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MP or TMC or UAMY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MP Materials Corp. (MP) vs. TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) vs. United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- UAMY leads with 141% YTD gains, driven by revenue growth and new tungsten discoveries, outpacing peers in recent market activity.
- MP shows strong 32% YTD performance amid rare earth demand and government support signals, with shares up over 165% in the past year.
- TMC gains traction with 16% YTD returns, bolstered by deep-sea mining permit progress, though it trails in revenue generation.
- All three operate in critical minerals, but UAMY offers current production while MP and TMC focus on expansion.
- Volatility remains high across the board, with UAMY's market cap at $1.73B contrasting MP's $11.8B scale.
Introduction
In the critical minerals sector, vital for electric vehicles, defense, and renewable energy supply chains, MP, TMC, and UAMY represent diverse approaches to metals production and exploration. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing strategic metals exposure will find value in understanding relative strengths amid shifting commodity sentiment and geopolitical supply concerns.
MP Overview and Recent Performance
MP Materials Corp. owns and operates the Mountain Pass rare earth mine and processing facility in California, focusing on neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxides essential for magnets in EVs and wind turbines. In recent market activity, shares have surged around 35% over the past month, reflecting heightened rare earth demand and positive analyst commentary on government backing. Trading near $66-68 with a $11.8 billion market cap, MP benefits from sector tailwinds but faces pricing volatility. Sentiment has improved on expansion plans and U.S. supply chain initiatives, contributing to 32% YTD gains versus broader indices.
TMC Overview and Recent Performance
TMC the metals company Inc. explores deep-sea polymetallic nodules rich in nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese for battery and alloy applications. Pre-commercial stage, it trades around $5.20 with a $2.9 billion market cap. Recent weeks saw about 13% monthly gains, fueled by NOAA compliance on mining applications and U.S.-Japan pacts reframing regulatory prospects. Environmental data releases and Washington hearings have boosted sentiment, supporting 16% YTD performance amid deep-sea mining momentum, though execution risks persist.
UAMY Overview and Recent Performance
United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) produces antimony, zeolite, and precious metals, serving flame retardants, batteries, and catalysts. With operations in the U.S. and Canada, it reports revenue from antimony trisulfide and gold/silver. Shares near $12.10 and $1.73 billion market cap have rallied 47% in the past month and 141% YTD, driven by robust revenue growth, a $248 million DLA contract, and mapping North America's largest untapped tungsten deposits. Higher antimony demand and strategic joint ventures have shifted investor focus positively in recent activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MP emphasizes established U.S. rare earth production, contrasting TMC's speculative deep-sea exploration and UAMY's diversified antimony/precious metals output. Growth drivers include UAMY's contracts and deposits versus MP's processing ramps and TMC's permits. Recent momentum favors UAMY (141% YTD) over MP (32%) and TMC (16%). Risks span commodity prices for all, amplified by TMC's environmental hurdles. Valuation sensitivity ties to critical mineral policies; sentiment lifts on supply chain themes, with UAMY showing revenue stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward UAMY for its superior trend consistency, revenue catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent months. While MP offers scale and TMC innovative upside, UAMY's momentum and production positioning provide higher probability of near-term gains amid critical minerals demand.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTMC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and UAMY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- MP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TMC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UAMY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TMC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and UAMY’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TMC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UAMY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MP (@Other Metals/Minerals) experienced а -16.25% price change this week, while TMC (@Other Metals/Minerals) price change was -11.17% , and UAMY (@Other Metals/Minerals) price fluctuated -29.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Metals/Minerals industry was -2.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was +50.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
MP is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
TMC is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
UAMY is expected to report earnings on Aug 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Metals/Minerals (-2.39% weekly)The category includes companies that explore for, mine and extract metals, such as copper, diamonds, nickel, cobalt ore, lead, zinc and uranium. BHP, Rio Tinto and Southern Copper Corporation are major players in this space.
| MP | TMC | UAMY | |
| Capitalization | 9.78B | 2.17B | 1.1B |
| EBITDA | 29.5M | -291.32M | -4.51M |
| Gain YTD | 8.729 | -18.801 | 48.207 |
| P/E Ratio | 770.50 | N/A | N/A |
| Revenue | 254M | 0 | 31.9M |
| Total Cash | 1.74B | 116M | 65.9K |
| Total Debt | 1B | 2.48M | 265K |
MP | TMC | UAMY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 14 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | 97 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 100 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 100 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 55 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 100 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TMC's Valuation (74) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (97) in the Metal Fabrication industry, and is in the same range as MP (98) in the null industry. This means that TMC's stock grew similarly to UAMY’s and similarly to MP’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's Profit vs Risk Rating (69) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as MP (69) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TMC (100) in the null industry. This means that UAMY's stock grew similarly to MP’s and similarly to TMC’s over the last 12 months.
MP's SMR Rating (92) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (93) in the Metal Fabrication industry, and is in the same range as TMC (100) in the null industry. This means that MP's stock grew similarly to UAMY’s and similarly to TMC’s over the last 12 months.
UAMY's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as MP (43) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TMC (55) in the null industry. This means that UAMY's stock grew similarly to MP’s and similarly to TMC’s over the last 12 months.
MP's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the null industry is in the same range as UAMY (7) in the Metal Fabrication industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TMC (100) in the null industry. This means that MP's stock grew similarly to UAMY’s and significantly faster than TMC’s over the last 12 months.
| MP | TMC | UAMY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | N/A | 1 day ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 82% | 15 days ago 80% | 20 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 89% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% |
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TMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMC has been loosely correlated with FNUC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TMC jumps, then FNUC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMC | 100% | -2.91% | ||
| FNUC - TMC | 54% Loosely correlated | -4.67% | ||
| OMEX - TMC | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| USAR - TMC | 52% Loosely correlated | -6.16% | ||
| MP - TMC | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.07% | ||
| NB - TMC | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.96% | ||
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UAMY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UAMY has been loosely correlated with NB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UAMY jumps, then NB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UAMY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAMY | 100% | -7.46% | ||
| NB - UAMY | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.96% | ||
| USAR - UAMY | 58% Loosely correlated | -6.16% | ||
| MP - UAMY | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.07% | ||
| CRML - UAMY | 53% Loosely correlated | -6.76% | ||
| FNUC - UAMY | 49% Loosely correlated | -4.67% | ||
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