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KR or MDLZ or PG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kroger (KR) vs. Mondelez (MDLZ) vs. Procter & Gamble (PG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KR shares have gained over 21% year-to-date, driven by strong Q4 earnings and e-commerce growth, outperforming peers in recent market activity.
- MDLZ faces headwinds from muted 2026 guidance and volume declines amid high cocoa costs, with shares down significantly over the past month.
- PG maintains stability as a consumer staples leader, with consistent dividend reliability but softer U.S. demand impacting recent performance.
- Relative performance highlights KR's momentum in grocery retail versus challenges in packaged foods for MDLZ.
- All three offer attractive dividend yields around 2.8-3.6%, appealing for income-focused investors in volatile conditions.
- Consumer staples sector positioning favors defensive plays like PG amid economic uncertainty.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines KR (Kroger), MDLZ (Mondelez International), and PG (Procter & Gamble), key players in the consumer staples sector. These companies provide essential goods—from groceries and snacks to household products—making them resilient amid market fluctuations. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors prioritizing stability and dividends will find value in analyzing their recent performance, growth drivers, and relative positioning. With shifting consumer sentiment and input cost pressures, understanding these dynamics aids informed decisions on stock comparison and market positioning.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
The Kroger Co. (KR), a leading U.S. supermarket chain, operates over 2,700 stores and emphasizes digital transformation and fresh offerings. In recent weeks, KR shares have risen about 11% over the past month and 21% year-to-date, trading around $75.60. Q4 fiscal 2025 results showed adjusted EPS of $1.28, beating estimates, with sales up 2.1% to $34.7 billion, fueled by 20% e-commerce growth and pharmacy strength. Guidance for 2026 projects 1-2% identical sales growth without fuel and EPS of $5.10-$5.30. Sentiment has improved under new CEO Greg Foran, with analysts lifting price targets amid sourcing efficiencies and lower supply-chain costs, though merger uncertainties linger.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ), known for brands like Oreo and Cadbury, focuses on global snacks and confectionery. Shares have declined over 12% in the past month, trading near $54.89, with modest YTD gains of about 2%. Q4 2025 net revenues rose 9.3% to $10.5 billion, beating estimates, but volumes fell 4.8% due to price hikes pushing away cost-conscious consumers. Adjusted EPS of $0.72 topped forecasts, yet full-year adjusted EPS dropped 14.6% amid high cocoa costs. 2026 outlook is subdued: organic revenue flat to 2% and EPS flat to 5% growth. Elevated input costs and weak North America volumes have tempered sentiment, despite dividend hikes to $2.00 annually.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
Procter & Gamble (PG), a household products giant with brands like Tide and Pampers, leads in beauty, grooming, and health care. Shares hover around $150.65, with YTD performance reflecting resilience but recent dips from U.S. demand softness. Q2 fiscal 2026 sales grew 1% to $22.2 billion, missing estimates slightly, while EPS beat at $1.88. Organic sales were flat year-over-year, pressured by weaker fabric/home care and health categories, offset by beauty gains. The company maintains strong cash flow and a 2.8% dividend yield, with analysts viewing it as a hold amid restructuring. Broader stability in essentials supports positioning, though consumer spending caution influences sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KR, MDLZ, and PG operate in consumer staples but differ in business models: KR in grocery retail with e-commerce momentum, MDLZ in snacks vulnerable to commodity swings like cocoa, and PG in branded essentials with global scale. Growth drivers contrast—KR's digital/pharmacy vs. MDLZ's pricing amid volume drops. Recent momentum favors KR (YTD +21%) over MDLZ (-12% monthly) and stable PG. Risk factors include input inflation for all, but MDLZ most exposed; valuations show KR at lower P/E (~18) versus PG (~24) and MDLZ (~29). Market sentiment leans toward KR's outperformance in relative performance metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KR based on trend consistency from recent earnings beats, e-commerce catalysts, and superior YTD momentum positioning it ahead in consumer staples. While PG offers stability and MDLZ potential margin recovery, KR's relative strength suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance amid grocery demand resilience.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and PG’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and PG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
KR (@Food Retail) experienced а +0.29% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -2.97% , and PG (@Household/Personal Care) price fluctuated +1.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +2.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.08%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
PG is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Retail (+2.31% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
| KR | MDLZ | PG | |
| Capitalization | 41.8B | 73.5B | 341B |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 4.97B | 24.5B |
| Gain YTD | 9.686 | 7.274 | 3.254 |
| P/E Ratio | 44.28 | 30.29 | 21.77 |
| Revenue | 148B | 38.5B | 85.3B |
| Total Cash | 4.58B | N/A | 10.8B |
| Total Debt | 24.7B | 21.8B | 36.6B |
KR | MDLZ | PG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 15 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 55 Fair valued | 25 Undervalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 81 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 56 | 72 | 30 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 59 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 23 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (25) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as PG (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as KR (55) in the Food Retail industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to PG’s and similarly to KR’s over the last 12 months.
KR's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as PG (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to PG’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
PG's SMR Rating (30) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as KR (56) in the Food Retail industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that PG's stock grew similarly to KR’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
KR's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as PG (60) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as MDLZ (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for PG (81) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and significantly faster than PG’s over the last 12 months.
| KR | MDLZ | PG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | N/A | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 41% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 53% | 10 days ago 45% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 6 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | N/A | 2 days ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 35% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ESGD | 103.00 | 1.31 | +1.29% |
| iShares ESG Aware MSCI EAFE ETF | |||
| XHYF | 37.42 | 0.19 | +0.51% |
| BondBloxx US Hg Yld Fncl & REIT Str ETF | |||
| KJUL | 33.28 | 0.16 | +0.47% |
| Innovator Russell 2000 Pwr Bffr ETF™ Jul | |||
| GBXC | 27.07 | N/A | N/A |
| Goldman Sachs U.S. Large Cap Buffer 3 ETF | |||
| FYLD | 37.98 | -0.24 | -0.63% |
| Cambria Foreign Shareholder Yield ETF | |||
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.32% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
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