Advertisement
MPWR or MTSI or ON
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MPWR has shown resilience with strong AI data center demand driving YTD gains of about 13%, though recent weeks saw pullbacks amid sector sell-offs.
- MTSI leads YTD performance at over 22% with robust growth in data centers and defense, bolstered by new high-speed interconnect product launches.
- ON lags peers with modest YTD return of around 3%, facing cyclical pressures in automotive and industrial segments despite solid Q4 earnings.
- All three stocks operate in the semiconductor space with exposure to power management and data centers, but MPWR and MTSI benefit more from AI tailwinds, while ON shows relative stability.
- Recent market volatility tied to geopolitical tensions has pressured prices, with 30-day declines across the board, highlighting sector sensitivity.
- Valuations reflect growth premiums for MPWR and MTSI, while ON trades at a discount amid slower momentum.
Introduction
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI), and ON Semiconductor (ON) are key players in the semiconductor industry, specializing in power management, RF solutions, and intelligent sensing. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors eyeing exposure to AI-driven data centers, automotive electrification, and industrial applications amid recent sector volatility. Traders seeking relative performance insights in high-growth analogs will find value in evaluating their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning, as these stocks navigate geopolitical tensions and demand shifts in recent market activity.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is a fabless semiconductor company focused on high-performance, energy-efficient power management solutions for enterprise data centers, automotive, computing, and consumer markets. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced volatile, range-bound behavior, declining around 9-12% over the past 30 days from peaks near $1,230 to levels around $1,000-$1,023, influenced by broader semiconductor sell-offs linked to geopolitical tensions. Despite this, YTD returns stand at approximately 13%, with 1-year gains over 82%, supported by strong Q4 results including revenue of $751 million (up 21% YoY) and EPS beats. Sentiment remains positive on AI catalysts and analyst upgrades, though high valuations and sector risks temper enthusiasm.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, defense, data centers, and industrial markets. Recent market activity has seen the stock pull back sharply, down about 12-14% in the past 30 days to around $209, mirroring sector pressures but from higher levels near $240. YTD performance leads peers at 22%, with 1-year returns exceeding 112%, fueled by Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $272 million (up 25% YoY) and growth in data centers (35-40% outlook). Key developments include launches of 448G-per-lane drivers for 3.2T connectivity and PCIe 7.0 equalizers, boosting sentiment on AI and hyperscale demand, despite recent volatility.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON), known as onsemi, delivers intelligent power and sensing solutions across power, analog/mixed-signal, and sensing segments for automotive, industrial, and data center end markets. The stock has underperformed recently, declining around 12% over the past 30 days to about $56, with YTD returns at a modest 3% and 1-year gains of 36%. Q4 FY25 revenue came in at $1.53 billion, with EPS beats, but softer guidance and cyclical weakness in automotive/industrial have weighed on sentiment. Stability from diversified exposure and partnerships like Sineng Electric provide some support amid broader sector headwinds.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curated from hundreds available that trade thousands of tickers across diverse strategies. Out of over 350 total AI robots, 25 trending ones are highlighted, selected by AI analysis for their promise in current market conditions, spanning timeframes like 60-minute, 15-minute, and 5-minute charts, with varying risk levels (low to high) and focuses such as technical patterns, fundamentals, or volatility. These bots employ styles from swing trading to scalping on stocks, ETFs, and crypto, often delivering annualized returns up to 171% in recent 30-day periods with win rates exceeding 88% in top performers, as seen in agents targeting semiconductors and AI themes. Explore Trending AI Robots to discover bots suited to your timeframe and risk tolerance.
Head-to-Head Comparison
MPWR, MTSI, and ON share semiconductor exposure but diverge in focus: MPWR excels in DC-DC power ICs for AI servers, MTSI in RF/optical for connectivity and defense, and ON in broader power/sensing for autos and industrials. Growth drivers favor MPWR and MTSI via 35-50% data center expansion, versus ON's recovery from cyclical lows. Recent momentum tilts to MTSI (22% YTD) over MPWR (13%) and ON (3%), but all face risks from geopolitics and inventory cycles. ON offers lower valuation sensitivity with a diversified base, while peers command premiums for AI catalysts; sentiment is strongest for high-growth plays amid sector volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI for its superior recent momentum, leading YTD returns, and catalysts like PCIe 7.0 and 3.2T drivers aligning with AI data center trends. While MPWR shows strong trend consistency in power solutions and ON provides stability, MTSI's relative positioning offers higher probabilistic upside in the current environment focused on connectivity growth.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ON’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and ON’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.46% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +7.31% , and ON (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +20.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.10% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MPWR | MTSI | ON | |
| Capitalization | 73.2B | 21.1B | 33.7B |
| EBITDA | 781M | 259M | 888M |
| Gain YTD | 64.818 | 64.106 | 58.006 |
| P/E Ratio | 115.93 | 127.19 | 295.03 |
| Revenue | 2.79B | 1.02B | 6B |
| Total Cash | 581M | 768M | 2.55B |
| Total Debt | 15.1M | 531M | 3.01B |
MPWR | MTSI | ON | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 8 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 59 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 36 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 44 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTSI's Valuation (83) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (84) and is in the same range as ON (89). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and similarly to ON’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (19) and is somewhat better than the same rating for ON (67). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and somewhat faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's SMR Rating (46) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (59) and is somewhat better than the same rating for ON (88). This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ON (3) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (36). This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to ON’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (2) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (44). This means that ON's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | MTSI | ON | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 66% | 22 days ago 70% | 22 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 77% |
Advertisement
MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | +1.53% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +2.46% | ||
| AMAT - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| KLIC - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | +1.78% | ||
More | ||||
MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +1.48% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 69% Closely correlated | +4.86% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +8.75% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
More | ||||