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MO or PG or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Altria Group (MO) vs. Procter & Gamble (PG) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MO leads YTD performance at around 12%, with the highest dividend yield near 6.5% and lowest P/E ratio of about 15.7, appealing for value and income.
- PG offers defensive stability with a 2.9% yield and P/E of roughly 20-21, but trails peers amid margin pressures from costs and tariffs.
- WMT shows strong long-term growth at 38% over the past year and 7% YTD, though at a premium P/E over 43, driven by e-commerce and market share gains.
- All three exhibit low betas (MO: 0.43, PG: 0.4, WMT: 0.66), highlighting lower volatility in the consumer staples space during recent market swings.
- Recent weeks saw pullbacks across the board, with MO down 3-6% monthly, reflecting broader sector rotation but resilient relative performance.
- Dividend reliability stands out, with MO and PG as Dividend Kings, supporting income strategies in uncertain environments.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MO (Altria Group), PG (Procter & Gamble), and WMT (Walmart), three stalwarts in consumer staples and related sectors. These stocks attract defensive investors seeking stability amid volatility, as well as traders eyeing relative performance in essentials like tobacco, household products, and retail. With low betas and consistent dividends, they offer insights into valuation sensitivity, growth drivers, and market positioning in the current environment of shifting consumer behaviors and economic pressures. This analysis draws on recent market activity to highlight contrasts for informed decision-making.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group (MO), a leading tobacco company, focuses on cigarettes, smokeless products, and oral nicotine pouches amid regulatory scrutiny in e-vapor. In recent market activity, shares traded around $64, down about 1% daily and 3-6% over the past month, yet up 12% YTD and 11% over the year. Influences include a recent $1.06 quarterly dividend declaration (yield ~6.5%, P/E ~15.7) supporting income appeal, despite share weakness from regulatory challenges. Low beta of 0.43 underscores defensive traits, with analysts noting potential undervaluation versus long-term metrics.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
Procter & Gamble (PG) produces essential consumer goods like detergents and hygiene products, emphasizing branded stability. Recent weeks showed shares near $144, down 0.4% daily and steeper monthly losses around 5%, lagging the market amid margin squeezes from rising costs and tariffs, though organic sales hold steady. YTD gains are modest at ~2-3%, with a 2.9% dividend yield (P/E ~20-21) and beta ~0.4 reinforcing its role as a low-volatility staple. Sentiment reflects balanced growth amid cost headwinds.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart (WMT), the world's largest retailer, blends groceries, e-commerce, and general merchandise. Shares hovered at $119, down 1.7% recently and 5-7% monthly, yet up 7% YTD and 38-40% yearly, fueled by $676B global sales, higher-income shopper gains, and e-commerce growth. A 0.8% yield (P/E ~43) reflects premium pricing, with beta 0.66 indicating moderate stability. Pricing scrutiny and competitive dynamics temper sentiment, but market share expansions bolster positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MO, PG, and WMT anchor consumer staples but diverge in models: MO’s tobacco focus yields highest dividends (6.5%) but faces regulatory risks; PG’s branded goods prioritize steady organic growth (~1-5%); WMT drives retail scale with e-commerce catalysts. Recent momentum favors MO’s YTD edge, while WMT excels longer-term. All low-beta (0.4-0.66) suit risk-averse plays, but WMT’s higher volatility ties to expansion. Valuation contrasts: MO cheapest (P/E 15.7), PG mid-range (21), WMT premium (43) for growth. Sentiment leans defensive amid costs/tariffs, with trade-offs in yield versus upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward MO currently, citing trend consistency via top YTD gains, superior yield/stability combo, and undervalued P/E amid staples resilience. Low beta and income stream position it probabilistically stronger versus PG’s cost drags or WMT’s stretched multiples, though rotations could shift focus.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MO’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whilePG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- PG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MO (@Tobacco) experienced а -4.76% price change this week, while PG (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +1.22% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +1.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.77%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
PG is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-1.21% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Household/Personal Care (+1.05% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Discount Stores (+2.91% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| MO | PG | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 108B | 336B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 10.8B | 24.5B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 13.931 | 1.539 | 15.054 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.68 | 21.41 | 46.86 |
| Revenue | 20.1B | 85.3B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 10.8B | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | 25.7B | 36.6B | 67.1B |
MO | PG | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 39 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 54 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 9 | 30 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 59 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 81 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PG (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to PG’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MO (14) in the Tobacco industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (54) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MO’s and somewhat faster than PG’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PG (30) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to PG’s and similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MO (34) in the Tobacco industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to MO’s and somewhat faster than PG’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for PG (81) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to WMT’s and significantly faster than PG’s over the last 12 months.
| MO | PG | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 35% | 4 days ago 41% | 4 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 31% | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 53% | 12 days ago 45% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 37% | 5 days ago 42% | 8 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 36% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 23% | 4 days ago 35% | 4 days ago 25% |
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|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XHYI | 37.86 | N/A | N/A |
| BondBloxx US High Yield Indstrl Sctr ETF | |||
| DVUT | 27.69 | N/A | N/A |
| WEBs Utilities XLU Defined VolETF | |||
| IGIB | 53.70 | -0.01 | -0.02% |
| iShares 5-10 Year invmt Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| ERTH | 50.10 | -0.08 | -0.16% |
| Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF | |||
| RSPH | 31.27 | -0.07 | -0.22% |
| Invesco S&P 500® Equal Wt Hlth Care ETF | |||
MO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MO has been loosely correlated with PM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MO jumps, then PM could also see price increases.
PG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PG has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PG jumps, then CL could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.33% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.83% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.15% | ||
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