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KMB or PEP or PM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) vs. PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) vs. Philip Morris International (PM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KMB trades near 52-week lows around $98 with a high dividend yield over 5%, reflecting recent sales challenges but attractive valuation at a forward P/E below 14x.
- PEP shows stable YTD gains of about 5% at $150, supported by Q4 revenue beats and organic growth acceleration, though facing snacking volume pressures.
- PM leads with strong smoke-free product momentum at 41.5% of revenues, delivering multi-year volume growth and a 3.6% yield amid regulatory navigation.
- All three offer defensive consumer staples exposure with yields above 3%, but PM exhibits superior relative momentum and growth catalysts in recent market activity.
- Recent earnings highlight PM's outperformance in organic revenue and margin expansion compared to peers' mixed volume trends.
Introduction
This stock comparison evaluates KMB, PEP, and PM, established leaders in consumer staples with essential product portfolios. KMB focuses on personal care and tissues, PEP on beverages and snacks, and PM on tobacco transitioning to smoke-free alternatives. Investors seeking dividend stability, defensive positioning amid market volatility, and relative performance insights in the staples sector will find this analysis relevant. Recent quarters underscore contrasts in growth drivers, volume trends, and sentiment shifts, aiding decisions on market positioning.
KMB Overview and Recent Performance
Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) manufactures personal care products like Huggies diapers, Kleenex tissues, and Depend incontinence items, operating in North America and international markets. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near multi-year lows around $98, down significantly from 52-week highs above $147, reflecting YTD underperformance of about 1-4% versus broader indices. Q4 2025 earnings showed flat revenue at $4.08 billion but beat EPS expectations at $1.86, driven by productivity gains amid organic sales challenges and analyst price target cuts. Sentiment has been pressured by disappointing volume growth and rising capital intensity, though a 5.2% dividend yield and improving gross margins to 36% support defensive appeal. Broader transformation efforts, including share gains internationally, aim to stabilize performance.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) is a global beverages and snacks giant with brands like Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay’s, and Doritos, spanning non-alcoholic drinks and savory snacks. Recent weeks have seen shares around $150, with modest YTD gains of roughly 5% outperforming some staples peers but lagging high-flyers. Q4 2025 results featured 5.6% revenue growth to $29.34 billion, beating estimates, with adjusted EPS of $2.26 topping forecasts, fueled by international strength offsetting North American snacking softness. Pricing discipline and organic acceleration have bolstered sentiment, though volume pressures persist. A forward P/E near 18x and 3.4% yield reflect steady cash generation amid cost inflation navigation.
PM Overview and Recent Performance
Philip Morris International (PM) leads in cigarettes and smoke-free products like IQOS heat-not-burn and ZYN nicotine pouches, emphasizing a transition to reduced-risk alternatives. Shares hover near $163, with YTD returns around 2-3% and stronger multi-year gains, including 10%+ over one year despite recent pullbacks. Q4 2025 net revenues rose 3.2% organically, with smoke-free products hitting 41.5% of total revenues and 12.8% shipment growth; full-year operating cash flow reached $12.2 billion. Regulatory hurdles and cigarette declines temper gains, but margin expansion above 40% and ZYN momentum drive positive sentiment. A 3.6% yield and P/E of 22x highlight growth positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KMB, PEP, and PM anchor consumer staples with resilient demand, but diverge in models: KMB's hygiene focus yields highest 5%+ dividend but lags growth; PEP blends beverages/snacks for diversified volume; PM pivots to smoke-free for superior drivers like 41% revenue mix. Recent momentum favors PM with positive volumes versus peers' softness. Risks include KMB/ PEP inflation sensitivity and PM regulation. Valuations show KMB cheapest (forward P/E ~13x), PM premium for catalysts, sentiment tilting to transition plays amid staples rotation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors PM based on consistent trend strength in smoke-free growth, superior relative YTD positioning, and catalysts like 12.8% shipment gains versus peers' volume hurdles. Probabilistic edge stems from margin expansion and multi-year volume positivity, though regulatory risks warrant monitoring; KMB offers value stability, PEP balanced exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KMB’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePEP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and PM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- KMB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KMB’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PEP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KMB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KMB (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +2.01% price change this week, while PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +0.71% , and PM (@Tobacco) price fluctuated -3.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.00%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2127.28%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -0.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
KMB is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Jul 14, 2026.
PM is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+1.15% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.24% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Tobacco (-0.10% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
| KMB | PEP | PM | |
| Capitalization | 32.7B | 215B | 246B |
| EBITDA | 3.11B | 15.5B | 17.5B |
| Gain YTD | -1.123 | 10.362 | -0.900 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.28 | 24.65 | 21.69 |
| Revenue | 16.4B | 93.9B | 40.6B |
| Total Cash | 774M | 9.53B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 7.3B | 49.9B | 48.8B |
KMB | PEP | PM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 54 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 26 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 61 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 21 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 32 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 43 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMB's Valuation (15) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as PM (22) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as PEP (26) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that KMB's stock grew similarly to PM’s and similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
PM's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PEP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KMB (100) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PM's stock grew somewhat faster than PEP’s and significantly faster than KMB’s over the last 12 months.
PM's SMR Rating (3) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as KMB (11) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as PEP (21) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that PM's stock grew similarly to KMB’s and similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Price Growth Rating (32) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PM (60) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as KMB (62) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to PM’s and similarly to KMB’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KMB (53) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PM (83) in the Tobacco industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to KMB’s and somewhat faster than PM’s over the last 12 months.
| KMB | PEP | PM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 42% | 13 days ago 39% | 13 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 48% | 1 day ago 44% | 6 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 40% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 32% |
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KMB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMB has been loosely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KMB jumps, then CL could also see price increases.