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LMT or TDG or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lockheed Martin (LMT) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LMT leads with strong YTD gains of approximately 35%, driven by defense demand and munitions ramp-up, trading at a trailing P/E of 30.3.
- TDG shows resilient earnings growth with recent quarterly sales up 14%, but YTD performance lags at -6%, with a premium valuation.
- TDY delivers balanced exposure across defense and instrumentation, with solid 1-year returns around 37%, supported by YTD gains near 29%.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense sector tailwinds, but LMT exhibits superior recent momentum amid geopolitical tensions.
- Relative valuations highlight LMT's attractiveness at a forward P/E of 22 versus peers' higher multiples.
- Market caps position LMT ($150B) as the largest, followed by TDG ($73B) and TDY ($31B).
Introduction
This comparison examines LMT (Lockheed Martin), TDG (TransDigm Group), and TDY (Teledyne Technologies), key players in the aerospace and defense sector. These stocks offer exposure to military contracts, aircraft components, and advanced instrumentation amid rising global defense spending and commercial aviation recovery. Investors seeking stability in defense primes or growth in aftermarket parts, as well as traders eyeing sector momentum, will find value in understanding their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning in the current environment.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT), the world's largest defense contractor, specializes in aeronautics, missiles, rotary systems, and space technologies. In recent market activity, LMT shares have surged over 35% YTD and nearly 37% over the past year, reaching highs near $692 before recent pullbacks to around $651. This momentum stems from heightened global conflicts boosting munitions demand, with the company committing to fourfold production increases following key meetings. Revenue grew 5.6% to $75B in the latest trailing twelve months, supported by a robust backlog and stable government contracts. Sentiment remains positive due to geopolitical catalysts and a 2% dividend yield, though shares trade at a trailing P/E of 30.3 amid overbought concerns.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components for commercial, military, and aftermarket applications. Recent performance shows resilience with Q1 FY2026 net sales up 13.9% to $2.285B and adjusted EPS rising 5% to $8.23, beating estimates. However, shares have declined about 6% YTD and trade around $1,278 after a 52-week high of $1,624, reflecting margin pressures and leverage concerns noted by analysts. Broader aftermarket recovery supports growth, with fiscal 2025 sales up 11.2% and EBITDA margins at 53.9%. Trading at a premium valuation, TDG benefits from acquisitions like Simmonds Precision, but faces downgrades amid softer outlooks.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) provides instrumentation, digital imaging, and aerospace/defense electronics. Shares have advanced nearly 29% YTD and 37% over the past year, trading near $655 after a 52-week high of $693. Recent weeks reflect steady gains amid sector strength, with a market cap of $31B and beta of 0.98 indicating moderate volatility. Performance is bolstered by diverse revenue streams in marine, defense, and industrial applications, contributing to consistent growth. Valuation at a trailing P/E of 34.7 positions it as growth-oriented, with positive analyst targets around $700 supporting sentiment in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LMT, TDG, and TDY share aerospace/defense exposure but differ in models: LMT relies on prime government contracts for stability, TDG on proprietary aftermarket parts for high margins (53.9% EBITDA), and TDY on diversified instrumentation. Growth drivers favor TDG (11-14% recent sales) over LMT (5.6%), with TDY balanced. Recent momentum shines for LMT (35% YTD), contrasting TDG's pullback. Risks include LMT's program dependencies, TDG's debt, and TDY's cyclical elements. Valuations show LMT cheapest (forward P/E 22), TDY at 35, and TDG premium. Sentiment tilts to defense stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LMT due to its trend consistency, leading YTD performance, defense catalysts like munitions demand, and relative value at a forward P/E of 22. With stable backlogs and geopolitical tailwinds, it holds stronger probabilistic positioning over TDG's margin risks and TDY's diversification, though all benefit from sector growth.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LMT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTDG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LMT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TDG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -3.51% price change this week, while TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +4.86% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.07%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.22% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.08% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| LMT | TDG | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 134B | 72B | 29.9B |
| EBITDA | 8.73B | 4.63B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | 23.082 | -4.153 | 26.433 |
| P/E Ratio | 27.05 | 41.01 | 34.20 |
| Revenue | 75B | 9.11B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 4.12B | 2.53B | 352M |
| Total Debt | 21.7B | 30B | 2.64B |
LMT | TDG | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 72 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 25 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 16 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 58 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 77 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 37 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (72) and is significantly better than the same rating for TDY (98). This means that LMT's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and significantly faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (34) and is in the same range as LMT (35). This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (16) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73). This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and somewhat faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
TDY's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as LMT (52) and is in the same range as TDG (58). This means that TDY's stock grew similarly to LMT’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (38) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77). This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| LMT | TDG | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 38% | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 54% | 7 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 47% | 5 days ago 51% | 6 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 43% |
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LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then GD could also see price increases.
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.87% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with VNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then VNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | +1.56% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| MKSI - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| GRMN - TDY | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.04% | ||
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