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MNST or MO or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monster Beverage (MNST) vs. Altria Group (MO) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MNST delivered strong Q4 revenue growth of 17.6% year-over-year to $2.13 billion, driven by energy drink demand, though shares have pulled back amid cost pressures.
- MO offers a high dividend yield around 6.5% with recent quarterly payout of $1.06, providing stability in a volatile market, supported by YTD gains of over 14%.
- STZ beat Q3 estimates with adjusted EPS of $3.06 but faces sales declines and CEO transition, trading at a forward P/E near 23x amid beer segment challenges.
- Over the past month, MNST declined about 12%, MO showed resilience with modest dips, and STZ hovered sideways, highlighting consumer defensive traits.
- Valuation contrasts: MNST at 38x trailing P/E reflects growth premium; MO at lower multiples suits income focus; STZ balances growth and value.
- Market sentiment favors MO's consistency in recent weeks amid broader sector rotation.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MNST, a leader in energy drinks; MO, a tobacco giant with high dividends; and STZ, a premium beer, wine, and spirits producer. These consumer defensive names span non-alcoholic beverages, tobacco, and alcoholic beverages, offering insights into sector dynamics like shifting consumer preferences, pricing pressures, and regulatory influences. Traders seeking momentum and growth may eye MNST, while income-oriented investors favor MO's yield. STZ appeals to those betting on premiumization trends. In the current environment of moderated inflation and volatile equity markets, this analysis highlights relative performance, valuations, and positioning for informed decision-making in stock comparisons.
MNST Overview and Recent Performance
Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) develops, markets, and distributes energy drinks like Monster Energy, alongside strategic brands and alcohol products. In recent market activity, shares experienced volatility following robust Q4 results, with net sales rising 17.6% year-over-year to $2.13 billion, beating estimates amid strong global demand. Adjusted EPS of $0.51 exceeded forecasts, supported by margin expansion despite elevated costs like aluminum. However, pricing pressures and promotional spending tempered gains, leading to a roughly 12% monthly pullback from highs near $87. YTD performance stands positive at around 5%, outperforming the S&P 500, with 1-year returns near 25% reflecting category growth. Sentiment remains buoyed by innovation and international expansion, though near-term cost headwinds influence trader positioning.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) manufactures and sells smokeable and oral nicotine products, including Marlboro cigarettes and on! pouches, primarily in the U.S. Recent weeks saw steady performance with shares around $64, bolstered by a 6.5% dividend yield and quarterly payout of $1.06, ex-date March 25. YTD gains exceed 14%, outpacing benchmarks, driven by resilient demand for core brands amid nicotine category shifts. The stock touched 52-week highs near $70 earlier, reflecting defensive appeal, though recent dips tied to broader market rotations. High payout ratio near 80% of adjusted EPS underscores commitment to shareholders, with relative stability contrasting peers' volatility. Influences include regulatory scrutiny and smokeless growth, supporting consistent relative performance in uncertain conditions.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) produces and markets beer like Modelo and Corona, premium wines, and spirits across the U.S., Mexico, and beyond. Recent activity features sideways trading around $152, with Q3 fiscal 2026 results showing adjusted EPS of $3.06 beating estimates despite 9.8% sales drop to $2.22 billion. Beer volume pressures and wine challenges persist, offset by premiumization. YTD up about 10-12%, but 1-year down over 12% amid macro headwinds and CEO succession announced February. Analyst upgrades like Citi to Buy with $175 target signal optimism for capacity expansion. Sentiment hinges on upcoming Q4 earnings April 8 and beer recovery, with forward P/E around 23x balancing growth risks in the alcoholic beverages space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MNST, MO, and STZ operate in consumer defensive sectors but diverge in models: MNST's high-growth energy drinks contrast MO's mature tobacco stability and STZ's premium alcohol exposure. Growth drivers favor MNST via innovation (17%+ sales growth) over STZ's beer volumes and MO's nicotine shifts. Recent momentum shows MO resilient (14% YTD), edging STZ (10%) and lagging MNST's prior surge but recent dip. Risks include MO/regulation, MNST/costs, STZ/consumption trends. Valuation sensitivity: MNST premium 38x P/E vs. STZ 23x and MO ~11x, with MO's yield a trade-off for slower growth. Sentiment tilts to MO for income, MNST for upside in relative performance and market positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MO for its trend consistency, high yield stability, and defensive positioning amid recent sector rotations. Observable factors like superior YTD returns, resilient momentum despite dips, and attractive valuation relative to growth peers position it probabilistically stronger short-term, balancing catalysts like dividends against MNST's volatility and STZ's headwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MNST’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMO’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- MNST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MNST’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MNST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MNST (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +1.32% price change this week, while MO (@Tobacco) price change was -4.76% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated -2.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -0.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2073.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
MNST is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-0.77% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| MNST | MO | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 75B | 107B | 28.1B |
| EBITDA | 2.53B | 10.8B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | 0.065 | 13.155 | 18.394 |
| P/E Ratio | 39.55 | 15.58 | 16.89 |
| Revenue | 8.29B | 20.1B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | 2.77B | N/A | 152M |
| Total Debt | 199M | 25.7B | 10.7B |
MNST | MO | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 56 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | 47 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 14 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 9 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 34 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 15 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (47) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MNST (92) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than MNST’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MNST (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MNST (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MNST (50) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as STZ (51) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to MNST’s and similarly to STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MNST (62) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (79) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than MNST’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
| MNST | MO | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A | 3 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 31% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 11 days ago 53% | 10 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 47% | 5 days ago 37% | 5 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 23% | 3 days ago 44% |
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MNST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with CCEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then CCEP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MNST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNST | 100% | +1.80% | ||
| CCEP - MNST | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| KO - MNST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PEP - MNST | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| CELH - MNST | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| KDP - MNST | 31% Poorly correlated | +1.88% | ||
More | ||||
MO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MO has been loosely correlated with PM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MO jumps, then PM could also see price increases.