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KDP or SYY or TGT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Sysco (SYY) vs. Target (TGT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KDP shares have declined around 12% over recent weeks amid coffee cost pressures, underperforming peers despite strong Q4 sales growth from refreshment beverages.
- SYY delivered robust YTD gains of over 13% but pulled back 9% in recent market activity, supported by steady foodservice demand.
- TGT leads YTD performance at nearly 20%, with shares stabilizing post-earnings despite sales challenges, trading at attractive valuations.
- All three consumer staples stocks offer dividend yields above 3%, with defensive qualities amid volatile markets, but TGT shows strongest relative momentum.
- Recent price action highlights SYY and TGT resilience versus KDP's sensitivity to input costs.
- Valuations position TGT favorably at a trailing P/E around 14x, appealing for value-oriented investors.
Introduction
This comparison examines KDP, SYY, and TGT, three consumer staples giants spanning beverages, food distribution, and retail. These stocks appeal to investors seeking defensive exposure amid economic uncertainty, offering dividends, stable demand, and sector resilience. Traders may value their relative performance insights for short-term positioning, while long-term holders assess growth drivers like volume trends and cost management. Recent market activity underscores contrasts in momentum and sentiment, aiding decisions on stock comparison and market positioning.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
KDP, or Keurig Dr Pepper, is a leading North American beverage company with over 125 brands, including Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Keurig coffee systems. It operates in U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International segments, generating $15 billion in annual revenue through manufacturing and distribution. In recent market activity, shares fell about 12% from early March highs around $30 to the mid-$26 range, reflecting pressures from coffee input costs and retailer inventory adjustments. Q4 2025 results showed 9.9% constant-currency sales growth, driven by U.S. Refreshment Beverages and GHOST acquisition, with adjusted EPS up 1.7%. International sales rose 15.1%, but sentiment softened on near-term coffee margins, leading to underperformance versus the S&P 500.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
SYY, Sysco Corporation, is the global leader in foodservice distribution, supplying restaurants, healthcare, and educational facilities with frozen foods, meats, produce, and non-food items across U.S., International, and SYGMA segments. With 75,000 employees and operations in 90 countries, it serves 730,000 locations. Recent weeks saw shares drop 9% from late February peaks near $91 to around $82, after strong YTD gains of 13%. Performance reflects mixed unit volume growth of 1.1% and international strength, with analysts noting steady EPS guidance amid AI initiatives. Broader foodservice demand supports resilience, though short-term pullbacks track sector rotation.
TGT Overview and Recent Performance
TGT, Target Corporation, operates nearly 2,000 general merchandise stores offering apparel, groceries, electronics, and household essentials, emphasizing curated assortments and digital integration. It focuses on middle-income shoppers with 400,000 team members and $107 billion in 2024 sales. Shares have risen nearly 20% YTD, stabilizing around $116 after Q4 revenue dipped 1.5% but EPS beat estimates at $2.44. Recent activity shows consolidation post-earnings, with traffic challenges offset by margin improvements and guidance for sales recovery. Valuation at 14x trailing earnings draws value interest amid retail peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KDP focuses on branded beverages with innovation in energy drinks, contrasting SYY’s broad food distribution to away-from-home channels and TGT’s consumer-facing retail blending essentials and discretionary goods. Growth drivers differ: KDP leverages acquisitions and international expansion, SYY benefits from foodservice volume, and TGT from grocery traffic. Recent momentum favors TGT (20% YTD) over SYY (13%) and KDP (-6%), with risks including commodity costs for KDP/SYY and consumer spending for TGT. All in consumer staples, betas around 0.6-1.1 reflect low-to-moderate volatility; yields exceed 3.5%, but TGT’s 14x P/E appears cheapest versus peers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TGT due to superior YTD trend consistency, post-earnings stability, and compelling valuation amid recovery catalysts like traffic gains. SYY offers defensive positioning, while KDP lags on cost headwinds—positioning TGT for probabilistic outperformance in staples rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KDP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSYY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TGT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TGT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KDP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SYY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TGT’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KDP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TGT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +4.98% price change this week, while SYY (@Food Distributors) price change was +2.33% , and TGT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +1.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164975.86%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was -0.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.70%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TGT is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+1.66% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food Distributors (-0.27% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
@Discount Stores (-0.78% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| KDP | SYY | TGT | |
| Capitalization | 36.1B | 34.8B | 55.2B |
| EBITDA | 4.19B | 4.1B | 8.4B |
| Gain YTD | -3.511 | 0.299 | 25.964 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.37 | 19.63 | 14.99 |
| Revenue | 16.6B | 82.6B | 105B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 169M | 1.04B |
| Total Debt | 17.6B | 15B | 20B |
KDP | SYY | TGT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 14 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 48 Fair valued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 98 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 14 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 60 | 17 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 50 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KDP's Valuation (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as SYY (48) in the Food Distributors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TGT (59) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KDP's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and somewhat faster than TGT’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's Profit vs Risk Rating (98) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as TGT (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to KDP’s and similarly to TGT’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (14) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as TGT (36) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (74) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to TGT’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SYY (60) in the Food Distributors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KDP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that TGT's stock grew somewhat faster than SYY’s and somewhat faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as SYY (50) in the Food Distributors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (94) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that TGT's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| KDP | SYY | TGT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 50% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | N/A | 1 day ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | N/A | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 11 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 45% | 1 day ago 53% | 23 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 51% |
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KDP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KDP has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KDP jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KDP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 100% | +0.57% | ||
| PEP - KDP | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| KO - KDP | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| FIZZ - KDP | 42% Loosely correlated | -2.03% | ||
| MNST - KDP | 34% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| CCEP - KDP | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.49% | ||
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SYY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SYY has been loosely correlated with PFGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SYY jumps, then PFGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SYY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 100% | -2.89% | ||
| PFGC - SYY | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| USFD - SYY | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.71% | ||
| UNFI - SYY | 34% Loosely correlated | -2.47% | ||
| ANDE - SYY | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.40% | ||
| CHEF - SYY | 28% Poorly correlated | -0.09% | ||
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TGT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGT has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TGT jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TGT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | 100% | -1.73% | ||
| DLTR - TGT | 33% Loosely correlated | -2.97% | ||
| WMT - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -1.83% | ||
| OLLI - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -2.68% | ||
| COST - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -3.25% | ||
| PSMT - TGT | 24% Poorly correlated | -2.62% | ||
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