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MCHP or MPWR or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCHP trades around $65 with a market cap of $35B, showing modest recent gains amid inventory normalization in industrial and automotive sectors.
- MPWR leads with shares near $1,070 and $53B market cap, driven by 20%+ YTD growth from AI data center power demand.
- TSM dominates at $346 and $1.5T+ market cap, with 15% YTD returns fueled by AI chip manufacturing leadership.
- MPWR and TSM exhibit premium valuations (P/E ~80x and 33x) tied to AI exposure, while MCHP offers relative value at lower multiples.
- All three benefit from semiconductor recovery, but TSM's scale provides stability amid geopolitical risks.
- Recent momentum favors power management and foundry plays over broader MCU providers.
Introduction
This comparison examines MCHP, MPWR, and TSM, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem spanning microcontrollers, power management, and advanced manufacturing. These stocks appeal to investors tracking the AI-driven chip surge, industrial recovery, and automotive electrification. Traders focused on relative performance and sector momentum will find insights into valuation sensitivities, growth catalysts, and market positioning in the current environment of stabilizing demand and technological advancement.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) designs and manufactures microcontrollers, analog, mixed-signal, and connectivity solutions for industrial, automotive, consumer, and aerospace applications. Its fab-lite model balances owned facilities with outsourcing for cost efficiency. In recent market activity, shares around $65 have posted modest gains, reflecting a 15.6% year-over-year revenue increase in recent quarters amid inventory digestion. Strong bookings and automotive partnerships have supported sentiment, though broader sector pressures from excess supply have tempered momentum. Key influences include recovery in end markets and focus on security-enhanced products, positioning MCHP for stabilization as demand normalizes.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) specializes in high-efficiency power management semiconductors, including DC-DC converters and modules for AI servers, EVs, and data centers, via a fabless model. Recent performance has been robust, with shares near $1,070 reflecting over 20% YTD gains and quarterly revenue growth exceeding 20%. Analysts highlight strong AI chip demand and earnings beats, though valuation concerns arise amid market volatility. Sentiment remains positive due to enterprise data center wins and diversified exposure, driving outperformance relative to peers in recent weeks.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) operates the pure-play foundry model, producing advanced chips for fabless designers like Nvidia and Apple across high-performance computing and mobile. Shares trading around $346 have delivered 15% YTD returns, supported by AI-driven demand and projected EPS growth over 50% in coming quarters. Recent activity shows resilience despite geopolitical tensions, with revenue expansion near 25% and high margins. Positive analyst outlooks stem from capacity expansions and leadership in 3nm/2nm nodes, bolstering market positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCHP, MPWR, and TSM operate complementary roles: MCHP's broad MCU/analog focus serves diversified industrial/auto needs, while MPWR targets high-growth power for AI/EVs, and TSM enables it all via foundry scale. Growth drivers contrast sharply—MPWR and TSM ride AI tailwinds with 20%+ revenue trajectories, versus MCHP's cyclical recovery. Recent momentum favors MPWR (74% 1-year) over TSM (99%) and MCHP. Risks include TSM's geopolitics, MPWR's concentration, and MCHP's inventory overhang. Valuation sensitivity is highest for MPWR (P/E 80x+), with TSM (33x) balanced and MCHP cheapest. Sentiment tilts toward AI pure-plays amid sector rotation trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM for its unmatched scale, consistent AI catalysts, and relative stability in trends. While MPWR shows superior momentum, TSM's positioning offers higher probability of sustained outperformance amid expanding foundry demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMPWR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а +9.09% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was +21.04% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +9.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | MPWR | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 38.7B | 66.5B | 1.63T |
| EBITDA | 877M | 781M | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 12.965 | 49.671 | 22.635 |
| P/E Ratio | 86.21 | 105.28 | 35.52 |
| Revenue | 4.37B | 2.79B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 251M | 581M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 5.41B | 15.1M | N/A |
MCHP | MPWR | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 30 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 83 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 22 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 46 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 3 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 2 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCHP's Valuation (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (51) and is significantly better than the same rating for MPWR (83). This means that MCHP's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and significantly faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (22) and is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (93). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (46) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (90). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (39) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (44). This means that MPWR's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (6) and is in the same range as TSM (19). This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to MCHP’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | MPWR | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 77% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 73% | 13 days ago 66% | 23 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 61% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DFIS | 35.49 | 0.15 | +0.42% |
| Dimensional International Small Cap ETF | |||
| NSCR | 29.81 | N/A | N/A |
| Nuveen Sustainable Core ETF | |||
| DVXC | 25.38 | N/A | N/A |
| WEBs Communication Svcs XLC Dfnd Vol ETF | |||
| MOOD | 41.61 | -0.02 | -0.05% |
| Relative Sentiment Tactical Allc ETF | |||
| YLD | 18.92 | -0.09 | -0.47% |
| Principal Active High Yield ETF | |||
MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | +0.48% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 97% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 85% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 85% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 82% Closely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
More | ||||
MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | +1.47% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| ADI - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| TSM - MPWR | 71% Closely correlated | +1.40% | ||
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