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MCHP or MTSI or QCOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. QUALCOMM (QCOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCHP shows recovery signs with 15.6% year-over-year revenue growth in recent quarters, though recent share price weakness reflects valuation concerns amid mixed market sentiment.
- MTSI demonstrates strong momentum with over 100% one-year gains and robust demand in data centers and defense, supported by recent record bookings and margin improvements.
- QCOM faces headwinds from declining earnings estimates and smartphone weakness, leading to year-to-date underperformance and negative revisions in growth outlook.
- MTSI leads in relative performance with YTD returns around 25-30%, contrasting MCHP's flat to slight gains and QCOM's 25% decline.
- All three operate in semiconductors but differ in focus: MCHP on embedded controls, MTSI on analog RF/microwave, and QCOM on wireless/mobile chips.
Introduction
Microchip Technology (MCHP), MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI), and QUALCOMM (QCOM) are key players in the semiconductor sector, each specializing in distinct niches amid evolving demand for chips in industrial, defense, data infrastructure, and wireless communications. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning to aid traders seeking momentum plays and investors evaluating relative strength in a cyclical industry. With sector rotation influencing sentiment, understanding contrasts in growth trajectories and risk profiles helps inform decisions on allocation in portfolios focused on technology hardware and connectivity.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) designs and manufactures microcontroller, mixed-signal, analog, and Flash-IP integrated circuits for embedded control applications across industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace, and communications markets. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced pressure, with shares down over 20% in the past month and trading around $62, reflecting broader sector volatility and valuation debates. Key influences include a reported 15.6% year-over-year revenue increase signaling recovery, bolstered by strong bookings and expansions in cybersecurity and product portfolios. However, some funds have trimmed positions due to perceived high valuations relative to growth amid macroeconomic headwinds, contributing to mixed sentiment and short-term weakness despite longer-term gains of about 12% over one year.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) develops analog semiconductors for radio frequency, microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave applications, serving telecom, industrial/defense, and data center markets, including military radar and satellite systems. Recent performance has been resilient, with shares around $218 after strong quarterly results showing 24.5% revenue growth to $272 million, driven by record industrial/defense and data center demand. Despite a recent pullback of about 8% weekly, the stock boasts impressive longer-term momentum, up over 100% in the past year and 25% YTD, fueled by robust bookings, margin expansion, and innovations like PCIe 7.0 equalizers. Positive outlook and high win rates in AI pattern trading underscore sustained interest.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QUALCOMM (QCOM) is a leader in wireless telecommunications products and services, including chips for mobile devices, IoT, automotive, and licensing of intellectual property. Recent weeks have seen downward pressure, with shares near $130 after a 25% YTD decline and 15% one-year drop, underperforming peers amid smartphone market softness and estimate cuts. Earnings projections for fiscal 2026 have fallen 7.3%, with Q2 guidance below expectations contributing to bearish revisions and analyst downgrades. While diversified into AI and edge computing, near-term challenges in key markets like handsets have weighed on sentiment, contrasting with broader sector resilience.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCHP, MTSI, and QCOM share semiconductor exposure but diverge in business models: MCHP emphasizes embedded microcontrollers for broad industrial use, MTSI focuses on high-performance analog RF for defense/data centers, and QCOM centers on wireless modems with licensing revenue. Growth drivers contrast sharply—MTSI benefits from data infrastructure and defense tailwinds, MCHP from recovering end-markets, while QCOM grapples with handset cyclicality. Recent momentum favors MTSI's 100%+ yearly surge versus MCHP's modest 12% and QCOM's declines. Risk profiles show MTSI's higher beta (1.46) amplifying volatility, MCHP's stability in diversified apps, and QCOM's exposure to geopolitical IP tensions. Valuation sensitivity is elevated for MCHP amid recovery pricing, MTSI trades at premium multiples reflecting growth, and QCOM appears cheaper but with downward EPS revisions. Market sentiment tilts positive for analog/defense plays over mobile amid AI infrastructure shifts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI based on consistent trend strength, superior relative performance, and alignment with high-return semiconductor bots achieving 70-110% annualized gains in similar tickers. MTSI's booking momentum and sector exposure offer probabilistic edge over MCHP's valuation hurdles and QCOM's weakening catalysts, though all remain sensitive to broader chip cycles.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and QCOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and QCOM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.57% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +3.95% , and QCOM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +0.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | MTSI | QCOM | |
| Capitalization | 38.5B | 18.6B | 136B |
| EBITDA | 877M | 259M | 14.8B |
| Gain YTD | 12.428 | 44.623 | -24.835 |
| P/E Ratio | 86.21 | 112.09 | 25.76 |
| Revenue | 4.37B | 1.02B | 44.9B |
| Total Cash | 251M | 768M | 11.8B |
| Total Debt | 5.41B | 531M | 14.8B |
MCHP | MTSI | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 24 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 82 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 12 | 89 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 58 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 36 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 53 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (8) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as MCHP (13) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to MCHP’s and significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for QCOM (89) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (92) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew significantly faster than QCOM’s and significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's SMR Rating (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (58) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (41) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as QCOM (63) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to MCHP’s and similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (53) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MCHP's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | MTSI | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 76% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 73% | 12 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 3 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
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| FNGG | 175.96 | 3.80 | +2.21% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.19% | ||
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