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KDP or PG or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Procter & Gamble (PG) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP shares have declined approximately 12% over recent weeks amid coffee cost pressures and labor issues, trading near multi-month lows around $26.
- PG has fallen about 13% in the same period, reflecting broader consumer staples sector weakness and valuation concerns.
- WMT shows relative resilience with year-to-date gains over 10%, supported by strong advertising growth and e-commerce momentum, despite recent dips.
- All three exhibit defensive consumer exposure, but WMT leads in relative performance and market cap exceeding $900 billion.
- Analyst sentiment favors KDP for value at a forward P/E below 12x, while WMT benefits from growth catalysts.
- Recent market activity highlights trade-offs: KDP and PG face headwinds, positioning WMT as the stability leader.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines KDP, PG, and WMT, three consumer staples giants offering stability amid market volatility. KDP focuses on beverages, PG on household essentials, and WMT on broad retail. Investors seeking defensive plays with dividend yields and growth potential, or traders eyeing relative performance in staples, will find value here. Recent weeks' price behavior underscores sector pressures like input costs and consumer shifts, providing context for positioning in the current environment.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper) is a leading North American beverage company with over 125 brands, including Dr Pepper, 7UP, and Green Mountain Coffee. It operates in refreshment beverages, coffee, and international segments, generating over $15 billion in annual revenue through manufacturing and distribution to retailers nationwide.
In recent market activity, KDP shares have trended lower, dropping from around $30 in late February to near $26, a decline of about 12-15%. This reflects pressures from coffee input cost inflation, competitive dynamics in beverages, and labor negotiations, including a Teamsters strike authorization. Despite Q4 2025 earnings beats with 9% sales growth and strong free cash flow, sentiment has softened on margin headwinds. Analysts note favorable revisions for 2026 EPS growth around 10%, with a forward P/E of 11.7x below peers, signaling value appeal.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
PG (Procter & Gamble) is a global consumer goods leader with brands like Tide, Pampers, and Gillette across beauty, grooming, health care, fabric care, and family segments. It serves over 5 billion consumers, with $84 billion in annual revenue and operations in 70 countries.
Recent weeks have seen PG shares slide roughly 13%, from mid-$160s to around $143, underperforming amid sector downturns. Factors include modest EPS estimate adjustments and broader staples weakness, with YTD returns flat versus the S&P 500. The company maintains resilience through dividend strength and share buybacks, but faces valuation scrutiny at higher multiples. Analysts project average price targets near $168, reflecting confidence in core stability despite recent momentum lag.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
WMT (Walmart) is the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,750 stores in 19 countries under Walmart U.S., International, and Sam's Club. It offers groceries, health products, electronics, and more via omnichannel platforms, with $681 billion in FY2025 revenue and 2.1 million associates.
WMT has demonstrated relative strength, with YTD gains exceeding 10% despite a 3-5% pullback in recent weeks to around $122. Advertising business growth of 37% and e-commerce expansion bolster performance, offsetting pricing scrutiny. High volume reflects market positioning, with shares outperforming peers amid volatility. Forward metrics show a P/E around 44x, premium to staples but supported by scale and 4%+ revenue growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ: KDP emphasizes branded beverages with distribution scale; PG excels in household essentials via innovation; WMT dominates retail through everyday low prices and omnichannel reach. Growth drivers include WMT's ad/e-commerce surge versus KDP's category expansions and PG's premium brands.
Recent momentum favors WMT with superior YTD returns; KDP and PG lag on cost/labor pressures. Risk factors: KDP faces commodity volatility, PG volume softness, WMT competition. All share consumer staples exposure, but WMT's retail breadth adds diversification. Valuation sensitivity is lowest for KDP (11.7x forward P/E), highest for WMT (44x). Market sentiment leans toward WMT's stability, with KDP as value play.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and catalysts like advertising growth amid staples volatility. Its relative positioning and scale provide probabilistic edge over KDP's value but weaker momentum, and PG's stability without recent upside.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +1.77% price change this week, while PG (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +0.63% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +2.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +0.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2127.54%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was -0.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.58%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +3.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
PG is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+0.13% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Household/Personal Care (-0.10% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Discount Stores (+3.07% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| KDP | PG | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 36B | 336B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 24.5B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | -3.765 | 1.539 | 15.054 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.32 | 21.41 | 46.86 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 85.3B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 10.8B | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 36.6B | 67.1B |
KDP | PG | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 51 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 38 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 59 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 30 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 59 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 82 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PG (38) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to PG’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PG's SMR Rating (30) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (75) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that PG's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (82) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (95) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than PG’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | PG | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 57% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 49% | 13 days ago 45% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 46% | 6 days ago 42% | 9 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 36% | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 52% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| KO - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 31% Poorly correlated | +0.66% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 27% Poorly correlated | -1.52% | ||
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