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KDP or MNST or PEP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) vs. PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP shows strong analyst upside potential at 26.06% with a 3.28% dividend yield, bolstered by recent Q4 earnings beat and strategic coffee acquisitions.
- MNST delivered robust Q4 net sales growth of 17.6% but experienced post-earnings volatility amid sector competition and tariff concerns.
- PEP maintains stability as a diversified giant, with analysts holding steady ratings and focus on shareholder returns through buybacks.
- MNST leads in one-year returns around 35-42%, while KDP lags longer-term but rebounds recently.
- All three operate in non-alcoholic beverages, with PEP offering broadest exposure via snacks, contrasting KDP's coffee focus and MNST's energy niche.
- Recent market activity highlights growth in energy drinks for MNST and coffee restructuring for KDP, versus PEP's defensive positioning.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines KDP, MNST, and PEP, three key players in the non-alcoholic beverages sector with varying focuses on coffee, energy drinks, and diversified snacks. Traders seeking growth opportunities may eye MNST's momentum, while investors prioritizing stability and dividends might favor KDP or PEP. Amid recent earnings cycles and shifting consumer preferences toward functional beverages, this analysis highlights relative performance, valuation sensitivity, and market positioning to aid informed decision-making in the current environment.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) is a leading North American beverage company with over 125 brands, spanning soft drinks like Dr Pepper and 7UP, coffees via Keurig systems, and waters. Operating through U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International segments, it generates over $15 billion in annual revenue with 30,600 employees.
In recent market activity, KDP shares have shown resilience, rebounding amid analyst optimism. Wall Street forecasts a 26.06% upside, supported by a 3.28% dividend yield. Q4 CY2025 results exceeded expectations with 10.5% revenue growth to $4.50 billion and adjusted EPS of $0.60. Strategic moves, including an $18 billion acquisition of JDE Peet's and new coffee launches, are reshaping its coffee segment, influencing positive sentiment despite longer-term YTD declines of around -0.47%.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) specializes in energy drinks through subsidiaries, offering brands like Monster Energy, Reign, and Bang. With segments including Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, Alcohol Brands, and Other, it focuses on carbonated and non-carbonated energy beverages, reporting $7.49 billion in 2024 revenue and 5,773 employees.
Recent weeks have seen mixed performance for MNST, with strong Q4 results—17.6% net sales growth to over $2 billion and 64.9% EPS rise—but a post-earnings 9% drop due to tariff and inflation concerns. Analysts maintain a $100 target and Buy rating, with one-year returns of 35.78% and YTD around 1.11%. Institutional inflows and international expansion via leadership changes drive growth, though competition tempers momentum.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PEP (PepsiCo, Inc.) is a global food and beverage leader with brands like Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Quaker Oats. Structured across PepsiCo Foods North America, Beverages North America, and international divisions, it reported $91.85 billion in 2024 revenue, emphasizing snacks alongside beverages.
PEP exhibits steady performance in recent market conditions, with analysts maintaining Hold ratings and upgrades like JPMorgan's to Overweight on $10 billion buyback plans. Shares have gained modestly in recent months, outperforming some peers amid sector pressures. Q4 earnings focus and snack price adjustments support defensive positioning, though longer-term returns trail high-growth rivals like MNST.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP, MNST, and PEP share beverages exposure but diverge in models: PEP's snack diversification provides stability (market cap $232B), versus MNST's energy focus ($83B cap) driving higher growth (42% 1Y return) and KDP's coffee/soft drinks blend ($41B cap). Recent momentum favors MNST on sales surges, while KDP edges on dividends and upside potential; PEP lags growth but offers lower volatility. Risks include tariffs for MNST, acquisition integration for KDP, and snack pressures for PEP. Valuation-wise, KDP appears attractive post-rebound, MNST premium-priced, and PEP steady amid consumer staples sentiment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MNST for its trend consistency in energy drinks, superior recent sales growth, and relative positioning versus peers, with potential for continued outperformance in functional beverages. However, KDP's catalysts like acquisitions add probabilistic appeal for value-oriented strategies, while PEP suits stability-focused portfolios.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMNST’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PEP’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MNST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and PEP’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +1.77% price change this week, while MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +2.74% , and PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +0.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +0.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2127.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Jul 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+0.13% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| KDP | MNST | PEP | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 75.5B | 215B |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 2.53B | 15.5B |
| Gain YTD | -3.765 | 0.730 | 10.362 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.32 | 39.81 | 24.65 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 8.29B | 93.9B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.77B | 9.53B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 199M | 49.9B |
KDP | MNST | PEP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 69 | 54 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 93 Overvalued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 24 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 35 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 50 | 32 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 63 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PEP (26) and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (93). This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PEP (61) and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100). This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than PEP’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (21) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MNST (35) and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (75). This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Price Growth Rating (32) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MNST (50) and is in the same range as KDP (61). This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MNST (63) and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (95). This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | MNST | PEP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 35% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 49% | 1 day ago 58% | 13 days ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 46% | 7 days ago 47% | 1 day ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 40% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 36% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 33% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| KO - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.66% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 27% Poorly correlated | -1.52% | ||
More | ||||
MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +0.66% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.52% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 36% Loosely correlated | -4.17% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | -0.11% | ||
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