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MCHP or NVTS or ON
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) vs. ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCHP offers stability as a mature microcontroller leader with recent revenue growth of 15.6% year-over-year, though shares have declined amid sector weakness.
- NVTS, a high-growth GaN/SiC specialist, shows volatile momentum with over 300% one-year gains but remains unprofitable and sensitive to AI/data center trends.
- ON provides balanced power management exposure, with steady YTD gains but recent monthly pullbacks reflecting broader semiconductor pressures.
- All three operate in semiconductors but differ in scale: MCHP ($32B market cap) and ON ($22B) lead in maturity versus NVTS ($2B) growth potential.
- Recent weeks highlight sector rotation risks, with power semis like NVTS gaining on AI catalysts while established players face valuation scrutiny.
- Relative performance favors growth plays short-term, but stability wins in volatile markets.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MCHP, NVTS, and ON—three semiconductor firms navigating AI-driven demand, industrial recovery, and power efficiency trends. Investors seeking exposure to microcontrollers, next-gen power chips, and sensing solutions will find value in understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and risks. Traders focused on short-term momentum versus long-term stability can assess trade-offs in this volatile sector, where recent market activity underscores contrasts in scale, profitability, and market positioning.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) is a leading provider of microcontrollers (MCUs), mixed-signal, analog, and Flash-IP solutions for industrial, automotive, consumer, aerospace, communications, and computing markets. In recent market activity, shares traded around $60, down over 18% in the past month amid broader semiconductor weakness, with a 52-week range of $34-$83. Q3 FY2026 revenue reached $1.19 billion, up 15.6% year-over-year and beating estimates, driven by recovery in end markets and strong bookings. Gross margins exceeded 60%, signaling operational efficiency, though high debt and inventory concerns tempered sentiment. Analysts maintain a moderate buy rating with targets around $86, reflecting optimism for FY2026 earnings growth.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) specializes in gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors, including GaNFast power ICs and GeneSiC devices for mobile, data centers, EVs, solar, and industrial applications. Shares hovered near $8, with high volatility—up over 300% in the past year but down 8-16% in recent weeks—from a 52-week range of $1.50-$18. Q4 2025 revenue hit $7.3 million, topping estimates despite a year-over-year drop, with Q1 2026 guidance at $8-8.5 million signaling sequential growth amid a pivot to high-power AI data center markets. Gross margins held at 38-39%, but ongoing losses persist. Sentiment mixes growth excitement with execution risks, as the firm remains unprofitable.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON), operating as onsemi, delivers intelligent power and sensing technologies, including MOSFETs, image sensors, and EliteSiC for automotive, industrial, cloud, medical, and IoT markets. Shares traded around $56, down 12% monthly and 4-5% recently, within a 52-week range of $31-$74. Recent quarters showed revenue stabilization at $1.5-1.6 billion, with Q4 EPS beating estimates at $0.64 despite softer guidance. Automotive and industrial segments drove performance, bolstered by SiC advancements, though sector headwinds pressured shares. Analysts project moderate EPS growth, with a hold-to-buy consensus amid mixed sentiment on revenue trends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCHP, NVTS, and ON share semiconductor exposure but diverge in business models: MCHP dominates mature MCU markets with broad analog reach, ON excels in power/sensing for autos/industrials, and NVTS targets high-growth GaN/SiC for AI/EVs. Growth drivers contrast—MCHP and ON leverage scale ($32B/$22B caps) for steady revenue (4-16% recent growth), while NVTS ($2B cap) bets on 30%+ potential amid losses. Recent momentum favors NVTS’s 300% one-year surge versus MCHP/ON’s 20-36%, but YTD shows ON ahead (+8%) over MCHP (-8%)/NVTS (mixed). Risks include MCHP’s debt, NVTS’s unprofitability (negative P/E), and ON’s revenue softness; all face cyclical sector exposure and valuation sensitivity (MCHP P/E ~86x, others elevated). Sentiment tilts growth-oriented for NVTS, stable for incumbents.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ON for its balanced trend consistency, automotive/industrial catalysts, and relative stability amid sector volatility. With positive YTD positioning, SiC momentum, and moderate growth prospects, it edges peers probabilistically—outweighing MCHP’s recent declines and NVTS’s high-risk swings—though all warrant monitoring for shifting conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ON’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and ON’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.57% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +7.05% , and ON (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | NVTS | ON | |
| Capitalization | 38.5B | 2.17B | 26.9B |
| EBITDA | 877M | -67.33M | 888M |
| Gain YTD | 12.428 | 31.933 | 26.482 |
| P/E Ratio | 86.21 | N/A | 236.17 |
| Revenue | 4.37B | 45.9M | 6B |
| Total Cash | 251M | 237M | 2.55B |
| Total Debt | 5.41B | 6.47M | 3.01B |
MCHP | ON | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 73 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 7 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCHP's Valuation (13) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for ON (87). This means that MCHP’s stock grew significantly faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
ON's Profit vs Risk Rating (73) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (92). This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ON's SMR Rating (88) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (90). This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ON's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (41). This means that ON’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (5). This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| MCHP | NVTS | ON | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 5 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 73% | 12 days ago 86% | 12 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 62% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FNGG | 175.96 | 3.80 | +2.21% |
| Direxion Daily NYSE FANG+ Bull 2X Shares | |||
| ZAP | 33.46 | 0.42 | +1.27% |
| Global X U.S. Electrification ETF | |||
| CGBL | 35.80 | 0.14 | +0.39% |
| Capital Group Core Balanced ETF | |||
| NSCR | 29.81 | N/A | N/A |
| Nuveen Sustainable Core ETF | |||
| CONL | 6.53 | -0.48 | -6.85% |
| GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF | |||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | -1.36% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +3.30% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +3.02% | ||
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