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MPWR or QCOM or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MPWR leads with strong YTD gains of 14.22% and 1-year return of 79.49%, driven by AI data center demand for power solutions, though recent volatility persists amid sector sell-offs.
- QCOM shows YTD return of 24.48% but lags 1-year at 14.49%, facing smartphone demand weakness and competition, offset by automotive and IoT growth.
- TSM boasts massive 1-year return of 93.90% with YTD at 5.95%, fueled by AI chip production ramps like 2nm, despite geopolitical supply risks.
- MPWR trades at high trailing P/E of ~81x with market cap ~$51B; QCOM at ~26x P/E and $137B cap; TSM at ~31x P/E and $1.64T cap, reflecting scale differences.
- Semiconductor sector faces volatility from geopolitics and supply chains, but AI catalysts favor foundry (TSM) and power management (MPWR).
Introduction
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM), and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) represent key players in the semiconductor ecosystem, spanning power management, wireless connectivity, and advanced manufacturing. This comparison analyzes their recent market performance amid AI-driven demand, sector volatility, and supply chain pressures. Traders seeking momentum in high-growth niches and investors eyeing relative valuation in the chip space will find insights into business models, catalysts, and positioning relevant for navigating current conditions.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is a fabless semiconductor firm specializing in high-efficiency power management solutions for enterprise data centers, automotive, and consumer electronics. In recent market activity, MPWR shares have shown resilience, with YTD gains of 14.22% and a robust 79.49% 1-year return, trading around $1,035 amid broader semiconductor fluctuations. Sentiment has been buoyed by strong Q4 2025 results, including 20.8% revenue growth to $751M and upbeat guidance, tied to AI server and data center expansion. However, recent weeks saw pullbacks from geopolitical tensions and sector sell-offs, with shares dipping amid peer declines like Lam Research. High trailing P/E near 81x reflects premium growth expectations, supported by enterprise data trends.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) develops wireless technologies, including 5G modems, processors, and on-device AI for smartphones, automotive, and IoT. Recent performance reflects challenges, with YTD return at 24.48% but 1-year at 14.49%, shares near $128 after notable declines. Weak smartphone demand and competition from MediaTek and Apple have pressured sentiment, prompting neutral ratings like Goldman Sachs' $135 target. Automotive and IoT segments grew strongly, with Q1 FY2026 revenue up 18% YoY, yet broader market dips and revenue outlook concerns led to volatility. Trailing P/E around 26x suggests relative value amid diversification efforts.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), the world's leading pure-play foundry, manufactures advanced chips for clients like Nvidia and Apple. Shares have delivered impressive 93.90% 1-year return, with YTD at 5.95%, trading near $322 despite recent dips. AI demand drives ramps in 2nm production, reshaping growth amid supply constraints like helium shortages and geopolitical risks. Recent sell-offs tied to sector pressures, but strong Q4 results and analyst buys (e.g., DA Davidson $450 target) sustain optimism. Trailing P/E ~31x aligns with scale (market cap $1.64T) and 45% profit margins.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MPWR focuses on niche power ICs (DC-DC converters, PMICs—power management integrated circuits), thriving on AI data center efficiency needs versus QCOM's broader wireless chips (Snapdragon SoCs—system on chips) exposed to cyclical handsets, and TSM's foundry model serving fabless peers. Growth drivers: MPWR and TSM ride AI infrastructure; QCOM pivots to edge AI/auto. Recent momentum favors TSM (93% 1-yr) over MPWR (79%) and QCOM (14%). Risks: MPWR's high valuation sensitivity (P/E 81x), QCOM's handset exposure, TSM's Taiwan geopolitics. Sector ties bind them to semis (~1.5 beta), but TSM offers scale stability, MPWR growth premium, QCOM yield (2.8%). Sentiment tilts to AI pure-plays amid recent rotations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM for superior trend consistency, unmatched AI catalysts via 2nm ramps, and relative positioning as the foundry backbone despite supply risks. MPWR shows strong momentum but elevated valuation; QCOM lags on handset headwinds. Probabilistic edge to TSM in sustained semis upcycle.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPWR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileQCOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPWR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while QCOM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPWR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MPWR (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.46% price change this week, while QCOM (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.36% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MPWR | QCOM | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 72.1B | 145B | 1.67T |
| EBITDA | 781M | 14.8B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 62.329 | -19.863 | 22.602 |
| P/E Ratio | 114.18 | 27.46 | 31.83 |
| Revenue | 2.79B | 44.9B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 581M | 11.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 15.1M | 14.8B | N/A |
MPWR | QCOM | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 9 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 9 Undervalued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 87 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 43 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 61 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 14 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (9) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (45) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MPWR (84) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and significantly faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (19) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for QCOM (87) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and significantly faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (43) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is in the same range as MPWR (46) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (40) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (61) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that MPWR's stock grew somewhat faster than TSM’s and somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (14) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TSM (20) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
| MPWR | QCOM | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 64% | 11 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 12 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
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| iShares Short-Term National Muni Bd ETF | |||
| JHDV | 41.93 | N/A | N/A |
| JHancock U.S. High Dividend ETF | |||
MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | +4.67% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| AMAT - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| KLIC - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | +2.79% | ||
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