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MDLZ or TGT or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Target Corporation (TGT) vs. Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MDLZ shares have faced pressure from rising input costs and cautious 2026 growth outlook, underperforming with YTD gains of about 8.5% amid declining volumes.
- TGT surged over 20% YTD following Q4 earnings beat and multi-year growth strategy announcement, including $2B investment and 30+ new stores, signaling turnaround momentum.
- WMT leads with steady YTD gains around 11-15%, supported by resilient grocery demand, 24% e-commerce growth, and market share in essentials amid broader retail challenges.
- Relative performance highlights WMT's stability and TGT's recovery potential, while MDLZ lags due to cost pressures in consumer staples.
- All three benefit from defensive sector exposure, but valuation contrasts show TGT at a discount (forward P/E ~14x) versus WMT (~45x).
Introduction
Mondelez International (MDLZ), Target Corporation (TGT), and Walmart Inc. (WMT) represent key players in consumer staples and retail, sectors prized for resilience amid economic uncertainty. This stock comparison evaluates their recent market positioning, performance drivers, and relative strengths in a landscape shaped by shifting consumer spending, input cost inflation, and digital acceleration. Traders seeking momentum and investors focused on stability or value will find insights into how these stocks stack up, aiding decisions on relative performance and sector rotation opportunities.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ), a global leader in snacks with brands like Oreo and Cadbury, operates in over 150 countries, generating $36 billion in annual revenue. Recent market activity has pressured the stock, with shares down about 1.2% since its last earnings amid rising input costs, particularly cocoa, and declining volumes despite 5.1% organic growth in Q4. Cautious 2026 projections reflect consumer pullback from price hikes, leading to mixed sentiment. YTD returns hover at 8.5%, trailing broader indices, as valuation concerns and acquisition expenses weigh on performance in recent weeks.
TGT Overview and Recent Performance
Target Corporation (TGT), a major U.S. general merchandise retailer with nearly 2,000 stores, emphasizes style-driven essentials, beauty, and groceries. Recent performance has rebounded sharply, with shares up over 20-24% YTD after Q4 results showed $30.5B sales and adjusted EPS of $7.57 for the year, beating estimates despite sales dips. A bold growth plan—including $2B fiscal 2026 investment, 30+ new stores, and accelerated remodels—drove a 7% surge post-announcement. Momentum in essentials and digital channels has improved sentiment in recent market activity.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT), the world's largest retailer, operates over 10,750 stores globally, focusing on everyday low prices across groceries, e-commerce, and membership. Shares have shown resilience, gaining 11-15% YTD with Q4 revenue up 5.6% to $190.7B, fueled by 24% e-commerce growth and grocery strength. Recent weeks reflect steady traffic and market share gains among higher-income shoppers, though a downgrade and FTC settlement introduced minor caution. Broader stability in essentials supports consistent relative performance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MDLZ, TGT, and WMT span snacks and broad retail, with WMT's scale enabling grocery dominance and omnichannel edge (24% e-commerce growth) versus TGT's fashion/discretionary focus amid sales slumps. Growth drivers contrast: TGT eyes store expansions and AI tech for recovery, while MDLZ battles input inflation eroding margins. Recent momentum favors TGT (24% YTD) over WMT (15%) and MDLZ (8.5%). Risks include consumer slowdown for all, but MDLZ faces commodity volatility, TGT discretionary weakness. Valuation sensitivity shows TGT cheapest (~14x forward P/E), WMT premium for stability, and MDLZ mixed. Sentiment tilts to WMT's defensive positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to its trend consistency in essentials, e-commerce catalysts, and relative stability amid retail volatility. While TGT shows strong rebound potential and MDLZ offers snack sector exposure, WMT's market share gains and lower drawdowns in recent activity position it probabilistically ahead for near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTGT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TGT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TGT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TGT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а +2.54% price change this week, while TGT (@Discount Stores) price change was +1.20% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +1.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.29%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TGT is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+1.04% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Discount Stores (-0.78% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| MDLZ | TGT | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 75.7B | 55.2B | 1.01T |
| EBITDA | 4.97B | 8.4B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 10.553 | 25.964 | 14.020 |
| P/E Ratio | 31.22 | 14.99 | 46.44 |
| Revenue | 38.5B | 105B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 1.04B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 21.8B | 20B | 68.4B |
MDLZ | TGT | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 9 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 27 Undervalued | 59 Fair valued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 36 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 17 | 21 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 26 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (27) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as TGT (59) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (91) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to TGT’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TGT (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and significantly faster than TGT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's SMR Rating (36) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (99) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that TGT's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (21) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (53) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that TGT's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as TGT (26) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is in the same range as WMT (38) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to TGT’s and similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | TGT | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 32% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 49% | 23 days ago 64% | 23 days ago 33% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 30% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | -0.15% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.52% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.73% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +4.41% | ||
More | ||||
TGT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGT has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TGT jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TGT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | 100% | -1.73% | ||
| DLTR - TGT | 33% Loosely correlated | -2.97% | ||
| WMT - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -1.83% | ||
| OLLI - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -2.68% | ||
| COST - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -3.25% | ||
| PSMT - TGT | 24% Poorly correlated | -2.62% | ||
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WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | -1.83% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -3.25% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -2.62% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | -1.73% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 28% Poorly correlated | +0.21% | ||
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