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KDP or MDLZ or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- WMT leads with superior year-to-date gains around 9%, driven by resilient retail demand and e-commerce expansion, outperforming peers amid market volatility.
- KDP has declined over 10% in recent weeks, pressured by cost challenges and labor issues, though international sales provide some offset.
- MDLZ shows mixed momentum with a roughly 5% YTD rise but recent pullbacks due to commodity costs like cocoa, trading at a premium valuation.
- All three exhibit defensive consumer staples traits, but WMT's omnichannel model and ad revenue growth highlight stronger relative stability.
- Recent market activity reflects broader sector caution, with WMT demonstrating better trend consistency versus KDP and MDLZ dips.
- Valuation sensitivity varies: KDP appears undervalued on forward P/E, while WMT and MDLZ command premiums tied to growth prospects.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines KDP, MDLZ, and WMT, three stalwarts in consumer staples and retail. KDP leads in beverages, MDLZ dominates snacking, and WMT anchors discount retailing. Investors seeking defensive positioning amid volatility, or traders eyeing relative performance in staples, will find value here. Recent market shifts, including cost pressures and consumer trends, underscore contrasts in momentum, valuation, and growth drivers, aiding informed relative assessments in today's environment.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper) operates as a leading North American beverage firm, with a portfolio spanning soft drinks like Dr Pepper, single-serve coffee via Keurig, and emerging energy drinks through GHOST acquisition. Annual revenue exceeds $15 billion, bolstered by powerful distribution and leadership in categories like carbonated soft drinks and coffee pods.
Recent market activity has seen KDP shares decline over 10% from late February highs near $31, trading around $26 amid broader sector caution. Influences include ongoing cost pressures in coffee and commodities, alongside labor disputes like Teamsters' strike authorization. Q4 2025 results beat estimates with 10.5% sales growth from pricing and volume, particularly international gains of 15.1% constant currency. Sentiment reflects value appeal at a forward P/E below industry averages, tempered by U.S. refreshment softness.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
MDLZ (Mondelez International) is a global snacking leader, with $36 billion+ in annual revenue from brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Ritz across biscuits (43%), chocolate (30%), and gum/candy. It operates in 150+ countries, emphasizing high-growth segments via innovation and acquisitions.
In recent weeks, MDLZ shares have pulled back from $61 peaks, hovering near $57 after dips tied to elevated cocoa costs impacting margins. YTD gains stand at about 6%, supported by pricing but challenged by North America volume softness and retailer destocking. Analysts note resilient emerging markets, though P/E above sector norms signals caution. Performance lags broader indices over longer horizons but holds steady in staples volatility.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
WMT (Walmart) is the world's largest retailer, generating $681 billion in FY25 revenue through 10,750+ stores in 19 countries, plus booming e-commerce. Its omnichannel model blends physical stores, Walmart+, and ads via Walmart Connect, serving 270 million weekly customers with everyday low prices.
Recent trading shows WMT resilient around $120-122, down from $128 highs but up 9% YTD, outpacing peers. Drivers include e-commerce profitability, 26% U.S. growth, and advertising surges of 46%. Q3 FY26 comp sales beat, with guidance for 4.8-5.1% sales rise. Sentiment favors its scale and tech investments like AI automation, despite premium valuation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge: KDP's beverage focus emphasizes branded distribution and pods, contrasting MDLZ's snacking via global icons and WMT's scale-driven retail with e-commerce/ads. Growth drivers include KDP/energy expansion, MDLZ/emerging markets, and WMT/omnichannel (18% of sales).
Recent momentum favors WMT (9% YTD) over MDLZ (6%) and lagging KDP (-4% YTD). Risks: commodity inflation hits KDP/MDLZ, while WMT faces margin pressure from investments. Sector exposure is staples-heavy, but WMT adds retail breadth. Valuation: KDP cheapest (P/E ~12x), WMT/ MDLZ premium on growth. Sentiment tilts to WMT's stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT with higher probability due to consistent trends, e-commerce catalysts, and defensive positioning amid volatility. Dedicated WMT bots show strong stats like +25% annualized returns and 73% win rates, edging KDP's value and MDLZ's snacking exposure on relative strength.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -0.15% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -2.97% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| KDP | MDLZ | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 73.5B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 4.97B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | 7.274 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.34 | 30.29 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 38.5B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 21.8B | 67.1B |
KDP | MDLZ | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 21 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 26 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 81 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 72 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 59 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 23 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew significantly faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's SMR Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (75) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (95) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | MDLZ | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 71% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 46% | 7 days ago 50% | 7 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 3 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 39% | 3 days ago 25% |
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.17% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.19% | ||
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