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MDLZ or PEP or UL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. PepsiCo (PEP) vs. Unilever (UL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MDLZ shares have shown resilience with YTD gains around 5-7%, supported by solid Q4 revenue growth of 9.3% despite cocoa cost pressures.
- PEP leads in stability with YTD returns near 6%, bolstered by diversified beverages and snacks portfolio and consistent dividend increases.
- UL has faced sharper recent declines, down over 15% in the past month amid portfolio reshaping talks, including potential food division spin-off.
- All three exhibit defensive consumer staples traits, but PEP trades at a relatively attractive P/E around 25 versus peers.
- Recent market activity reflects broader sector volatility, with MDLZ and PEP outperforming UL on relative momentum.
- AI-driven analysis favors stability and trend consistency in current conditions.
Introduction
Mondelez International (MDLZ), PepsiCo (PEP), and Unilever (UL) represent leading consumer staples firms focused on snacks, beverages, and personal care products. This comparison evaluates their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid shifting consumer trends and input cost pressures. Traders seeking defensive plays with growth potential, and long-term investors prioritizing dividend reliability and relative stability, will find insights into how these stocks stack up in today's environment of moderated volume growth and strategic portfolio adjustments.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ), a global leader in snacks with brands like Oreo and Cadbury, generates revenue primarily from biscuits (48%) and chocolate (33%). In recent market activity, MDLZ shares have delivered YTD returns of approximately 5-7%, outperforming the S&P 500 in some periods despite a monthly dip of around 3-6%. Q4 2025 revenue rose 9.3% year-over-year to $10.5 billion, driven by pricing actions offsetting elevated cocoa costs, though gross margins faced pressure. Sentiment remains supported by strong cash flow, shareholder returns via a $0.50 quarterly dividend, and strategic focus on snacking growth in emerging markets. Recent weeks saw modest volatility, with shares trading near $57, reflecting broader sector dynamics.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo (PEP), a diversified giant in beverages and convenient foods with icons like Pepsi, Lay's, and Gatorade, operates across North America, Europe, and emerging markets. Recent performance shows YTD gains around 6%, with shares near $151 after a monthly decline of about 8-10%. Q4 revenue increased 5.6% to $29.34 billion, aided by productivity savings and innovation in functional beverages. The company affirmed 2026 guidance for 2-4% organic growth and raised its dividend 4% to $5.92 annually, marking the 54th consecutive increase. Influences include resilient international demand and water sustainability milestones, though North American volumes moderated. Trading stability underscores its defensive appeal.
UL Overview and Recent Performance
Unilever (UL) spans beauty, personal care, and foods with brands like Dove and Hellmann's, emphasizing higher-growth segments post-ice cream demerger. Shares have underperformed recently, with a monthly drop exceeding 15% and YTD around 6% positive but volatile, trading near $61. Full-year 2025 underlying sales grew 3.5%, with Power Brands at 4.3%, and gross margins at 46.9%. Key developments include talks to spin off its food division for focus on beauty/wellbeing, alongside AI partnerships with Google Cloud. Sentiment reflects portfolio reshaping risks and softer U.S./Europe demand, though emerging markets provide support. Recent weeks highlight increased downside pressure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MDLZ, PEP, and UL share consumer staples resilience but differ in models: MDLZ snacks-focused, PEP balanced beverages/snacks, UL shifting to beauty/personal care. Growth drivers include PEP's innovation and dividends versus UL's disposals. Recent momentum favors PEP and MDLZ YTD, while UL lags on restructuring risks. All face input costs and tariffs, but PEP offers lowest beta (0.38). Valuations: PEP P/E ~25 most attractive; sentiment tilts to PEP stability amid volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward PEP, citing superior trend consistency, diversified revenue, and relative YTD outperformance with lower volatility. Observable factors like sustained dividends, productivity gains, and balanced growth position it favorably versus MDLZ's commodity exposure or UL's transition risks, suggesting higher probability of stability in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whilePEP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and UL’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- UL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PEP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and UL’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а -0.64% price change this week, while PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +0.71% , and UL (@Household/Personal Care) price fluctuated -0.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -6.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.23%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2127.24%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was -0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Jul 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-6.12% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.26% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Household/Personal Care (-0.22% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
| MDLZ | PEP | UL | |
| Capitalization | 73.6B | 215B | 127B |
| EBITDA | 4.97B | 15.5B | 11.3B |
| Gain YTD | 7.387 | 10.362 | -10.700 |
| P/E Ratio | 30.32 | 24.65 | 19.01 |
| Revenue | 38.5B | 93.9B | 59.8B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 9.53B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 21.8B | 49.9B | N/A |
MDLZ | PEP | UL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 54 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 26 Undervalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 61 | 84 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 21 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 32 | 79 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 43 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as PEP (26) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as UL (38) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and similarly to UL’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (80) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as UL (84) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to UL’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (21) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for UL (97) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PEP's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Price Growth Rating (32) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (79) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as PEP (43) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (84) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and somewhat faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | PEP | UL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 38% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 37% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 13 days ago 39% | 13 days ago 42% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 50% | 1 day ago 44% | 8 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 40% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 40% |
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