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MTSI or NVDA or TEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) vs. TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI has delivered strong YTD gains of approximately 28%, outperforming the S&P 500's 5%, driven by semiconductor demand in telecom and defense.
- NVDA shows YTD returns around 7%, with recent volatility amid AI chip demand and geopolitical tensions, but leads in long-term growth.
- TEL trades with YTD declines of about 14%, offset by a 35% one-year return, bolstered by AI data center connectivity and dividend hikes.
- All three benefit from AI and tech trends, but MTSI exhibits superior recent momentum, while NVDA dominates scale and TEL offers stability via buybacks.
- Relative performance highlights MTSI's outperformance over NVDA in the past year (94% vs. 46%), signaling niche strength in RF semiconductors.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MTSI, NVDA, and TEL, all key players in the semiconductor and connectivity ecosystem fueling AI, data centers, telecom, and defense applications. Investors and traders interested in tech sector exposure, particularly those tracking relative performance amid AI-driven growth and market volatility, will find value here. These firms highlight contrasts in scale, specialization, and risk, offering insights into current market positioning and potential trade-offs in a dynamic environment.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) designs and manufactures high-performance analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and optical applications in telecom, data centers, industrial, defense, and satellite communications. Recent market activity has seen MTSI trading around $219, with YTD returns near 28% and one-year gains exceeding 100%, outpacing broader indices. Sentiment has been buoyed by strong results, new product launches like 448G PAM4 drivers for data centers, and promotions signaling leadership continuity. Pullbacks from 52-week highs around $259 reflect broader sector volatility, but robust demand in 5G/6G infrastructure and defense has sustained upward momentum.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA (NVDA) leads in accelerated computing, providing GPUs and platforms for AI, data centers, gaming, and automotive. Shares recently hovered near $173, with YTD performance around 7% and one-year returns of 46%, amid high volatility from AI hype and export concerns. Recent weeks featured GTC announcements, including multi-year deals for 1M chips with AWS and partnerships like Groq, reinforcing datacenter dominance despite pullbacks. Sentiment reflects robust AI demand but pressures from yields and competition, with shares down from peaks over $212.
TEL Overview and Recent Performance
TE Connectivity (TEL) is a global leader in connectors and sensors for transportation, industrial, and communications markets, enabling power, signal, and data distribution in AI data centers, EVs, and energy networks. Trading near $196, TEL shows YTD declines of about 14% but 35% one-year returns, supported by AI connectivity growth. Recent developments include a 10% dividend hike to $0.78 and $3B buyback expansion to $22.25B total, alongside ethical rankings. Performance reflects core market softness offset by data center strength, with shares off highs of $251.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI, NVDA, and TEL operate in interconnected tech domains: MTSI specializes in RF/microwave semis for niche defense/telecom; NVDA dominates AI GPUs at massive scale; TEL provides essential connectors for broad applications. Growth drivers diverge—NVDA's AI datacenters yield explosive revenue, while MTSI and TEL leverage AI indirectly via infrastructure. Recent momentum favors MTSI (YTD +28%), with NVDA volatile and TEL stable but lagging short-term. Risks include NVDA's export curbs/geopolitics, MTSI's smaller scale, and TEL's cyclical industrials. Valuation sensitivity is high for all amid AI hype; NVDA trades at premium multiples, MTSI elevated P/E, TEL more grounded with shareholder returns. Market sentiment tilts toward AI pure-plays but values TEL's diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI for its consistent trend strength, YTD outperformance, and catalysts in RF semis aligning with 5G/AI infrastructure, offering higher probability of near-term upside relative to NVDA's volatility and TEL's steadier but muted momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TEL’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TEL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TEL’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.31% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.34% , and TEL (@Electronic Components) price fluctuated +9.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +6.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.70%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
TEL is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Components (+6.72% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
| MTSI | NVDA | TEL | |
| Capitalization | 19.4B | 4.58T | 67.4B |
| EBITDA | 259M | 145B | 4.47B |
| Gain YTD | 50.695 | 1.148 | 1.307 |
| P/E Ratio | 116.79 | 38.50 | 33.11 |
| Revenue | 1.02B | 216B | 18.1B |
| Total Cash | 768M | N/A | 1.25B |
| Total Debt | 531M | 11B | 5.71B |
MTSI | NVDA | TEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 16 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 10 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 13 | 50 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 49 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 56 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEL's Valuation (19) in the Electronic Components industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (77) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TEL's stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (10) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as TEL (23) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TEL (50) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVDA's stock grew somewhat faster than TEL’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TEL (43) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as NVDA (49) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to TEL’s and similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
TEL's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Electronic Components industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (51) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (56) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TEL's stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | NVDA | TEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 35% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 70% | 13 days ago 68% | 13 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 53% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +4.20% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.35% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.77% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.11% | ||
More | ||||
TEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEL has been closely correlated with KN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEL jumps, then KN could also see price increases.