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LVMHF or MOV or TPR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton (LVMHF) vs. Movado Group (MOV) vs. Tapestry (TPR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Movado Group (MOV) leads year-to-date (YTD) performance with a 35% gain, outpacing LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton (LVMHF) at 28% and Tapestry (TPR) at 11%.
- LVMHF dominates with a $262 billion market cap, compared to TPR's $29 billion and MOV's $608 million.
- MOV provides the highest dividend yield at 5.1%, versus 2.9% for LVMHF and 1.1% for TPR.
- TPR trades at a premium price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 54.6, higher than MOV's 23.5 and LVMHF's 20.7.
- LVMHF and MOV exhibit lower betas (0.83 and 0.88, respectively) than TPR's 1.47, indicating reduced volatility relative to the market.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines three players in the luxury goods sector: LVMHF, MOV, and TPR. Amid shifting consumer spending and sector headwinds, these stocks offer insights into relative performance within consumer cyclical markets. Traders seeking momentum plays or value opportunities, and investors eyeing luxury exposure with varying risk profiles, will find this analysis useful for understanding current market positioning and potential trade-offs.
LVMHF Overview and Recent Performance
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton operates as a global luxury conglomerate, spanning fashion, wines, spirits, perfumes, watches, and jewelry. With iconic brands like Louis Vuitton and Dior, it leads the industry. In recent market activity, LVMHF shares have retreated from earlier highs, trading around $530 amid broader luxury demand concerns. Year-to-date gains stand at 28%, supported by a reasonable P/E ratio of 20.7 and earnings per share (EPS) of $25.61, but sentiment has softened due to analyst flags on recovery timelines in a cautious spending environment. Its low beta of 0.83 reflects relative stability.
MOV Overview and Recent Performance
Movado Group designs, markets, and distributes watches under brands like Movado and Concorde, targeting mid-tier luxury consumers primarily in North America. MOV has shown robust momentum, up 35% YTD and nearing its 52-week high of $29.24, with shares around $27.45. A P/E of 23.5 and EPS of $1.17 underpin performance, bolstered by a recent Buy rating and $31.50 price target from analysts. Elevated dividend yield at 5.1% enhances appeal, while beta of 0.88 indicates moderate volatility in recent weeks' gains.
TPR Overview and Recent Performance
Tapestry owns lifestyle brands including Coach and Kate Spade, focusing on accessories and apparel. TPR has climbed to around $141, with YTD gains of 11% and a 52-week high near $162, though recent pullbacks reflect pre-earnings caution. Elevated P/E of 54.6 and EPS of $2.58 signal premium pricing, amid mixed analyst views on growth versus margins. Higher beta of 1.47 highlights greater sensitivity to market swings, with upcoming earnings on May 7 as a key catalyst.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LVMHF offers broad diversification across luxury categories globally, contrasting MOV's niche watch focus and TPR's handbag-centric model. Growth drivers include brand prestige for LVMHF, regional sales recovery for MOV, and earnings catalysts for TPR. Recent momentum favors MOV, while luxury slowdowns pressure LVMHF more. Risk profiles differ: TPR's higher beta amplifies swings versus peers' stability. Valuation sensitivity is highest for TPR at 54.6 P/E; LVMHF appears most balanced. Market sentiment reflects sector caution, with MOV showing resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models would likely favor MOV in the current environment, given its leading YTD momentum, attractive dividend yield, reasonable valuation, and analyst support amid luxury peers' challenges. While LVMHF provides scale and stability, and TPR offers growth potential, MOV's relative strength positions it probabilistically ahead for trend consistency.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LVMHF’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMOV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TPR’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- LVMHF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MOV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LVMHF’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOV’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and TPR’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LVMHF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- MOV’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TPR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LVMHF (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) experienced а +1.00% price change this week, while MOV (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price change was -2.11% , and TPR (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price fluctuated -6.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was +1.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
MOV is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
TPR is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (+1.62% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
| LVMHF | MOV | TPR | |
| Capitalization | 263B | 589M | 26.6B |
| EBITDA | 25.8B | 44.3M | 1.12B |
| Gain YTD | -29.445 | 30.320 | 3.376 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.69 | 22.64 | 40.16 |
| Revenue | 80.8B | 671M | 7.85B |
| Total Cash | 13.5B | 231M | 1.07B |
| Total Debt | 36.7B | 78.7M | 3.92B |
LVMHF | MOV | TPR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 22 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 6 Undervalued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 86 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 84 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 39 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 34 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 39 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MOV's Valuation (6) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as LVMHF (30) in the null industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TPR (52) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that MOV's stock grew similarly to LVMHF’s and somewhat faster than TPR’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for MOV (86) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for LVMHF (100) in the null industry. This means that TPR's stock grew significantly faster than MOV’s and significantly faster than LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's SMR Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for MOV (84) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for LVMHF (99) in the null industry. This means that TPR's stock grew significantly faster than MOV’s and significantly faster than LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
MOV's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry is in the same range as TPR (49) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry, and is in the same range as LVMHF (63) in the null industry. This means that MOV's stock grew similarly to TPR’s and similarly to LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as MOV (34) in the Other Consumer Specialties industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for LVMHF (51) in the null industry. This means that TPR's stock grew similarly to MOV’s and somewhat faster than LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
| LVMHF | MOV | TPR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 62% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 7 days ago 64% | 7 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 16 days ago 63% | 9 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 5 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 71% |
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LVMHF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LVMHF has been closely correlated with LVMUY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LVMHF jumps, then LVMUY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LVMHF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVMHF | 100% | -0.19% | ||
| LVMUY - LVMHF | 98% Closely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| HESAY - LVMHF | 81% Closely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| CFRUY - LVMHF | 77% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| HESAF - LVMHF | 72% Closely correlated | -3.28% | ||
| PPRUY - LVMHF | 68% Closely correlated | +0.11% | ||
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MOV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MOV has been loosely correlated with SIG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MOV jumps, then SIG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MOV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOV | 100% | -4.06% | ||
| SIG - MOV | 53% Loosely correlated | -3.34% | ||
| CPRI - MOV | 51% Loosely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| TPR - MOV | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.21% | ||
| FOSL - MOV | 37% Loosely correlated | -11.24% | ||
| LUXE - MOV | 36% Loosely correlated | -2.63% | ||
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TPR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPR has been loosely correlated with CPRI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPR jumps, then CPRI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TPR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPR | 100% | -1.21% | ||
| CPRI - TPR | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| SIG - TPR | 42% Loosely correlated | -3.34% | ||
| MOV - TPR | 41% Loosely correlated | -4.06% | ||
| LVMHF - TPR | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| LVMUY - TPR | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
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