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MTSI or NVTS or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) vs. Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) vs. Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI exhibits strong year-to-date gains of over 22%, driven by data center and defense demand, with recent quarterly revenue up significantly year-over-year.
- NVTS delivers explosive one-year returns exceeding 300%, fueled by GaN and SiC innovations for AI power applications, though it reports ongoing losses and revenue volatility.
- TXN provides stability with a market cap over $170 billion and consistent profitability, showing modest YTD returns around 10% amid broader semiconductor cycles.
- All three operate in semiconductors, with MTSI and NVTS offering higher growth potential in niche RF/power tech versus TXN's diversified analog leadership.
- Recent market activity highlights sector volatility, with MTSI trading at a forward P/E near 50x, NVTS at elevated P/S multiples over 35x, and TXN at a more reasonable 30x forward P/E.
- Investor sentiment favors growth plays like MTSI and NVTS for AI catalysts, balanced by TXN's scale and dividend reliability.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines MTSI, NVTS, and TXN, three semiconductor firms pivotal in analog, RF, power management, and embedded processing. These companies cater to high-growth areas like data centers, 5G infrastructure, AI power solutions, and defense applications. Traders seeking momentum in volatile tech sectors and long-term investors eyeing relative performance in the semiconductor space will find value here. Amid recent market swings, their contrasting scales, valuations, and catalysts offer insights into sector positioning and trade-offs in the current environment.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) designs high-performance analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, millimeter wave, and optical applications, serving telecom, data centers, industrial, defense, and multi-market sectors. With a market cap around $16 billion, the company reported strong recent quarterly revenue of $272 million, up sharply year-over-year, driven by record demand in industrial/defense and data center segments. Shares have delivered YTD returns over 22% and one-year gains exceeding 112%, reflecting robust EPS growth averaging 22% annually over five years. Recent market activity showed volatility, including pullbacks amid broader semi sector weakness, but upbeat guidance on 5G, satellite, and AI connectivity has sustained positive sentiment. A forward P/E near 50x underscores growth expectations, supported by a solid cash position over $700 million.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) specializes in next-generation gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors for power conversion, charging, and high-efficiency applications in AI data centers, EVs, consumer electronics, and industrial markets. Holding a market cap near $1.8 billion, recent quarters reflected revenue challenges, with Q4 FY2025 at $7.3 million, down significantly year-over-year, alongside ongoing net losses. However, shares surged with one-year returns over 300% and YTD gains around 10%, propelled by product launches like 1200V SiC packages and strategic pivots to high-power AI data center solutions. Elevated P/S ratios above 35x signal speculative growth bets, tempered by execution risks and a high beta over 3. Sentiment has shifted positively on partnerships and efficiency innovations, despite volatility.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) is a leading designer and manufacturer of analog chips and embedded processors, powering electronics in industrial, automotive, personal electronics, and communications. With a dominant market cap exceeding $170 billion, the company maintains steady profitability, with trailing EPS around $5.47 and operating margins near 35%. Recent performance includes YTD returns of about 10% and modest one-year gains, navigating semi cycles with diversified revenue over $17 billion annually. Upcoming Q1 FY2026 earnings anticipate EPS growth of 7%, amid AI and data center tailwinds. A forward P/E around 30x reflects value relative to peers, bolstered by 22 years of dividend increases and share repurchases. Sentiment remains stable, influenced by power management demand and macroeconomic factors.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI, NVTS, and TXN share semiconductor exposure but differ sharply in business models: MTSI's niche RF/optical focus targets high-margin defense/data centers, NVTS pioneers disruptive GaN/SiC power tech for AI efficiency, and TXN dominates broad analog/embedded with scale advantages. Growth drivers favor MTSI and NVTS via AI catalysts, contrasting TXN's steadier industrial/auto mix. Recent momentum shines for NVTS (300%+ one-year) over MTSI (112%) and TXN (modest), but NVTS carries higher risks from losses versus peers' profitability. Valuation sensitivity shows TXN's attractive 30x forward P/E and 10x P/S against MTSI's 50x/17x and NVTS's 35x+ P/S (no P/E). Market sentiment tilts growth-oriented, trading NVTS volatility for upside against TXN stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward MTSI based on observable trend consistency, revenue momentum from data centers/defense, profitability, and balanced catalysts relative to peers. While NVTS offers higher speculative upside in AI power and TXN superior stability, MTSI's positioning suggests a greater probability of near-term outperformance amid semiconductor volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +3.95% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +7.05% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | NVTS | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 18.6B | 2.17B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 259M | -67.33M | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 44.623 | 31.933 | 24.724 |
| P/E Ratio | 112.09 | N/A | 39.45 |
| Revenue | 1.02B | 45.9M | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 768M | 237M | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 531M | 6.47M | 14B |
MTSI | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (82). This means that TXN’s stock grew significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TXN (51). This means that MTSI’s stock grew somewhat faster than TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (31) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (58). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (36). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (53). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | NVTS | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 5 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 86% | 12 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 59% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.19% | ||
More | ||||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | -1.36% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +3.30% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +3.02% | ||
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