staples play.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) focuses on energy drinks and concentrates, distributed globally through subsidiaries and partners like Coca-Cola. Recent performance features a price near $76, YTD flat to -1.4% but up 37% over 1 year, in a 52-week range of $54-$87. Q4 2025 marked record $2.13 billion sales (up 17.6%), adjusted EPS rose 30.4%, fueled by 27% international growth and zero-sugar variants. Shares fell 9% post-earnings on tariff/cost worries, yet institutional interest persists. Leadership changes aim to boost regional strategies toward $9.8 billion revenue by 2028. Analysts see 11-15% upside, with high growth offsetting premium valuation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP, MDLZ, and MNST share consumer defensive traits but diverge in models: KDP blends beverages and coffee hardware for diversified revenue; MDLZ emphasizes global snacks with pricing power against inflation; MNST targets high-growth energy drinks via partnerships. Growth drivers favor MNST’s 17%+ sales surge and international push over KDP’s steady 8-10% and MDLZ’s muted outlook. Recent momentum tilts to MDLZ YTD, but MNST leads 1-year. Risks include commodity costs for all, tariffs for MNST, and coffee pressures for KDP. Valuation-sensitive KDP trades at lower P/E (~18) vs. MDLZ (31) and MNST (39), with sentiment buoyed by KDP’s yield and upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KDP for its trend consistency, relative undervaluation (26% analyst upside, DCF support), and stability via dividends amid sector headwinds. While MNST shows superior growth catalysts and MDLZ defensive positioning, KDP’s lower risk profile and recent beats position it probabilistically stronger in the near term for balanced relative performance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MNST’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and MNST’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -0.15% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -2.97% , and MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +1.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| KDP | MDLZ | MNST | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 73.5B | 75B |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 4.97B | 2.53B |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | 7.274 | 0.065 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.34 | 30.29 | 39.55 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 38.5B | 8.29B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 2.77B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 21.8B | 199M |
KDP | MDLZ | MNST | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 15 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 81 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 72 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 59 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 23 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (25) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (75) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as KDP (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (95) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew somewhat faster than MNST’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | MDLZ | MNST | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 6 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 50% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | +1.88% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| KO - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.54% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 26% Poorly correlated | +2.10% | ||
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.32% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
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MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.10% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.88% | ||
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