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MDLZ or MNST or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Monster Beverage (MNST) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MDLZ exhibits relative stability with YTD gains around 6-8%, supported by a 3.4% dividend yield, amid cocoa cost pressures offset by pricing strategies.
- MNST shows strong revenue growth of 17.6% in recent Q4 but has declined ~14% over the past month post-earnings due to input cost concerns.
- STZ trades at lower levels after a yearly pullback, facing beer volume challenges but benefiting from recent analyst upgrades on recovery potential.
- All three operate in consumer staples but diverge in momentum: MDLZ leads in defensive positioning, MNST in growth, and STZ in valuation appeal.
- Recent market activity highlights sector resilience, with MDLZ near $57, MNST around $73, and STZ at ~$152.
- AI-driven analysis favors trend consistency and catalysts for relative outperformance.
Introduction
This comparison examines MDLZ, MNST, and STZ, three prominent consumer staples stocks spanning snacks, energy drinks, and beer/wine. Investors seeking defensive plays amid volatility or growth opportunities in beverages may find value here. Recent performance reflects broader sector dynamics like input cost inflation and shifting consumer preferences, offering insights into relative strength, valuation, and momentum for portfolio positioning in the current market environment.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is a global leader in snacks, biscuits, chocolate, and confectionery, with iconic brands like Oreo and Cadbury driving ~$36 billion in annual revenue across 150+ countries. In recent market activity, shares trading around $57 have posted YTD gains of approximately 6-8%, hovering near the 52-week midpoint after dipping from highs above $70. Elevated cocoa prices have pressured margins despite 5.1% organic revenue growth and resilient pricing actions. Q4 results showed adjusted EPS beats, but sentiment remains cautious on volume recovery and M&A amid high costs, bolstered by a forward P/E of ~19 and 3.4% dividend yield for defensive appeal.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage (MNST) specializes in energy drinks like Monster Energy, with international operations from its California base. Recent weeks have seen shares around $73 decline ~14% from post-Q4 peaks near $87, despite robust 17.6% net sales growth to $2.13 billion and 64.9% EPS rise. YTD performance is slightly negative at -4-5%, though one-year gains exceed 25-30%, fueled by international expansion and 55.85% gross margins. Cost pressures from aluminum and tariffs have tempered enthusiasm, with no dividend but elevated P/E reflecting growth prospects amid strong category demand.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands (STZ) focuses on beer, wine, and spirits, with key brands like Corona and Modelo anchoring its portfolio. Shares near $152 have stabilized after a yearly decline of over 13%, trading well below 52-week highs around $197 amid beer volume softness. Recent quarters highlight cost-saving efforts and portfolio streamlining, with YTD up ~11% but monthly dips of 3-4%. Analyst upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs signal recovery potential in premium beer, though tariffs and consumer shifts pose risks; a 2.7% yield and compelling valuation support positioning versus peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MDLZ, MNST, and STZ share consumer staples exposure but contrast sharply in business models: MDLZ's snack dominance offers broad geographic diversification versus MNST's energy drink focus and STZ's premium alcohol tilt. Growth drivers differ—MNST leads with 17%+ sales momentum from innovation, while MDLZ and STZ prioritize pricing and cost controls amid input inflation. Recent momentum favors MDLZ's steadiness over MNST's post-earnings dip and STZ's recovery trade. Risks include commodity volatility for all, but STZ faces tariff exposure and MNST competition. Valuation sensitivity points to STZ's attractiveness, with MDLZ yielding income stability; market sentiment leans growth for MNST, defense for MDLZ.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MDLZ for its trend consistency, dividend support, and relative stability amid sector headwinds, positioning it probabilistically ahead in a risk-off environment. While MNST offers superior growth catalysts and STZ valuation upside, MDLZ's balanced risk-reward and recent outperformance suggest higher near-term conviction based on observable momentum and fundamentals.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMNST’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MNST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а +2.69% price change this week, while MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +5.28% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated +7.85% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +2.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164976.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+2.89% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+2.02% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| MDLZ | MNST | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 75.8B | 74.5B | 28.3B |
| EBITDA | 4.97B | 2.53B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | 10.722 | -0.626 | 18.970 |
| P/E Ratio | 31.26 | 39.27 | 16.97 |
| Revenue | 38.5B | 8.29B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.77B | 152M |
| Total Debt | 21.8B | 199M | 10.7B |
MDLZ | MNST | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 73 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | 48 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 23 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 34 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 51 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 59 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (28) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as STZ (48) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's SMR Rating (34) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to STZ’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MNST's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (53) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MNST's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (59) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (98) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew somewhat faster than MNST’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | MNST | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 58% | 5 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 49% | 12 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 38% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CRPT | 12.52 | 0.08 | +0.64% |
| First Trust SkyBdg Cry Idt & Dgt Eco ETF | |||
| SUSA | 137.61 | 0.21 | +0.15% |
| iShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF | |||
| MDEV | 19.03 | N/A | N/A |
| First Trust Indxx Global Mdcl Dvcs ETF | |||
| ENFR | 37.65 | -0.22 | -0.58% |
| Alerian Energy Infrastructure ETF | |||
| HOOX | 19.68 | -1.19 | -5.70% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Long HOOD ETF | |||
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.44% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.84% | ||
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