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KPLUY or MOS or NTR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUY) vs. The Mosaic Company (MOS) vs. Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NTR boasts the largest market cap at $36.2 billion and solid YTD gains of 21.26%, reflecting its diversified fertilizer leadership.
- KPLUY delivers the strongest YTD performance at 25.74% among the trio, bolstered by robust Q1 2026 EBITDA of about €280 million from potash demand.
- MOS trades at a lower P/E ratio of 13.62, but lags YTD at 3.09% amid input cost pressures like rising sulfur prices.
- Fertilizer prices have risen double-digits in recent weeks, supporting sector momentum amid tight global supply.
- All three stocks benefit from agriculture demand, but NTR and KPLUY show superior relative performance in recent market activity.
Introduction
This stock comparison evaluates KPLUY, MOS, and NTR, three key players in the fertilizer industry focused on potash and phosphate crop nutrients. Amid rising fertilizer prices and sustained global agriculture demand in recent months, these stocks offer insights into sector dynamics. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term commodity exposure will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and growth drivers in today's tightening supply environment.
KPLUY Overview and Recent Performance
K+S Aktiengesellschaft (KPLUY), a German supplier of potash, fertilizers, and salts, primarily serves agriculture and industrial sectors worldwide. Trading around $9.33 with a market cap of $3.3 billion, the stock has gained 25.74% YTD, outperforming peers in recent market activity. Sentiment has improved following strong Q1 2026 results, with EBITDA nearing €280 million due to higher potash prices and solid de-icing salt demand. The company lifted its 2026 profit outlook, citing global potash capacity utilization and rising demand. A recent dividend announcement further supports stability, though negative TTM EPS of -$3.52 reflects prior challenges.
MOS Overview and Recent Performance
The Mosaic Company (MOS) produces phosphate and potash crop nutrients, operating mines and facilities across the U.S., Brazil, and beyond. At $23.15 with a $7.4 billion market cap, shares are up modestly 3.09% YTD but have faced headwinds in recent weeks from elevated input costs like sulfur, pressuring margins. Q1 2026 earnings are due soon, with analysts forecasting a 63.3% EPS drop amid softer conditions. Positive notes include sustainability targets and plans to exit non-core Araxa assets for portfolio streamlining. The stock's P/E of 13.62 suggests relative value, though fertilizer supply jitters have mixed impact on sentiment.
NTR Overview and Recent Performance
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity, offers potash, nitrogen, and phosphate via retail and upstream segments. Shares trade near $75.22, with a massive $36.2 billion market cap and 21.26% YTD rise, driven by resilient agriculture demand. Recent weeks show steady performance amid positive 2026 guidance for higher sales volumes and retail earnings. Analyst upgrades, including Oppenheimer's resilient sentiment call, bolster outlook ahead of Q1 results. P/E stands at 16.14, balancing growth and scale in a sector with elevated fertilizer prices.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KPLUY, MOS, and NTR all hinge on crop nutrient demand, but differ in scale and focus: NTR's retail integration diversifies revenue, MOS emphasizes phosphate mining, and Europe-centric KPLUY leverages potash/salt. Growth drivers include tight potash supply and rising prices, favoring all, yet NTR and KPLUY exhibit stronger recent momentum over MOS. Risks encompass commodity volatility and input inflation, with MOS most exposed. Valuation sensitivity shows MOS cheapest on P/E, while market sentiment tilts toward larger peers amid agriculture resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor NTR in the current environment, given its scale, consistent YTD gains, diversified catalysts, and positive analyst positioning amid fertilizer tightness. KPLUY offers upside from potash rebound, but NTR's stability edges it for probabilistic outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KPLUY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMOS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NTR’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- KPLUY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NTR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KPLUY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and NTR’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KPLUY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NTR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
KPLUY (@Chemicals: Agricultural) experienced а -6.41% price change this week, while MOS (@Chemicals: Agricultural) price change was -4.42% , and NTR (@Chemicals: Agricultural) price fluctuated -0.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Agricultural industry was -3.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
KPLUY is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
MOS is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
NTR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Agricultural (-3.17% weekly)The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.
| KPLUY | MOS | NTR | |
| Capitalization | 3.27B | 6.8B | 34.3B |
| EBITDA | N/A | 2.5B | 6.32B |
| Gain YTD | 17.693 | -10.417 | 16.831 |
| P/E Ratio | 1280.91 | 152.86 | 14.58 |
| Revenue | N/A | 12.1B | 27.8B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 777M |
| Total Debt | N/A | 4.8B | 13.9B |
KPLUY | MOS | NTR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 53 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 44 Fair valued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 100 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | 94 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 65 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 3 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 47 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NTR's Valuation (39) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as MOS (44) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KPLUY (96) in the null industry. This means that NTR's stock grew similarly to MOS’s and somewhat faster than KPLUY’s over the last 12 months.
NTR's Profit vs Risk Rating (72) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as KPLUY (75) in the null industry, and is in the same range as MOS (100) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that NTR's stock grew similarly to KPLUY’s and similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
NTR's SMR Rating (71) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as MOS (94) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry, and is in the same range as KPLUY (96) in the null industry. This means that NTR's stock grew similarly to MOS’s and similarly to KPLUY’s over the last 12 months.
KPLUY's Price Growth Rating (45) in the null industry is in the same range as NTR (46) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry, and is in the same range as MOS (65) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that KPLUY's stock grew similarly to NTR’s and similarly to MOS’s over the last 12 months.
KPLUY's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the null industry is in the same range as MOS (3) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for NTR (99) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry. This means that KPLUY's stock grew similarly to MOS’s and significantly faster than NTR’s over the last 12 months.
| KPLUY | MOS | NTR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 75% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | N/A | 1 day ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 61% | 8 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 75% | 7 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 73% |
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KPLUY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KPLUY has been loosely correlated with YARIY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 40% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KPLUY jumps, then YARIY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KPLUY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPLUY | 100% | -4.55% | ||
| YARIY - KPLUY | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| MOS - KPLUY | 34% Loosely correlated | -0.05% | ||
| NTR - KPLUY | 33% Loosely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| CF - KPLUY | 29% Poorly correlated | +2.11% | ||
| KPLUF - KPLUY | 28% Poorly correlated | N/A | ||
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MOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MOS has been closely correlated with CF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MOS jumps, then CF could also see price increases.
NTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTR has been closely correlated with CF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NTR jumps, then CF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTR | 100% | -0.04% | ||
| CF - NTR | 69% Closely correlated | +2.11% | ||
| IPI - NTR | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| MOS - NTR | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.05% | ||
| CTVA - NTR | 49% Loosely correlated | -2.58% | ||
| YARIY - NTR | 39% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
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