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KO or TGT or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coca-Cola (KO) vs. Target (TGT) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KO trades around $77 with YTD gains of about 10%, buoyed by strong 2025 earnings of $47.9B revenue and EPS growth to $3.04, alongside a recent dividend increase.
- TGT at approximately $121 shows robust YTD performance of roughly 24-25%, driven by Q4 earnings beats and a multi-year growth strategy including $2B investments.
- WMT hovers near $124 with YTD returns around 11%, supported by consistent revenue expansion to $713B and e-commerce strength amid recent analyst adjustments.
- Retail peers TGT and WMT exhibit stronger YTD momentum than defensive KO, reflecting consumer resilience in staples and discount channels.
- Recent market activity highlights volatility influences, with TGT surging post-earnings and WMT maintaining stability despite sector pressures.
- All three demonstrate relative outperformance versus broader indices in recent weeks, underscoring defensive positioning in uncertain environments.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines KO (Coca-Cola), a global beverage leader; TGT (Target), a discount retailer focused on essentials and apparel; and WMT (Walmart), the world's largest retailer emphasizing value and groceries. These consumer staples and retail giants offer stability amid economic shifts, appealing to dividend-seeking investors, growth-oriented traders tracking momentum, and those hedging volatility through defensive holdings. By analyzing recent performance, sentiment, and relative positioning, this review aids informed decisions on stock comparison and market dynamics.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) dominates the nonalcoholic beverage sector with iconic brands and global distribution. In recent market activity, shares traded around $77, reflecting YTD gains of approximately 10% and stability within a 52-week range of $65 to $82. Key influences include robust 2025 full-year results with $47.9 billion in net revenue (up 2%) and EPS of $3.04 (up 23%), fueled by emerging market growth and value share gains. A Q4 impairment charge tempered operating income, but full-year growth and a dividend hike to $0.53 quarterly bolstered sentiment. Recent weeks saw mild pullbacks amid broader sector rotations, yet KO's defensive profile and consistent execution support relative resilience.
TGT Overview and Recent Performance
Target Corporation (TGT) operates as a general merchandise retailer with emphasis on style-driven essentials, beauty, and household goods. Shares recently hovered near $121, delivering standout YTD returns of about 24-25% amid a 52-week span from $83 to $126. Recent performance surged following Q4 results showing $30.5 billion in net sales and adjusted EPS of $7.57 for the year, beating estimates despite comparable sales declines. A bold multi-year plan, including $2 billion in 2026 investments for store remodels and faster delivery, catalyzed gains of over 6% in a session. Traffic softness persists, but margin expansion to 26.6% and optimistic fiscal 2026 guidance (2% sales growth) have shifted sentiment positively in recent weeks.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT) leads global retail with vast supercenters, e-commerce, and membership formats prioritizing low prices on groceries and essentials. Trading around $124 lately, shares posted YTD advances of roughly 11%, within a 52-week range of $80 to $135. Recent momentum stems from full-year revenue of $713.2 billion (up 4.7%), advertising growth to $6.4 billion, and resilient traffic amid consumer caution. Q4 execution highlighted e-commerce and market-share gains, though a recent analyst downgrade to Hold cited FTC pressures. In recent weeks, shares navigated volatility steadily, underscoring scale advantages and omnichannel strength for sustained relative performance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KO, TGT, and WMT span consumer staples and retail, with KO offering pure defensive beverage exposure versus the retailers' cyclical grocery and merchandise mix. Growth drivers differ: KO relies on pricing and emerging markets, while TGT and WMT leverage traffic, e-commerce (WMT's 24% surge), and memberships. Recent momentum favors TGT (25% YTD) over WMT (11%) and KO (10%), reflecting turnaround catalysts. Risks include consumer spending sensitivity for retailers amid inflation, versus KO's regulatory and impairment exposures. Valuation-wise, TGT appears discounted post-recovery, WMT trades at premiums for scale, and KO suits yield focus. Sentiment tilts toward retail stability in value channels.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward WMT based on trend consistency, e-commerce catalysts, and relative YTD positioning amid retail resilience. Its scale buffers volatility better than TGT's sales recovery trajectory, while offering steadier momentum than KO's defensive posture. Probabilistic edges favor WMT for near-term outperformance, though rotations could elevate TGT on execution.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTGT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- KO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TGT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TGT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- TGT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а -2.23% price change this week, while TGT (@Discount Stores) price change was +4.88% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was +102640.23%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
KO is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TGT is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.67% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Discount Stores (+2.91% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| KO | TGT | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 325B | 59B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 18.7B | 8.35B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 9.084 | 34.531 | 15.054 |
| P/E Ratio | 24.83 | 16.01 | 46.86 |
| Revenue | 47.9B | 105B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 5.49B | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 45.5B | 20.3B | 67.1B |
KO | TGT | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 67 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 38 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 12 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 24 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 23 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KO's Valuation (41) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as TGT (67) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to TGT’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as KO (13) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TGT (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to KO’s and significantly faster than TGT’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (20) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as TGT (38) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that KO's stock grew similarly to TGT’s and similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (24) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KO (52) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that TGT's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than KO’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KO (78) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that TGT's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than KO’s over the last 12 months.
| KO | TGT | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 35% | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 31% | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 39% | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 30% | 8 days ago 64% | 8 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 15% | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 21% | 6 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 25% |
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KO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KO has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KO jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.
TGT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGT has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TGT jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TGT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | 100% | +1.83% | ||
| DLTR - TGT | 33% Loosely correlated | +1.25% | ||
| DG - TGT | 26% Poorly correlated | -0.17% | ||
| PSMT - TGT | 26% Poorly correlated | -1.59% | ||
| COST - TGT | 25% Poorly correlated | -0.21% | ||
| OLLI - TGT | 24% Poorly correlated | -1.20% | ||
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.33% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.83% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.15% | ||
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